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Mephistopheles

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Everything posted by Mephistopheles

  1. That is 16 less strike outs in 65 less innings. You do the math.
  2. He's in the bottom quarter.
  3. I hope you aren't talking about Rogers' in the playoffs. He decided that strikeouts were good then. A lot of pitchers try to limit hits, limit walks and not strike out a lot of players. Most of them are in AAA. Rogers career K rate is a bit higher, and he's left-handed. He's got more working for him. He's an anamoly, not the standard. Jeff Suppan's allowed almost 30 unearned runs the last two seasons. And he strikes out more.
  4. Overall the last three years Carlos Zambrano has been a nuetral G/F guy. He has allowed 882 groundballs in in 647 innings. Westbrook has pitched 10 less innings, but has allowed 1345 grounders. Grounders turn into errors at a higher rate than flyballs or linedrives. Not to mention grounders turn into hits at a higher rate than flyballs, but eh that's a different story entirely.
  5. Pitchers with high GB rates tend to be overrated because people fixate on their earned run average ignoring their run average. Yes it's not their fault the player made the error, but the simple fact is an extreme groundball pitcher like Westbrook puts a lot more pressure on his defense and it should lead to a higher unearned run rate. He's allowed 38 unearned runs the last three season. Some of those are not his fault, but a lot certainly are.
  6. And I am willing to bet that a guy who keeps his walk rate average and keeps a decent HR rate because of his high groundball rate can keep his ERA pretty low IF he can count on his fielders making enough errors to have 15 unearned runs a season. I'm not arguing either side, I'm playing devil's advocate. If it means trading for him to get rid of Cesar Izturis, then so be it.
  7. I'd be willing to bet that his .353 2006 road BABIP is going to come down next season.
  8. Well he does a career 3.01 ERA against the National League. Yeah but he won't get to face the Royals all the time and his career 2.41 ERA against them.
  9. He's the lesser of the two evils. He might stand to benefit from the high grass, but he won't be a HR disaster like Lee would.
  10. Half of his "improved" discipline came from him drawing additional intentional walks thanks to the crap Nat lineup. With Ramirez and Lee lurking, he won't get those.
  11. Has anyone looked at the splits for Cotts. He was dominant from April to July. He hit a wall the last two months. I didn't follow the White Sox enough to know if he got hurt or not.
  12. http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/extras/thebuzz/
  13. ERA+ wise Peavy was better than Zambrano in 2004 and 2005. I'd be mad if the Cubs didn't atleast entertain a deal for Peavy starting with Murton, Guzman, Pie and someone else.
  14. I'd like to think he would develop more power than Deline Deshields. Though I'd be thrilled if this patterson would walk 80 times a season.
  15. Chien Ming Wang is fools' gold. There's no chance in hell he was the second best pitcher in the AL last season.
  16. Man I had my first "I feel old" moment when I was working a day camp at the local YMCA when I was 19. The 10 and 11 year old kids didn't know what cool runnings, rudy or sandlot were. Then it occurred to me that those movies were made before they were born.
  17. He's a big projectable righty. He throws in the low to mid 90s. Because he's 6'7" his projection is through the roof and he throws the ball on an excellent downward plane. His curveball is another plus pitch when it's working. His changeup needs work, but all pitchers his age need to develop their changeups. The issue with him is that he had TJ surgery after his junior season in HS and didnt pitch his senior year until May. He's similar to Nick Adenhart in that respect. Still with his size and stuff the sky's the limit, but hes way way way way way far off at this point. Oh and age wise he was drafted out of HS this year. Not sure what his exact D.O.B. is but he's gotta be 18 or 19. He's probably ticketed to Boise next season while still regaining arm strength.
  18. When he first came up he showed a good fastball and a good curveball. His changeup was pretty poor at the time and his command on all three wasn't very good. He would dominate one hitter, struggle against the next and so on. Once he returned from AAA the second time showed the plus changeup with the other two plus pitches. I saw three well above pitchers and given that his command was a strength in the past, I've got to feel eventually the kinks will get worked out. We've got to remember he basically lost two years of development time. There's no question he was rusty, and a pitch like a changeup is a feel pitch so it shouldn't be a surprise if you see it getting stronger over the course of the season. Once he gets his command down, the skys the limit. Which leads me off to a tangent worth bringing up here. The Cubs chances next season are pretty slim even if they reel in several key FA's or trade targets. If anything 2006 was an investment into our future pitching. We let guys like Marshall, Marmol, Guzman and Mateo get their feet wet in the majors. They all struggled and that should have been expected, but they've all got a chance to be at least an averge starter down the road. If the Cubs sign 3 mediocre FA pitchers it's only going to make the 2006 season worse than it was. It chokes off their development.
  19. I still think Angel Guzman is going to develop into something quite dominant. He showed more than enough flashes for me to think that last year.
  20. The biggest issue I have is this: The Big Picture: Rankings Combined With Non-Rookies 25 Years Old Or Younger (As Of Opening Day 2007) 1. Carlos Zambrano, RHP 2. Donald Veal, LHP 3. Felix Pie, CF 4. Carlos Marmol, RHP 5. Sean Gallagher, RHP 6. Angel Guzman, RHP 7. Eric Patterson, 2B 8. Tyler Colvin, OF 9. Mark Pawalek, LHP 10. Jeff Samardzija, RHP Where's Matt Murton? He doesn't turn 26 until after Zambrano does.
  21. One thing Soto has done in the minors is walk enough to not have a deadweight obp like blanco does.
  22. Maybe Wily Mo Pena? You could easily replace Astros with Cubs and Dan Wheeler with Bob Howry and Cesar Izturis
  23. Eh, a Matsuzaka jersey to be named later.
  24. Cesar Izturis to Boston for a Daisuke Matsuzaka game used jersey please.
  25. My personal favorite is the Edmonton Cracker Cats
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