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Mephistopheles

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Everything posted by Mephistopheles

  1. Mephistopheles
    I'm not sure how many of them were it posted by me, or me quoting someone who used it. search.php?keywords=stupid&terms=all&author=mephistopheles&sc=1&sf=all&sk=t&sd=d&sr=posts&st=0&ch=300&t=0&submit=Search Tim has used it 75 times. IMB! has used it more than twice as much as I have. Rocket is at 108. Slacker.
  2. Mephistopheles
    As of right now 7711.
  3. Mephistopheles
    no. im saying that LOOGYs are worthless. I want a lefty who can get righties out too and lefties.
  4. Mephistopheles
    it won't overcome an offday pitching, but sometimes it will overcome an average day pitching and make it a good day production wise. to think it is irrelevant is to be stupid.
  5. Mephistopheles
    I'm hoping you're right. hes staying at UF.
  6. Mephistopheles
    Jelani Jenkins signed with UF and to spite Stuy, debose also signed.
  7. Mephistopheles
    loogys =/= lefty relievers
  8. Mephistopheles
    0.0 Felix Pie was traded to Baltimore.
  9. Mephistopheles
    Quote from thread: I was also into Westbrook a bit. He just got hurt. I also liked Cliff Lee.
  10. Mephistopheles
    Abreu lost 20 runs last season and was fairy average the year before last.It's not that unheard of for a guy to drop or gain 20 runs or more in consecutive seasons on defense (which is why the stats suck among other things).
  11. Mephistopheles
    So, in reality, the only reason that BA was significantly worse than MB was because Texas DH'd MB. I'd take Abreu over MB because there's almost no risk associated with him. Ditto for Adam Dunn. I don't like a lot of risk in production positions.
  12. Mephistopheles
    Man I hope once a few contracts aren't on the books and his contract is over in two years, KW wants to come back and the Cubs want him back, because every Cubs fan wants him now.
  13. Mephistopheles
    Ironically, CD is Kosuke Fukudome's former team and after the 2006 WBC he only hit .351/.438/.653 with an EqA around .370 or so....all that translated to .331/.424/.575 with an EqA of.325 in USD. It was by far KF's best season in Japan. As for what to expect from KF this season. I should note that every hitter in Japan eventually hit their expected level based off of the translations in the US. They may not have done it the first year, but eventually they ALL got there. For KF that puts him somewhere around .300/.400/.500 with a .300 EqA. I'm not saying to expect it, but I wouldn't be shocked if he came close to those numbers. KFs a going to have a really, really high distribution on his percentiles.
  14. Mephistopheles
    There's nothing we didn't already know that was presented in the article. Kalk pretty much wasted his time. As for RE lilly. viewtopic.php?f=6&t=36778&hilit=lilly Quite a few guys like us getting lilly. pretty soon they're going to link lilly to abnormally low babip because of this and think they have a eureka moment.
  15. Mephistopheles
    Stop being lazy.
  16. Mephistopheles
    Iowa isn't Texas.
  17. Mephistopheles
    no
  18. Mephistopheles
    6.) San Francisco Giants - Aaron Crow, RHP - FW Cats The San Francisco Giants have been terrible at developing impact power hitters for quite some time now. With this pick they could look at some of the better pitchers remaining, Their first two choices are probably going to be the best two hitters available. Donovan Tate and Dustin Ackley seem to be likely candidates, but they're both gone. This draft seems to be very pitcher slanted, especially after the first few offensive players go, so the Giants may have to reach if they want another offensive guy, but they'll probably go best available. Aaron Crow, Tyler Matzek, Matt Purke and Kyle Gibson all could be viable secondary choices. Crow, one of the finalists for the #1 pick a year ago, possesses a fastball that reaches the mid 90s topping out at 97 and throws a hard slider in the mid 80s. Both pitches should be able to get him a good swing and miss rate in the next level against righties. His changeup has some work to do and he'll need it to advance if he wants to get lefties out. It's a pitch that could be the difference from him being a closer or a top half of the rotation starter.
  19. Mephistopheles
    http://body.builder.hu/imagebank/starprofile/Tom_Prince.jpg Justin will be useful one day.
  20. Mephistopheles
    whats your point? oh yeah you dont have one.
  21. Mephistopheles
    simindex basically is how rare a player is. so it's basically how close to him his comparables are. PECOTA uses a bunch of guys with a high enough simscore in their projections. If there arent enough guys above that point, then they have a lower simindex and PECOTA then "lowers" the standards and allows more disimilar guys to be used. As for Revere vs Heyward, it's saying that there are quite a few guys who hit as well as Heyward at his age and career path in low a. There arent many teens who hit .380 with no power nor walks in low a. ditto for Mauer's low score. He's the first catcher to win a batting title i believe. Once guys are established with long career paths having a low simindex isn't that big of a deal. When you're in the minors with no ML experience, it's paramount to getting any utility out of PECOTA. As for Dunn how many guys walk 100 times hit 40 HRs, with 200 Ks and hit .230? Not a lot.
  22. Mephistopheles
    look at #29. and his simindex is actually pretty respectable, meaning his PECOTA is much much more meaningful than Revere or Wieters.
  23. Mephistopheles
    and the sim index for those two players are 0 and 8. In other words PECOTA is telling you PECOTA is trash.
  24. Mephistopheles
    I know I don't like Ben Revere and I still don't like Ben Revere. He's the kind of guy that PECOTA (any other other projection system) is going to screw up on, mainly because he's way down the chain in low A. He had better be hitting like Rod Carew because he sure as hell has no power nor walks.
  25. Mephistopheles
    well stuff is basically lots of ks no bbs and hs. harden had a 3:2 K:Baserunner ratio last season.
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