Mephistopheles

Also don't forget, USC is not in the drivers seat to the Rose Bowl, Oregon State is. Imagine if Penn State is passed up by 1 loss teams and replays Oregon State in the Rose Bowl. Imagine the insanity.

I think the worse scenario is one of the undefeated teams getting jumped by a one loss team. 4 0 loss teams is pretty much impossible and if it ever happened, they could just point to it being bad luck. if a one loss team jumps an undefeated team, it will shatter the foundations of the bcs.

What sucks for Texas is if they still make the Big XII championship game, are ranked #3 (behind #1 Alabama and #2 Penn State) they will face #10-15 Missouri and will win. No one will be all that impressed with the win. They already knew they would beat Missouri (who has been exposed quite a bit of late and may even stumble before then). If Florida's sitting there at #4 and kicks Alabama's ass like they're supposed to, they take out the #1 team in impressive fashion and will in all probability jump Texas. I agree completly, I think Texas needs to have a decent little cushion over Florida going into the Championship Weekend to have a shot. Pretty much all of the tie-breaker scenarios favor Texas should Tech lose one game, so I think they still have a good shot to get in. Unless we have only two undefeated teams at the end of the regular season the BCS is primed to take another very large hit this year, Texas might just be one of the sacrificial lambs. I'm almost rooting for what would be the most disastrous BCS result ever: an undefeated Penn State not playing in a championship game, while 1-loss Big 12 and SEC champions do. PSU then beats a 1-loss USC in a meaningless Rose Bowl. Early returns are that Penn State is lower than Texas in one of the computers. They're also lower than Florida and Texas in another. This is a real possibility. That being said, I think Penn State will get their ass handed to them by USC. USC's defense has given up more than 10 points once all season. I don't think Penn State would stand a chance against the Trojans. The Trojans don't lose to good teams.

I don't think the cushion will matter with the voters. Florida will also be top five in the computers going into the weekend. That extra game against Alabama will put them over the top in almost all scenarios. What hurts is that all the one loss teams are in the Big XII South. It'd be different if we saw Oklahoma and Texas again, or Texas and Texas Tech again. Even if Alabama has one loss (to LSU) and Florida beats them by two touchdowns, a win over 1 loss Alabama will be much more impressive than a win over two or three loss Missouri. The scary thing is that Florida will be a two touchdown favorite who, in most people's minds, will the underdog. And given the last two years performances by SEC teams in the title game (an the Auburn debacle in 2004) I think a 1 loss SEC team which has kicked everyone's ass for the last two months will be given the benefit of the doubt - whether that's right or not is a different question. Florida's going to make up ground in the computers before the SEC Championship Game. Florida State's probably going to be ranked 20-30 in most computer polls - at the worst (currently #19 in Sagarin). That game's also in Tallahassee. The game at Vanderbilt will help a bit, #40. The game that worries me is the Spurrier Bowl. If you recall, 2 years ago Florida needed a miracle to walk out with the win via a blocked kick in the last minute. I have South Carolina in the top 25, an they may be the best three loss team in the country. They're moving up. The Ole Ball Coach has a forgotten team there. With Steven Garcia at the helm, they've got a very pretty good developing offense. Garcia has not played a lot, but has NFL tools. Spurrier can make him into something quickly. South Carolina's defense is something else this year. They only gave up 14 to Georgia. They may be the best defense in the league outside of Florida - which is why I think they match up well against the Big XII teams. Either way, South Carolina will be ranked top 25 by that game, if not already so. Of course the Citadel won't matter.

Weird, the SEC jumped from #4 to #2 in one week and is only percentage points behind the Big XII. Conferences: 78.48 Big XII 78.30 SEC 76.93 Big Ten 76.56 Atlantic Coast 73.36 Big East 72.90 Pac 10 The ACC's not as bad as people say, they just don't have elite teams. Everyone's decent. Ironically enough, Florida's win over Miami is looking better every week. Miami is top 25 by both predictor and bcs sagarin. Florida's loss to Ole Miss isn't looking all that bad. Ole Miss is ranked next to Kansas, at #31. I am playing god with the Colley Rankings. I inserted in Miami over Virginia, Florida over Georgia, Texas Tech over Texas, Ole Miss over Auburn. It spits out: 1. Texas 2. Alabama 3. Texas Tech 4. Florida 5. Penn State And probability of running the table 61.7% Penn State 12.6% Alabama 9.3% Texas Tech

What sucks for Texas is if they still make the Big XII championship game, are ranked #3 (behind #1 Alabama and #2 Penn State) they will face #10-15 Missouri and will win. No one will be all that impressed with the win. They already knew they would beat Missouri (who has been exposed quite a bit of late and may even stumble before then). If Florida's sitting there at #4 and kicks Alabama's ass like they're supposed to, they take out the #1 team in impressive fashion and will in all probability jump Texas.

Florida is closing in on USC. 103.9 to 102.6. Sagarin is a HUGE drop off after USC and Florida. Apparently USC and Florida are a touchdown better than Penn State. Last Week in Parentheses, color denotes 4 week change. Green means huge upward movement (+3 points) and red means huge downward movements (-3 points) 1. 103.90 USC (1) 2. 102.61 Florida (2) 3. 96.02 Penn State (3) 4. 94.01 Texas (4) 5. 92.29 Oklahoma (5) 6. 90.62 Alabama (7) 7. 88.53 Texas Tech (9) 8. 87.80 Oklahoma State (8) 9. 87.77 Texas Christian (11) 10. 87.39 Missouri (6) BCS Version 1. Texas Tech (10) 2. Alabama (2) 3. Texas (1) 4. Penn State (3) 5. Utah (7) 6. Oklahoma (8) 7. Florida (15) 8. Boise State (5) 9. Georgia (6) 10. Oklahoma State (4) The worst computer poll for Florida has been Sagarin most of the season. Some things that are interesting: SOS of Alabama, Texas Tech and Penn State #56 Alabama #64 Texas Tech #66 Penn State They've played schedules that are essentially the same in difficulty. Penn State's and Alabama's schedules aren't all that differently until the SEC Championship game.

i have no idea if you follow the NBA or not. I certainly don't. So no, I wasn't playing that angle.

Youre not a real sooner fan considering you get it on with a longhorn. Dont come down on me because you've got your problems.

better than a shirtless picture of Adam Dunn.

and the entire time ive been saying that they shouldnt jump an undefeated team because of that...funny how you guys omit that.

1. 9-0 Alabama 2. 9-0 Penn State 3. 7-1 Florida 4. 9-0 Texas Tech 5. 8-1 Texas 6. 8-1 Oklahoma 7. 7-1 USC 8. 8-1 Oklahoma State 9. 9-0 Utah 10. 8-1 TCU 11. 7-2 Georgia 12. 7-2 Ohio State 13. 7-2 Missouri 14. 8-0 Boise State 15. 6-2 LSU 16. 6-2 North Carolina 17. 8-1 Brigham Young 18. 8-0 Ball State 19. 6-2 California 20. 8-2 Michigan State 21. 7-2 Georgia Tech 22. 6-2 West Virginia 23. 6-2 Florida State 24. 6-3 Kansas 25. 6-3 South Carolina

you can hear a pin drop across downtown austin

Oklahoma ripped a big one on TCU. The Big XII is probably the best conference this year, but they probably have the worst collective defenses in the country.

wouldnt it be the greatest thing ever if UT was about to run it back and the fans tackled Shipley? Cal Band 2.0

Tech has an academic reputation?

[expletive].

im not saying that they dont have good depth. i am saying that they don't have the depth in pure athleticism of Florida or USC. Sure they have one or two guys who can match up speed wise for Harvin. Florida and USC have four or five other guys on offense alone. And I'm really talking about their defense more than anything. I don't think they'd be able to score much on Florida or USC, two teams who have better defenses than Ohio State and a lot more speed and depth.

You're right on this one. They match up better with the SEC teams. As I said last week, their athleticism depth doesn't match up and I'd be worried about them in the second half against a USC, Florida. I do think their defense could stop Big XII teams and their offense could put up enough points to win against them. Not sure they can do much on Florida or USC. They won't be able to score much, and I think the depth of skill athleticism of USC and UF could make it ugly in the second half as the starters for Penn State wear down.

why not add the yankees? ARod had a scholarship to play QB at Miami.

worked for florida in 06 and lsu in 07. itll probably work against penn state in 08

and they should be.

you obviously cant use wins and losses...but to you guys thats all that you can use!

Well thats because people are stupid. But you may be right.

I diasgree. Butch Davis really has that Tarheel program turned around. They might be the best team in the ACC, which isn't saying much, but certainly is deserving of a top 25 ranking.