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Everything posted by Mephistopheles
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Only the Giants
Mephistopheles replied to mdwilla's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
If he signed with the Giants he'd have a lot of games pitching in pitcher friendly parks. i dont know if you you dont know by now, but i dont judge pitchers that way. -
ive got tix to UT vs Stetson friday. god i know nothing about college basketball. apparently texas is ranked #7
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Only the Giants
Mephistopheles replied to mdwilla's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
hey guys id bet money that 09 howry is more 07 howry than 08 howry -
Hey let's look at efficiency of offenses ignoring quality of defenses. Don't worry I am working on ways to implement this. Somethings to consider: 1. Right now all penalties are ignored. 2. Right now all special teams are ignored. This is because I am measuring OFFENSE. These won't map to total points scored because there are other factors determining where you start. Namely your defense, special teams and penalties. But we're not concerned with those. We're only concerned about offense. +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | Offense | Pts | Plays | PGA | PPP | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | TULSA | 211.942 | 613 | 26.4927500 | 0.34575 | | TEXAS TECH | 179.752 | 541 | 25.6788571 | 0.33226 | | OKLAHOMA | 204.963 | 633 | 25.6203750 | 0.32380 | | TEXAS | 207.562 | 663 | 23.0624444 | 0.31306 | | FLORIDA | 151.663 | 512 | 18.9578750 | 0.29622 | | OKLAHOMA STATE | 168.272 | 581 | 21.0340000 | 0.28962 | | SOUTHERN CAL | 158.542 | 554 | 19.8177500 | 0.28618 | | BALL STATE | 115.977 | 422 | 19.3295000 | 0.27483 | | MISSOURI | 149.108 | 576 | 18.6385000 | 0.25887 | | RICE | 160.835 | 681 | 17.8705556 | 0.23617 | | LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE | 133.437 | 575 | 16.6796250 | 0.23206 | | PENN ST | 127.903 | 564 | 15.9878750 | 0.22678 | | KANSAS | 124.351 | 584 | 15.5438750 | 0.21293 | | BRIGHAM YOUNG | 119.772 | 570 | 14.9715000 | 0.21013 | | FRESNO ST | 110.606 | 548 | 13.8257500 | 0.20184 | | NEVADA | 106.116 | 534 | 15.1594286 | 0.19872 | | NEBRASKA | 126.414 | 645 | 14.0460000 | 0.19599 | | HOUSTON | 106.498 | 566 | 15.2140000 | 0.18816 | | UNLV | 112.415 | 599 | 12.4905556 | 0.18767 | | UTAH | 105.492 | 580 | 13.1865000 | 0.18188 | | BUFFALO | 112.180 | 638 | 12.4644444 | 0.17583 | | ARIZONA | 98.121 | 560 | 12.2651250 | 0.17522 | | OREGON STATE | 102.277 | 597 | 12.7846250 | 0.17132 | | LOUISIANA STATE | 82.598 | 487 | 11.7997143 | 0.16961 | | SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI | 117.602 | 721 | 13.0668889 | 0.16311 | | CENTRAL MICHIGAN | 97.623 | 604 | 12.2028750 | 0.16163 | | ILLINOIS | 90.669 | 566 | 11.3336250 | 0.16019 | | TCU | 110.816 | 707 | 12.3128889 | 0.15674 | | TEXAS A&M | 95.205 | 608 | 10.5783333 | 0.15659 | | NAVY | 80.257 | 525 | 10.0321250 | 0.15287 | | ALABAMA | 79.279 | 524 | 9.9098750 | 0.15130 | | OREGON | 108.911 | 730 | 12.1012222 | 0.14919 | | BOISE STATE | 74.011 | 499 | 10.5730000 | 0.14832 | | GEORGIA | 81.721 | 554 | 10.2151250 | 0.14751 | | KANSAS ST | 81.921 | 582 | 10.2401250 | 0.14076 | | BAYLOR | 75.376 | 536 | 9.4220000 | 0.14063 | | WEST VIRGINIA UNIVERSITY | 61.686 | 449 | 8.8122857 | 0.13739 | | TEXAS EL PASO | 75.298 | 569 | 9.4122500 | 0.13233 | | STANFORD | 72.883 | 586 | 8.0981111 | 0.12437 | | MEMPHIS | 77.854 | 629 | 9.7317500 | 0.12377 | | NORTH CAROLINA | 55.243 | 451 | 7.8918571 | 0.12249 | | PITTSBURGH | 72.035 | 596 | 9.0043750 | 0.12086 | | WESTERN MICHIGAN | 68.097 | 571 | 8.5121250 | 0.11926 | | CALIFORNIA | 67.790 | 578 | 8.4737500 | 0.11728 | | MISSISSIPPI | 62.845 | 537 | 7.8556250 | 0.11703 | | KENT STATE | 65.970 | 567 | 8.2462500 | 0.11635 | | AKRON | 64.212 | 566 | 8.0265000 | 0.11345 | | BOWLING GREEN | 68.925 | 616 | 7.6583333 | 0.11189 | | NORTHERN ILLINOIS | 51.588 | 467 | 7.3697143 | 0.11047 | | TROY UNIVERSITY | 56.090 | 509 | 8.0128571 | 0.11020 | | MARYLAND | 48.383 | 443 | 6.9118571 | 0.10922 | | COLORADO STATE | 59.582 | 562 | 7.4477500 | 0.10602 | | GEORGIA TECH | 45.198 | 437 | 6.4568571 | 0.10343 | | IOWA | 54.437 | 529 | 6.8046250 | 0.10291 | | WISCONSIN | 65.797 | 657 | 7.3107778 | 0.10015 | | SOUTH FLORIDA | 59.910 | 600 | 7.4887500 | 0.09985 | | MINNESOTA | 54.579 | 570 | 6.8223750 | 0.09575 | | MICHIGAN ST | 70.278 | 736 | 7.0278000 | 0.09549 | | FLORIDA ST | 40.822 | 442 | 6.8036667 | 0.09236 | | LOUISIANA MONROE | 47.378 | 527 | 5.9222500 | 0.08990 | | ARKANSAS STATE | 41.596 | 475 | 5.9422857 | 0.08757 | | LOUISVILLE | 43.334 | 497 | 6.1905714 | 0.08719 | | MIAMI FLORIDA | 41.024 | 534 | 5.1280000 | 0.07682 | | CINCINNATI | 33.833 | 470 | 4.8332857 | 0.07199 | | AIR FORCE ACADEMY | 41.957 | 584 | 5.2446250 | 0.07184 | | UTAH STATE | 42.664 | 599 | 4.7404444 | 0.07123 | | OHIO STATE | 35.653 | 508 | 4.4566250 | 0.07018 | | RUTGERS | 32.271 | 460 | 4.6101429 | 0.07015 | | NORTHWESTERN | 43.489 | 621 | 5.4361250 | 0.07003 | | EAST CAROLINA | 36.813 | 553 | 4.6016250 | 0.06657 | | TOLEDO | 33.553 | 531 | 4.1941250 | 0.06319 | | SOUTHERN METHODIST UNIVERSITY | 26.039 | 476 | 3.2548750 | 0.05470 | | MARSHALL | 26.831 | 500 | 3.8330000 | 0.05366 | | CONNECTICUT | 30.086 | 587 | 3.7607500 | 0.05125 | | NEW MEXICO | 34.697 | 716 | 3.4697000 | 0.04846 | | UAB | 26.674 | 551 | 3.3342500 | 0.04841 | | DUKE | 24.442 | 510 | 3.4917143 | 0.04793 | | VANDERBILT | 21.919 | 475 | 2.7398750 | 0.04615 | | NOTRE DAME | 24.467 | 586 | 3.0583750 | 0.04175 | | SYRACUSE | 16.562 | 428 | 2.3660000 | 0.03870 | | TULANE | 22.086 | 599 | 2.7607500 | 0.03687 | | IOWA ST | 20.830 | 567 | 2.6037500 | 0.03674 | | BOSTON COLLEGE | 18.380 | 519 | 2.6257143 | 0.03541 | | MICHIGAN | 18.609 | 581 | 2.0676667 | 0.03203 | | ARKANSAS | 17.928 | 573 | 2.2410000 | 0.03129 | | IDAHO | 17.605 | 623 | 1.9561111 | 0.02826 | | NEW MEXICO ST | 12.115 | 503 | 1.7307143 | 0.02409 | | FLORIDA ATLANTIC | 11.358 | 476 | 1.6225714 | 0.02386 | | INDIANA | 11.270 | 489 | 1.6100000 | 0.02305 | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 13.422 | 584 | 1.6777500 | 0.02298 | | NORTH TEXAS | 13.660 | 629 | 1.7075000 | 0.02172 | | EASTERN MICHIGAN | 12.768 | 658 | 1.4186667 | 0.01940 | | SAN DIEGO ST | 9.305 | 517 | 1.1631250 | 0.01800 | | NORTH CAROLINA ST | 7.403 | 438 | 1.0575714 | 0.01690 | | PURDUE | 7.992 | 614 | 0.9990000 | 0.01302 | | VIRGINIA | 6.500 | 545 | 0.8125000 | 0.01193 | | WASHINGTON | 5.183 | 536 | 0.6478750 | 0.00967 | | FLORIDA INTL | 4.122 | 495 | 0.5152500 | 0.00833 | | SAN JOSE STATE | 3.071 | 551 | 0.3838750 | 0.00557 | | CLEMSON | 1.240 | 356 | 0.2066667 | 0.00348 | | VIRGINIA TECH | 0.910 | 395 | 0.1516667 | 0.00230 | | TENNESSEE | 1.073 | 557 | 0.1192222 | 0.00193 | | ARMY | 0.480 | 527 | 0.0600000 | 0.00091 | | MISSISSIPPI ST | -0.361 | 542 | -0.0451250 | -0.00067 | | UCLA | -0.573 | 560 | -0.0716250 | -0.00102 | | SOUTH CAROLINA | -1.633 | 565 | -0.2041250 | -0.00289 | | HAWAII | -1.960 | 528 | -0.2450000 | -0.00371 | | LOUISIANA TECH | -4.852 | 499 | -0.6931429 | -0.00972 | | ARIZONA STATE | -6.030 | 485 | -0.8614286 | -0.01243 | | OHIO UNIVERSITY | -8.110 | 557 | -1.0137500 | -0.01456 | | MIAMI OHIO | -10.801 | 578 | -1.3501250 | -0.01869 | | COLORADO | -12.832 | 596 | -1.6040000 | -0.02153 | | TEMPLE UNIVERSITY | -12.547 | 569 | -1.3941111 | -0.02205 | | WYOMING | -12.562 | 523 | -1.5702500 | -0.02402 | | WAKE FOREST | -21.361 | 607 | -2.6701250 | -0.03519 | | AUBURN | -26.948 | 641 | -2.9942222 | -0.04204 | | KENTUCKY | -37.083 | 497 | -5.2975714 | -0.07461 | | UCF | -41.018 | 453 | -5.8597143 | -0.09055 | | WASHINGTON STATE | -63.710 | 510 | -7.9637500 | -0.12492 | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ A few observations: 1. Yes: Some offenses have negatively affected their teams. 2. WTF, LSU. What I haven't taken off for are points going the other way. Ie a pick 6 hurting your team by 6 points. I am thinking of just looking at turnovers independently. Right now a turnover is like failing on fourth down. 3. Everyones been bitching about the lack of offense USC has shown. USC's offense has been quite good. It's their special teams and defense creating turnovers that appears to keep points off the board, not so much the offense. Now we can do the same thing for defenses. +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | Defense | Pts | Plays | PGA | PPP | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | SOUTHERN CAL | -63.048 | 518 | -7.8810000 | -0.12171 | | BOISE STATE | -47.134 | 501 | -6.7334286 | -0.09408 | | TCU | -30.564 | 523 | -3.3960000 | -0.05844 | | ALABAMA | -27.676 | 516 | -3.4595000 | -0.05364 | | CALIFORNIA | -28.054 | 594 | -3.5067500 | -0.04723 | | FLORIDA | -23.465 | 526 | -2.9331250 | -0.04461 | | BOSTON COLLEGE | -12.977 | 443 | -1.8538571 | -0.02929 | | PENN ST | -15.147 | 523 | -1.8933750 | -0.02896 | | IOWA | -15.267 | 557 | -1.9083750 | -0.02741 | | TENNESSEE | -15.111 | 621 | -1.6790000 | -0.02433 | | WEST VIRGINIA UNIVERSITY | -11.357 | 494 | -1.6224286 | -0.02299 | | GEORGIA TECH | -9.444 | 480 | -1.3491429 | -0.01968 | | AUBURN | -10.560 | 615 | -1.1733333 | -0.01717 | | SOUTH CAROLINA | -8.451 | 509 | -1.0563750 | -0.01660 | | VANDERBILT | -7.168 | 564 | -0.8960000 | -0.01271 | | CLEMSON | -5.177 | 438 | -0.8628333 | -0.01182 | | UTAH | -4.232 | 507 | -0.5290000 | -0.00835 | | NORTHERN ILLINOIS | -2.834 | 422 | -0.4048571 | -0.00672 | | FLORIDA ST | -1.555 | 386 | -0.2591667 | -0.00403 | | OHIO STATE | 1.664 | 530 | 0.2080000 | 0.00314 | | KENTUCKY | 1.641 | 502 | 0.2344286 | 0.00327 | | NORTHWESTERN | 2.113 | 595 | 0.2641250 | 0.00355 | | EAST CAROLINA | 2.838 | 545 | 0.3547500 | 0.00521 | | AIR FORCE ACADEMY | 6.023 | 563 | 0.7528750 | 0.01070 | | ARIZONA | 7.967 | 534 | 0.9958750 | 0.01492 | | ARMY | 10.897 | 500 | 1.3621250 | 0.02179 | | TEMPLE UNIVERSITY | 15.835 | 673 | 1.7594444 | 0.02353 | | OREGON | 17.153 | 725 | 1.9058889 | 0.02366 | | NORTH CAROLINA | 13.206 | 519 | 1.8865714 | 0.02545 | | SAN JOSE STATE | 14.103 | 533 | 1.7628750 | 0.02646 | | MINNESOTA | 15.469 | 527 | 1.9336250 | 0.02935 | | BALL STATE | 12.695 | 421 | 2.1158333 | 0.03015 | | MICHIGAN ST | 24.546 | 697 | 2.4546000 | 0.03522 | | CONNECTICUT | 20.659 | 526 | 2.5823750 | 0.03928 | | NOTRE DAME | 23.578 | 561 | 2.9472500 | 0.04203 | | SOUTH FLORIDA | 22.019 | 522 | 2.7523750 | 0.04218 | | OREGON STATE | 22.444 | 508 | 2.8055000 | 0.04418 | | DUKE | 24.082 | 481 | 3.4402857 | 0.05007 | | WAKE FOREST | 27.249 | 532 | 3.4061250 | 0.05122 | | OKLAHOMA | 30.626 | 586 | 3.8282500 | 0.05226 | | TEXAS | 34.695 | 631 | 3.8550000 | 0.05498 | | TEXAS TECH | 30.170 | 493 | 4.3100000 | 0.06120 | | FLORIDA INTL | 40.116 | 618 | 5.0145000 | 0.06491 | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 35.658 | 544 | 4.4572500 | 0.06555 | | CINCINNATI | 36.044 | 528 | 5.1491429 | 0.06827 | | ARKANSAS STATE | 32.903 | 480 | 4.7004286 | 0.06855 | | UCF | 37.039 | 529 | 5.2912857 | 0.07002 | | ILLINOIS | 40.732 | 570 | 5.0915000 | 0.07146 | | MIAMI FLORIDA | 42.008 | 567 | 5.2510000 | 0.07409 | | KANSAS | 45.146 | 597 | 5.6432500 | 0.07562 | | OHIO UNIVERSITY | 41.823 | 548 | 5.2278750 | 0.07632 | | OKLAHOMA STATE | 44.141 | 577 | 5.5176250 | 0.07650 | | PURDUE | 45.765 | 593 | 5.7206250 | 0.07718 | | VIRGINIA TECH | 29.035 | 376 | 4.8391667 | 0.07722 | | STANFORD | 52.079 | 672 | 5.7865556 | 0.07750 | | NEW MEXICO | 54.548 | 688 | 5.4548000 | 0.07928 | | MICHIGAN | 56.898 | 682 | 6.3220000 | 0.08343 | | LOUISIANA STATE | 36.776 | 439 | 5.2537143 | 0.08377 | | BRIGHAM YOUNG | 47.256 | 558 | 5.9070000 | 0.08469 | | WISCONSIN | 51.406 | 592 | 5.7117778 | 0.08683 | | MISSISSIPPI | 50.311 | 558 | 6.2888750 | 0.09016 | | WYOMING | 50.353 | 558 | 6.2941250 | 0.09024 | | BUFFALO | 55.699 | 616 | 6.1887778 | 0.09042 | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 51.788 | 567 | 6.4735000 | 0.09134 | | LOUISVILLE | 44.297 | 472 | 6.3281429 | 0.09385 | | HAWAII | 56.016 | 574 | 7.0020000 | 0.09759 | | MARYLAND | 53.069 | 543 | 7.5812857 | 0.09773 | | TULSA | 57.652 | 562 | 7.2065000 | 0.10258 | | WESTERN MICHIGAN | 65.111 | 598 | 8.1388750 | 0.10888 | | TROY UNIVERSITY | 59.385 | 543 | 8.4835714 | 0.10936 | | AKRON | 66.038 | 603 | 8.2547500 | 0.10952 | | GEORGIA | 53.662 | 489 | 6.7077500 | 0.10974 | | VIRGINIA | 62.274 | 556 | 7.7842500 | 0.11200 | | PITTSBURGH | 58.755 | 521 | 7.3443750 | 0.11277 | | FRESNO ST | 68.858 | 575 | 8.6072500 | 0.11975 | | BOWLING GREEN | 78.827 | 658 | 8.7585556 | 0.11980 | | LOUISIANA TECH | 59.672 | 480 | 8.5245714 | 0.12432 | | UCLA | 69.982 | 553 | 8.7477500 | 0.12655 | | ARIZONA STATE | 63.308 | 499 | 9.0440000 | 0.12687 | | COLORADO | 72.470 | 569 | 9.0587500 | 0.12736 | | NEBRASKA | 78.485 | 592 | 8.7205556 | 0.13258 | | NEW MEXICO ST | 69.402 | 493 | 9.9145714 | 0.14077 | | SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI | 91.803 | 649 | 10.2003333 | 0.14145 | | RUTGERS | 64.459 | 455 | 9.2084286 | 0.14167 | | TULANE | 66.522 | 469 | 8.3152500 | 0.14184 | | ARKANSAS | 79.741 | 558 | 9.9676250 | 0.14291 | | NAVY | 72.475 | 507 | 9.0593750 | 0.14295 | | TOLEDO | 85.577 | 568 | 10.6971250 | 0.15066 | | FLORIDA ATLANTIC | 80.191 | 524 | 11.4558571 | 0.15304 | | MISSOURI | 93.255 | 608 | 11.6568750 | 0.15338 | | TEXAS A&M | 104.285 | 669 | 11.5872222 | 0.15588 | | CENTRAL MICHIGAN | 86.279 | 548 | 10.7848750 | 0.15744 | | MARSHALL | 84.815 | 538 | 12.1164286 | 0.15765 | | LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE | 92.191 | 583 | 11.5238750 | 0.15813 | | LOUISIANA MONROE | 95.166 | 595 | 11.8957500 | 0.15994 | | BAYLOR | 103.609 | 627 | 12.9511250 | 0.16525 | | HOUSTON | 87.181 | 524 | 12.4544286 | 0.16638 | | KENT STATE | 96.267 | 570 | 12.0333750 | 0.16889 | | UTAH STATE | 114.638 | 671 | 12.7375556 | 0.17085 | | NORTH CAROLINA ST | 86.684 | 505 | 12.3834286 | 0.17165 | | NEVADA | 88.259 | 509 | 12.6084286 | 0.17340 | | MIAMI OHIO | 97.441 | 513 | 12.1801250 | 0.18994 | | COLORADO STATE | 107.680 | 539 | 13.4600000 | 0.19978 | | INDIANA | 111.204 | 547 | 15.8862857 | 0.20330 | | EASTERN MICHIGAN | 120.974 | 579 | 13.4415556 | 0.20894 | | MEMPHIS | 110.031 | 521 | 13.7538750 | 0.21119 | | SAN DIEGO ST | 132.586 | 627 | 16.5732500 | 0.21146 | | RICE | 141.992 | 662 | 15.7768889 | 0.21449 | | KANSAS ST | 134.677 | 627 | 16.8346250 | 0.21480 | | SYRACUSE | 131.993 | 513 | 18.8561429 | 0.25730 | | IDAHO | 167.790 | 651 | 18.6433333 | 0.25774 | | UNLV | 166.115 | 639 | 18.4572222 | 0.25996 | | TEXAS EL PASO | 154.975 | 589 | 19.3718750 | 0.26312 | | IOWA ST | 145.869 | 549 | 18.2336250 | 0.26570 | | UAB | 155.006 | 569 | 19.3757500 | 0.27242 | | SOUTHERN METHODIST UNIVERSITY | 175.858 | 619 | 21.9822500 | 0.28410 | | NORTH TEXAS | 181.641 | 554 | 22.7051250 | 0.32787 | | WASHINGTON | 192.409 | 555 | 24.0511250 | 0.34668 | | WASHINGTON STATE | 211.024 | 568 | 26.3780000 | 0.37152 | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ No shocks at the top hey if we want to, we can restrict this to run defense! dont worry i will work on perfecting this +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | Defense | Pts | Plays | PGA | PPP | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | ALABAMA | -22.924 | 188 | -2.8655000 | -0.12194 | | TCU | -21.009 | 221 | -2.3343333 | -0.09506 | | OREGON | -27.851 | 309 | -3.0945556 | -0.09013 | | IOWA | -19.989 | 237 | -2.4986250 | -0.08434 | | SOUTHERN CAL | -19.834 | 253 | -2.4792500 | -0.07840 | | UTAH | -17.119 | 257 | -2.1398750 | -0.06661 | | TENNESSEE | -20.261 | 322 | -2.2512222 | -0.06292 | | SOUTH FLORIDA | -15.110 | 247 | -1.8887500 | -0.06117 | | LOUISIANA TECH | -12.001 | 238 | -1.7144286 | -0.05042 | | DUKE | -11.253 | 259 | -1.6075714 | -0.04345 | | EAST CAROLINA | -10.766 | 269 | -1.3457500 | -0.04002 | | TEXAS | -8.022 | 211 | -0.8913333 | -0.03802 | | WAKE FOREST | -10.121 | 270 | -1.2651250 | -0.03749 | | NEVADA | -5.228 | 183 | -0.7468571 | -0.02857 | | LOUISVILLE | -4.526 | 199 | -0.6465714 | -0.02274 | | KENTUCKY | -5.468 | 241 | -0.7811429 | -0.02269 | | CINCINNATI | -5.136 | 229 | -0.7337143 | -0.02243 | | TEMPLE UNIVERSITY | -8.031 | 370 | -0.8923333 | -0.02171 | | OKLAHOMA STATE | -4.622 | 217 | -0.5777500 | -0.02130 | | CALIFORNIA | -2.258 | 284 | -0.2822500 | -0.00795 | | NEW MEXICO | -2.429 | 348 | -0.2429000 | -0.00698 | | CLEMSON | -1.449 | 243 | -0.2415000 | -0.00596 | | BOISE STATE | -0.414 | 232 | -0.0591429 | -0.00178 | | SOUTH CAROLINA | -0.434 | 252 | -0.0542500 | -0.00172 | | VIRGINIA TECH | -0.350 | 214 | -0.0583333 | -0.00164 | | PENN ST | -0.287 | 258 | -0.0358750 | -0.00111 | | WEST VIRGINIA UNIVERSITY | 2.084 | 238 | 0.2977143 | 0.00876 | | FLORIDA | 2.217 | 229 | 0.2771250 | 0.00968 | | SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI | 4.280 | 329 | 0.4755556 | 0.01301 | | TULSA | 3.478 | 243 | 0.4347500 | 0.01431 | | GEORGIA | 3.074 | 213 | 0.3842500 | 0.01443 | | MINNESOTA | 3.638 | 239 | 0.4547500 | 0.01522 | | NORTHERN ILLINOIS | 2.912 | 191 | 0.4160000 | 0.01525 | | NAVY | 4.611 | 265 | 0.5763750 | 0.01740 | | AUBURN | 5.270 | 295 | 0.5855556 | 0.01786 | | AIR FORCE ACADEMY | 5.613 | 309 | 0.7016250 | 0.01817 | | MIAMI FLORIDA | 5.475 | 286 | 0.6843750 | 0.01914 | | GEORGIA TECH | 4.898 | 222 | 0.6997143 | 0.02206 | | OREGON STATE | 6.047 | 249 | 0.7558750 | 0.02429 | | ARMY | 6.501 | 267 | 0.8126250 | 0.02435 | | WYOMING | 8.680 | 297 | 1.0850000 | 0.02923 | | STANFORD | 8.725 | 279 | 0.9694444 | 0.03127 | | VANDERBILT | 8.863 | 275 | 1.1078750 | 0.03223 | | MICHIGAN | 12.531 | 335 | 1.3923333 | 0.03741 | | MICHIGAN ST | 13.119 | 325 | 1.3119000 | 0.04037 | | MISSOURI | 12.360 | 291 | 1.5450000 | 0.04247 | | MISSISSIPPI | 11.404 | 251 | 1.4255000 | 0.04543 | | WESTERN MICHIGAN | 13.454 | 292 | 1.6817500 | 0.04608 | | BOSTON COLLEGE | 10.423 | 223 | 1.4890000 | 0.04674 | | NOTRE DAME | 13.439 | 246 | 1.6798750 | 0.05463 | | FLORIDA INTL | 17.517 | 319 | 2.1896250 | 0.05491 | | NORTHWESTERN | 13.829 | 243 | 1.7286250 | 0.05691 | | WISCONSIN | 15.773 | 275 | 1.7525556 | 0.05736 | | FLORIDA ST | 10.531 | 178 | 1.7551667 | 0.05916 | | BRIGHAM YOUNG | 18.094 | 274 | 2.2617500 | 0.06604 | | OHIO STATE | 14.795 | 224 | 1.8493750 | 0.06605 | | MARYLAND | 16.659 | 245 | 2.3798571 | 0.06800 | | ARIZONA | 17.751 | 253 | 2.2188750 | 0.07016 | | TEXAS TECH | 15.813 | 211 | 2.2590000 | 0.07494 | | TROY UNIVERSITY | 20.962 | 279 | 2.9945714 | 0.07513 | | LOUISIANA STATE | 15.994 | 209 | 2.2848571 | 0.07653 | | NORTH CAROLINA | 16.603 | 215 | 2.3718571 | 0.07722 | | UCF | 19.184 | 240 | 2.7405714 | 0.07993 | | ARKANSAS STATE | 19.596 | 236 | 2.7994286 | 0.08303 | | KANSAS | 20.209 | 241 | 2.5261250 | 0.08385 | | ILLINOIS | 24.137 | 287 | 3.0171250 | 0.08410 | | CONNECTICUT | 22.234 | 257 | 2.7792500 | 0.08651 | | BUFFALO | 24.710 | 274 | 2.7455556 | 0.09018 | | RUTGERS | 24.380 | 267 | 3.4828571 | 0.09131 | | ARIZONA STATE | 23.511 | 255 | 3.3587143 | 0.09220 | | SAN JOSE STATE | 21.510 | 232 | 2.6887500 | 0.09272 | | BAYLOR | 30.792 | 323 | 3.8490000 | 0.09533 | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 28.349 | 297 | 3.5436250 | 0.09545 | | OHIO UNIVERSITY | 28.165 | 285 | 3.5206250 | 0.09882 | | VIRGINIA | 30.149 | 302 | 3.7686250 | 0.09983 | | UCLA | 30.074 | 297 | 3.7592500 | 0.10126 | | HAWAII | 31.777 | 312 | 3.9721250 | 0.10185 | | INDIANA | 31.143 | 294 | 4.4490000 | 0.10593 | | FRESNO ST | 32.416 | 305 | 4.0520000 | 0.10628 | | CENTRAL MICHIGAN | 27.037 | 243 | 3.3796250 | 0.11126 | | TULANE | 26.860 | 239 | 3.3575000 | 0.11238 | | PITTSBURGH | 29.119 | 257 | 3.6398750 | 0.11330 | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 34.599 | 297 | 4.3248750 | 0.11649 | | AKRON | 41.396 | 354 | 5.1745000 | 0.11694 | | OKLAHOMA | 29.033 | 247 | 3.6291250 | 0.11754 | | TOLEDO | 40.200 | 332 | 5.0250000 | 0.12108 | | PURDUE | 36.850 | 298 | 4.6062500 | 0.12366 | | NEBRASKA | 36.590 | 287 | 4.0655556 | 0.12749 | | COLORADO STATE | 35.617 | 266 | 4.4521250 | 0.13390 | | KENT STATE | 44.198 | 327 | 5.5247500 | 0.13516 | | FLORIDA ATLANTIC | 40.167 | 290 | 5.7381429 | 0.13851 | | ARKANSAS | 41.766 | 295 | 5.2207500 | 0.14158 | | MIAMI OHIO | 43.727 | 301 | 5.4658750 | 0.14527 | | IOWA ST | 44.967 | 307 | 5.6208750 | 0.14647 | | BALL STATE | 32.555 | 207 | 5.4258333 | 0.15727 | | BOWLING GREEN | 57.878 | 363 | 6.4308889 | 0.15944 | | TEXAS A&M | 64.141 | 363 | 7.1267778 | 0.17670 | | MARSHALL | 45.024 | 254 | 6.4320000 | 0.17726 | | COLORADO | 50.386 | 283 | 6.2982500 | 0.17804 | | HOUSTON | 54.794 | 305 | 7.8277143 | 0.17965 | | LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE | 56.249 | 313 | 7.0311250 | 0.17971 | | NORTH CAROLINA ST | 45.809 | 250 | 6.5441429 | 0.18324 | | EASTERN MICHIGAN | 63.806 | 348 | 7.0895556 | 0.18335 | | UAB | 55.499 | 302 | 6.9373750 | 0.18377 | | KANSAS ST | 60.170 | 324 | 7.5212500 | 0.18571 | | UNLV | 75.538 | 394 | 8.3931111 | 0.19172 | | TEXAS EL PASO | 60.410 | 310 | 7.5512500 | 0.19487 | | UTAH STATE | 63.751 | 316 | 7.0834444 | 0.20174 | | NEW MEXICO ST | 63.288 | 311 | 9.0411429 | 0.20350 | | MEMPHIS | 55.410 | 261 | 6.9262500 | 0.21230 | | LOUISIANA MONROE | 61.816 | 289 | 7.7270000 | 0.21390 | | IDAHO | 76.794 | 358 | 8.5326667 | 0.21451 | | SAN DIEGO ST | 92.336 | 429 | 11.5420000 | 0.21524 | | NORTH TEXAS | 61.725 | 281 | 7.7156250 | 0.21966 | | SYRACUSE | 62.865 | 283 | 8.9807143 | 0.22214 | | RICE | 66.054 | 291 | 7.3393333 | 0.22699 | | SOUTHERN METHODIST UNIVERSITY | 82.832 | 358 | 10.3540000 | 0.23137 | | WASHINGTON | 90.914 | 334 | 11.3642500 | 0.27220 | | WASHINGTON STATE | 140.262 | 363 | 17.5327500 | 0.38640 | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ or we can look at pass defenses +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | Defense | Pts | Plays | PGA | PPP | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+ | BOISE STATE | -27.241 | 261 | -3.8915714 | -0.10437 | | SOUTHERN CAL | -21.239 | 256 | -2.6548750 | -0.08296 | | BALL STATE | -5.645 | 204 | -0.9408333 | -0.02767 | | FLORIDA | -6.687 | 288 | -0.8358750 | -0.02322 | | CALIFORNIA | -5.043 | 300 | -0.6303750 | -0.01681 | | TCU | -4.378 | 300 | -0.4864444 | -0.01459 | | PENN ST | -1.352 | 255 | -0.1690000 | -0.00530 | | OHIO STATE | -0.512 | 297 | -0.0640000 | -0.00172 | | SAN JOSE STATE | -0.431 | 292 | -0.0538750 | -0.00148 | | GEORGIA TECH | 2.543 | 248 | 0.3632857 | 0.01025 | | BOSTON COLLEGE | 3.099 | 206 | 0.4427143 | 0.01504 | | WEST VIRGINIA UNIVERSITY | 4.107 | 244 | 0.5867143 | 0.01683 | | ARIZONA | 6.940 | 265 | 0.8675000 | 0.02619 | | SOUTH CAROLINA | 6.501 | 246 | 0.8126250 | 0.02643 | | NORTH CAROLINA | 10.311 | 292 | 1.4730000 | 0.03531 | | VANDERBILT | 10.036 | 275 | 1.2545000 | 0.03649 | | AUBURN | 13.129 | 303 | 1.4587778 | 0.04333 | | ALABAMA | 14.397 | 317 | 1.7996250 | 0.04542 | | CONNECTICUT | 13.744 | 258 | 1.7180000 | 0.05327 | | OKLAHOMA | 20.007 | 329 | 2.5008750 | 0.06081 | | NORTHWESTERN | 21.312 | 335 | 2.6640000 | 0.06362 | | NORTHERN ILLINOIS | 14.227 | 220 | 2.0324286 | 0.06467 | | AIR FORCE ACADEMY | 17.383 | 242 | 2.1728750 | 0.07183 | | FLORIDA ST | 15.906 | 192 | 2.6510000 | 0.08284 | | MICHIGAN ST | 31.944 | 360 | 3.1944000 | 0.08873 | | IOWA | 27.372 | 305 | 3.4215000 | 0.08974 | | UTAH | 23.741 | 240 | 2.9676250 | 0.09892 | | TENNESSEE | 27.758 | 277 | 3.0842222 | 0.10021 | | NOTRE DAME | 32.089 | 300 | 4.0111250 | 0.10696 | | TEXAS TECH | 32.932 | 269 | 4.7045714 | 0.12242 | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 28.237 | 230 | 3.5296250 | 0.12277 | | MINNESOTA | 34.795 | 272 | 4.3493750 | 0.12792 | | ARMY | 28.502 | 218 | 3.5627500 | 0.13074 | | ARKANSAS STATE | 32.699 | 235 | 4.6712857 | 0.13914 | | BOWLING GREEN | 39.637 | 281 | 4.4041111 | 0.14106 | | NEW MEXICO ST | 23.892 | 168 | 3.4131429 | 0.14221 | | KANSAS | 49.324 | 344 | 6.1655000 | 0.14338 | | OHIO UNIVERSITY | 36.712 | 250 | 4.5890000 | 0.14685 | | COLORADO | 39.999 | 271 | 4.9998750 | 0.14760 | | UCF | 42.462 | 274 | 6.0660000 | 0.15497 | | BRIGHAM YOUNG | 43.879 | 279 | 5.4848750 | 0.15727 | | FLORIDA INTL | 44.718 | 284 | 5.5897500 | 0.15746 | | ILLINOIS | 42.399 | 268 | 5.2998750 | 0.15821 | | PURDUE | 44.077 | 275 | 5.5096250 | 0.16028 | | TEMPLE UNIVERSITY | 47.224 | 291 | 5.2471111 | 0.16228 | | LOUISIANA STATE | 35.873 | 219 | 5.1247143 | 0.16380 | | EAST CAROLINA | 43.025 | 262 | 5.3781250 | 0.16422 | | OKLAHOMA STATE | 59.400 | 354 | 7.4250000 | 0.16780 | | KENTUCKY | 42.572 | 248 | 6.0817143 | 0.17166 | | CLEMSON | 30.935 | 179 | 5.1558333 | 0.17282 | | OREGON STATE | 41.830 | 241 | 5.2287500 | 0.17357 | | TEXAS | 70.529 | 403 | 7.8365556 | 0.17501 | | WISCONSIN | 53.757 | 302 | 5.9730000 | 0.17800 | | CINCINNATI | 51.331 | 287 | 7.3330000 | 0.17885 | | MISSISSIPPI | 52.906 | 295 | 6.6132500 | 0.17934 | | BUFFALO | 58.696 | 326 | 6.5217778 | 0.18005 | | SOUTH FLORIDA | 47.996 | 264 | 5.9995000 | 0.18180 | | TROY UNIVERSITY | 47.736 | 257 | 6.8194286 | 0.18574 | | OREGON | 74.378 | 396 | 8.2642222 | 0.18782 | | VIRGINIA | 45.757 | 243 | 5.7196250 | 0.18830 | | MARSHALL | 51.222 | 272 | 7.3174286 | 0.18832 | | AKRON | 45.572 | 237 | 5.6965000 | 0.19229 | | WAKE FOREST | 48.606 | 250 | 6.0757500 | 0.19442 | | PITTSBURGH | 49.758 | 252 | 6.2197500 | 0.19745 | | STANFORD | 75.107 | 377 | 8.3452222 | 0.19922 | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 52.014 | 256 | 6.5017500 | 0.20318 | | LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE | 52.461 | 255 | 6.5576250 | 0.20573 | | MIAMI FLORIDA | 56.059 | 269 | 7.0073750 | 0.20840 | | GEORGIA | 57.231 | 271 | 7.1538750 | 0.21118 | | MARYLAND | 61.107 | 286 | 8.7295714 | 0.21366 | | NEW MEXICO | 71.057 | 329 | 7.1057000 | 0.21598 | | TULSA | 67.036 | 309 | 8.3795000 | 0.21694 | | ARKANSAS | 57.141 | 250 | 7.1426250 | 0.22856 | | LOUISVILLE | 60.553 | 264 | 8.6504286 | 0.22937 | | TEXAS A&M | 66.541 | 289 | 7.3934444 | 0.23025 | | FLORIDA ATLANTIC | 52.641 | 224 | 7.5201429 | 0.23500 | | HOUSTON | 49.602 | 208 | 7.0860000 | 0.23847 | | WESTERN MICHIGAN | 69.892 | 293 | 8.7365000 | 0.23854 | | WYOMING | 58.750 | 246 | 7.3437500 | 0.23882 | | DUKE | 51.099 | 212 | 7.2998571 | 0.24103 | | LOUISIANA MONROE | 69.186 | 285 | 8.6482500 | 0.24276 | | MICHIGAN | 78.714 | 324 | 8.7460000 | 0.24294 | | UTAH STATE | 81.464 | 335 | 9.0515556 | 0.24318 | | TULANE | 54.560 | 222 | 6.8200000 | 0.24577 | | NEBRASKA | 72.794 | 290 | 8.0882222 | 0.25101 | | UCLA | 60.706 | 241 | 7.5882500 | 0.25189 | | FRESNO ST | 63.279 | 251 | 7.9098750 | 0.25211 | | ARIZONA STATE | 58.069 | 230 | 8.2955714 | 0.25247 | | RICE | 91.801 | 361 | 10.2001111 | 0.25430 | | NORTH CAROLINA ST | 61.427 | 238 | 8.7752857 | 0.25810 | | HAWAII | 63.524 | 240 | 7.9405000 | 0.26468 | | KENT STATE | 62.892 | 229 | 7.8615000 | 0.27464 | | VIRGINIA TECH | 42.215 | 153 | 7.0358333 | 0.27592 | | MISSOURI | 87.167 | 315 | 10.8958750 | 0.27672 | | CENTRAL MICHIGAN | 82.123 | 295 | 10.2653750 | 0.27838 | | BAYLOR | 82.794 | 294 | 10.3492500 | 0.28161 | | MEMPHIS | 71.649 | 249 | 8.9561250 | 0.28775 | | SAN DIEGO ST | 56.662 | 190 | 7.0827500 | 0.29822 | | SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI | 93.951 | 311 | 10.4390000 | 0.30209 | | COLORADO STATE | 82.779 | 266 | 10.3473750 | 0.31120 | | KANSAS ST | 93.617 | 293 | 11.7021250 | 0.31951 | | LOUISIANA TECH | 78.420 | 236 | 11.2028571 | 0.33229 | | TOLEDO | 74.040 | 221 | 9.2550000 | 0.33502 | | NAVY | 80.202 | 235 | 10.0252500 | 0.34129 | | SYRACUSE | 75.879 | 221 | 10.8398571 | 0.34334 | | MIAMI OHIO | 71.284 | 198 | 8.9105000 | 0.36002 | | NEVADA | 113.799 | 314 | 16.2570000 | 0.36242 | | RUTGERS | 63.556 | 171 | 9.0794286 | 0.37167 | | INDIANA | 93.012 | 240 | 13.2874286 | 0.38755 | | IDAHO | 109.993 | 281 | 12.2214444 | 0.39143 | | EASTERN MICHIGAN | 87.893 | 217 | 9.7658889 | 0.40504 | | TEXAS EL PASO | 112.839 | 272 | 14.1048750 | 0.41485 | | WASHINGTON STATE | 82.633 | 197 | 10.3291250 | 0.41946 | | SOUTHERN METHODIST UNIVERSITY | 113.519 | 248 | 16.2170000 | 0.45774 | | IOWA ST | 109.784 | 237 | 13.7230000 | 0.46322 | | UAB | 119.358 | 255 | 14.9197500 | 0.46807 | | UNLV | 110.566 | 232 | 12.2851111 | 0.47658 | | NORTH TEXAS | 130.366 | 265 | 16.2957500 | 0.49195 | | WASHINGTON | 109.681 | 213 | 13.7101250 | 0.51493 | +-------------------------------+---------+-------+------------+----------+
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everyone can have a bad century, right? hes only had a bad year
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It's because the sample sizes are much much smaller.
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This is interesting: http://i47.photobucket.com/albums/f189/kctigers23/Yardline.png Blue is obviously first down, green second and red third/fourth As someone who has analyzed the hell out of baseball and knows the general r^2s we get by doing various things to baseball statistics, simple polynomial regressions of degree two give us a strikingly accurate regression. For First Downs: ExPts = 6.0224623 - 0.0771018 * {Yardline} + 0.0002431 * {Yardline}^2 r^2 = .9916 For Second Downs: ExPts = 5.7606305 - 0.0819465 * {Yardline} + 0.0002937 * {Yardline}^2 r^2 = .9866 For Third/Fourth Downs: ExPts = 4.9337141 - 0.0804951 * {Yardline} + 0.0003323 * {Yardline}^2 r^2 = .9841
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Street is nothing to Beane. His experience is that solid closers grow on trees. Greg Smith, while still just 26, has no control and slightly above average strikeout stuff but gives up quite a few longballs. He's not really a Beane type pitcher. I am not surprised he flipped Gonzalez at all. I figured Gonzalez would get traded. His perceived value is much higher than his actual value (in Beane's eyes). I really don't think Beane makes this deal unless he thinks he has enough money to sign Holliday long term. I honestly don't see him giving up a whole lot
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This. I haven't watched a complete game since the Michael Jordan Era. With the Bulls.
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god. you guys have no idea how to analyze how good a defense is. how often you allow someone to get into scoring range is a lot better indicator of how bad your defense is than whether or not you fave up a TD or a field goal. youre analyzing it from the offensive point of view, not the defensive point of view. ability to prevent TDs relative to field goals is random. just like fumbles. youre also looking at aggregate points which is useless. the point is we've taken a group of four teams who roughly score about 1 out 3 times in each of their drives in the conference (some above, some below) who then nearly scored 60 percent of the time out of 50 or so chances. That's a lot of information. Obviously, we can do the connections elsewhere, and the more you expand this the more you see the ACC increase relative to the Big XII, while the other conferences seem to maintain their rankings relative to the ACC. There are ways to objectively define these relationships. The more and more you dig the worse and worse it gets for the Big XII defenses and eventually that factors down to the offense, to a certain extent. I really dont see why you think you can argue that the defenses in this conference arent any worse than defenses in other conferences. Just watch the games. They are terrible. Blown assignments left and right. 15 yard windows to throw in all day, not to mention three QBs with record breaking completion rates. factor all of this in, and you've got a conference full of bad defenses. that being said, ive maintained the entire time that the offenses are still good, but not as good as most people think. in fact florida plays real defenses and scores better than anyone in the big xii, except texas tech and texas tech played two fcs schools in nonconference.
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You can't look at it that way. You're talking about teams that usually score only 2 out of 12 times scoring 3 out of 13 times or something. I am talking about teams that usually hit 4 out of 12 times hitting 28 out of 42 times. In fact, the probability that the defenses they faced being as good as the average defense on their schedule is less than one in twenty. I'm sorry, the simple fact is we have enough evidence to say diffuse the argument that the Big XII defenses are as good as the ACC's. Yes, it is only four games, but the data is enough of an outlier to make the conclusion. Once you accept that the defenses in the conference are worse than your typical defense in other BCS conferences, it's pretty easy to see that the offensive numbers by OU, Mizzou, Tech, Okie State and UT are inflated. There's no discussion here. You cannot argue otherwise. It's not up for debate. Its pretty much a statement of fact. How much to deflate them is up for debate, however. Anyways even if you COULD look at it that way, I am not trying to make an argument about the quality of the ACC defenses. The simple fact is that these ACC teams have had their best outputs against Big XII teams...and those outputs are comparable to the "elite" offenses of the Big XII. We're not talking about a slight increase. It's pretty damn substantial.
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i dont think texas tech would score much on USC though...but that's for an entirely different reason. im not so sure florida could break four TDs or so on USC.
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wait until UCLA gets heartbroken in the final four again. oh wait theyre not good enough to get there* *i have no idea if they are good or not or average or ranked. i couldnt name any good teams in the NBA or college basketball this year.
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I didn't say that. You completely missed it.
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youre right i didnt see them knuckle ball on the left. the other is a variant of a two seam, although i cant tell if his fingers are on the seams or not. it doesnt look like they are. if they were, it would be a slider, cutter, curve etc in all likelihood. really grips dont mean a whole lot. you can throw the same pitch with many different grips. you can throw many pitches with the same grip. it really comes down to what you try to do with you throw it and which ever grip feels most comfortable to you and/or fits your armslot and hand size the most.
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Can I say howrybrick? Because I think I'm a brick of [expletive] too. Edit: Apparently I can, it didn't edit. But we don't want to get Raisin's panties in a knot so I'll filter it myself. Raisin's panties are already in a bunch thanks to that "football" team they call UCLA or something.
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am I a veteran? i think Im a douche bag. Can I say douche bag?

