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Mephistopheles

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Everything posted by Mephistopheles

  1. Mephistopheles
    Gallardo is going for the Untuck 'Ems.
  2. Mephistopheles
    Athletic college pitching: The secret of the Oakland A's.
  3. Mephistopheles
    This really doesn't change the market value of Ryan Dempster. Prior to this deal he was going to get offers in the 5/60 range or 4/50, with someone likely pushing up to 5/70 or so.
  4. Mephistopheles
    It feels good. Tune in next season for more ways to win at fantasy. I survived Victor Martinez in two leagues! http://profiles.sports.yahoo.com/a_1EJHC.WbNInm8SQCLpIBtOy.3D0cNaMSjeR 4/4 93% rating in all sports 94% rating in baseball and some how despite not watching a single college basketball game in the last five years, i won last years nsbb ncaa bracket
  5. Mephistopheles
    ESPN College Gameday will be at Vanderbilt next Saturday ....
  6. Mephistopheles
    link...i still see TBD? I didn't have any preference to the game times myself. I have office hours 1-3 CST on Wednesday and class 3-4 on Wednesday, so I was kinda hoping that the 5:30 one was the case. I'll probably skip the class and use MLB.tv or "other means, aka my PSP..." to watch the game during office hours. On Thursday I have a class to teach from 5-6 CST, so I was hoping for a slot not during then. This works out well.
  7. Mephistopheles
    and the only undefeated team in the SEC East is.....Vanderbilt.
  8. Mephistopheles
    yep, that was unreal What was said.
  9. Mephistopheles
    I will go with Cubs in five. I think we'll drop the opener to Lowe. Fire off two wins with Zambrano and Harden. Lilly will drop the fourth and the Cubs will win the finale with Dempster over Lowe, with Zambrano possibly coming in on short rest in relief.
  10. Mephistopheles
    Ranking of the Ten Starters for the Cubs and Dodgers, by VORP/GSish. I always love this way of grading production for starters. I've adjusted it for SoS and location of game. Something BP doesn't do to my liking. So its from the raw data, although I use their run factor: 1. 2.34 Rich Harden 2. 1.77 Ryan Dempster 3. 1.74 Carlos Zambrano 4. 1.39 Chad Billingsley 5. 1.38 Derek Lowe 6. 1.08 Ted Lilly 7. 0.92 Hiroki Kuroda 8. 0.87 Jason Marquis 9. 0.58 Clayton Kershaw 10. 0.37 Greg Maddux Note: Maddux and Harden's stats include time with San Diego and Oakland, respectively.
  11. Mephistopheles
    No.
  12. Mephistopheles
    Man I sure wish the Cardinals thought that Ryan Ludwick was a PCL hitter too. damn him.
  13. Mephistopheles
    Cro Magnon is correct. The way we apply park factors when looking at VALUE or PRODUCTION isn't only looking at their road numbers and saying this is how good they are. We take their home numbers, and take an average players numbers, scale them to that park and look at the difference. There certainly are players who fit certain parks better than others as well as players who fit their parks really bad. So yes, Coors helps Holliday, but he still takes advantage of it a heck of a lot more than anyone else.
  14. Mephistopheles
    checking up on the accuracy (only last two weeks) 12-3 90+ 4-1 80-90 6-3 70-80 1-3 60-70 2-2 50-60
  15. Mephistopheles
    89.7% #1 Oklahoma over Baylor 82.9% #2 Alabama over Kentucky 60.9% Nebraska over #4 Missouri 85.9% #5 Texas over Colorado 92.0% #6 Penn State over Purdue 61.7% #7 Texas Tech over Kansas State 96.3% #8 BYU over Utah State 88.5% #9 USC over #23 Oregon 76.1% #11 USF over Pittsburgh 97.4% #12 Florida over Arkansas 59.3% #19 Vanderbilt over #13 Auburn 62.4% #14 Ohio State over #18 Wisconsin 53.4% #15 Utah over Oregon State 71.1% #16 Kansas over Iowa State 96.3% #17 Boise State over Louisiana Tech 94.8% #20 Virginia Tech over Western Kentucky 95.5% #21 Oklahoma State over Texas A&M 89.8% #22 Fresno State over Hawaii 62.5% North Carolina over #24 Connecticut Upset Alert Game of the Week
  16. Mephistopheles
    right...even if we had a 75% chance of winning each game (we dont) against the three nl playoff teams the chances we make the ws are only about 70 percent.
  17. Mephistopheles
    I would rather the Cubs face any Dodgers starter than Johan Santana and since the Cubs may have had to face him twice against the Mets that makes the Dodgers a better match up IMO. Also, while Manny is scary he is really the only major offensive threat while the Mets had Delgado, Wright and Beltran so I think they were the better offensive team. The Dodgers also played an easier schedule being in the NL West and had a worse record so that also supports the Mets being the better overall team. The Cubs could get beat in this series, but I don't think it is any tougher than the Mets would have been. Plus LA fans are not as obnoxious so that is a plus. imagine though if the games are the 5 est start time. fans will start showing up in the 9th.
  18. Mephistopheles
    No, no it's not. statistically speaking, the ranking of a team when you play them means more than their ranking later on. i know it's backwards, but facts are facts. damn them. then again also when you look at a media guide saying 'wins over top 10 team' this one will count there too.
  19. Mephistopheles
    Let's see Game 1: Ryan Dempster (1.77 VORP/GS) vs Derek Lowe (1.38 VORP/GS) Game 2: Carlos Zambrano (1.74 VORP/GS) vs Chad Billingsley (1.39 VORP/GS) Game 3: Rich Harden (2.34 VORP/GS) vs Hiroki Kuroda (0.92 VORP/GS) Game 4: Ted Lilly (1.08 VORP/GS) vs Greg Maddux (0.37 VORP/GS) Game 5: Ryan Dempster (1.77 VORP/GS) vs Derek Lowe (1.38 VORP/GS) You've got to like all of those pitching matchups. You've also got to like our offense over the Dodgers, if Soto's back. We'll survive without DeRosa. In case you're interested: 0.87 VORP/GS - Jason Marquis 0.58 VORP/GS - Clayton Kershaw
  20. Mephistopheles
    Im pretty sure giving up 30 points to UGA isn't really an issue. Giving up 42 to Illinois and calling yourself a national championship contender is. The Illini haven't gotten 25 or more against another FBS opponent. Not that it means anything, but statistically, the team allowing the least amount of yards per game in FBS is South Carolina. They're 11th in scoring defense as well. They don't have a very good offense, but they have a very good defense.
  21. Mephistopheles
    Calling calling the win over Clemson a win against a top 10 team is legitimately true. Calling a win against Clemson a quality win is entirely fine. Don't diss on Maryland who beat by everyone's favorite alignment of stars leads you to: Maryland over Cal over Michigan State over Notre Dame over Michigan over top 10 Wisconsin. I'm not saying Maryland is very good, but they do have more quality wins than Missouri and of course more than Illinois (Go Louisiana Lafayette!) You're right, I am a supporter of margin of victory. However, it's less important against weak teams, BUT if Missouri was as good as Alabama we would have expected them to beat Illinois by 19, SE Missouri St by 57 and Buffalo by 28. They were a TD below all of those. Granted they could have done that against SE Missouri St if they wanted. It just goes to show that we expected them to be winning like this, and in the only game against a decent opponent (Illinois) they were about a little over a TD worse than expected, which is important considering thats the best information we can go on. Clemson while certainly overrated at the beginning is better than the Illini and not to mention they went on the road and beat Georgia. Missouri hasn't left the state yet. No worries, I'll be at the UT game when Missouri is taken down though.
  22. Mephistopheles
    Bob Howry continues to amaze.
  23. Mephistopheles
    Did you watch the LSU vs Auburn game? I'm pretty sure the word dismantled can't be used to describe LSU's action on Auburn. It was a hell of a game where the two teams were pretty even. At the end of the day Auburn walked out with an L, but they certainly were not dismantled like Georgia was. Alabama's win was much, much more impressive than LSU's. Missouri hasn't played anybody. And no, Illinois doesn't count as somebody. Alabama has one quality win and one uber win. Missouri gave up 40 points to a team that scored like 20 against Louisiana-Lafayette. Missouri may be better, but at this point you can't make that argument based on the fact Missouri's played chopped liver and Alabama has made chopped liver out of two top ten teams on the road.
  24. Mephistopheles
    Actually, we could have three-ish. If Chicago wins, then they have to play Detroit tomorrow in a makeup. If Minnesota wins today and the Sox win tomorrow, then they play each other on Tuesday. If Minnesota loses today and the Sox lose tomorrow, then they must play each other on Tuesday. Finally, if the Sox lose today and the Twins lose today then the Sox must play Detroit tomorrow and win to cause a game on Tuesday.
  25. Mephistopheles
    Angel Guzman was impressive. With his stuff it's only a matter of time before he turns into a dependable starter, as long as he is healthy. Unfortunately, that will probably not be in the Cub organization.
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