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NonProfitCow

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Everything posted by NonProfitCow

  1. NonProfitCow
    There's a pretty rich FA crop the next 2 offseasons. Yadi himself wasn't much of a prospect coming up. A good defender with a .700 OPS bat who flew through the system because Mike Matheny was horribad and his last name was Molina. I hear this brought up a lot, but there's really not anything to back it up. I think if you went through looking for evidence that he's good with young pitchers you'd find more evidence that points that he's not very good with them. Garcia, Wainwright, McClellan and Motte are the only guys with prolonged MLB success. And they were either top prospects or very, very good at the MiLB level. If his brothers are any indication, he'll be a backup catcher or beginning to eat himself out of the game in 3 years.
  2. NonProfitCow
    Yeah, Bernie Miklasz, who is normally rational when it comes to this stuff, kept citing Jose and Bengie because they were catching into their mid-30s. The situations aren't comparable at all. Yeah, Bengie got super fat and added to his slugging while completely forfeiting defense, and Yadi has caught like 3k more innings right now than Jose has in his entire career.
  3. NonProfitCow
    I'm not quite sure where 0.3 wins is coming from. Since becoming a full time player he's average +8.4 runs/year by fangraphs defensive numbers. So, nearly a win per year with the glove over other MLB catchers. I'm not going to sit back and say the numbers don't make sense, because the defensive numbers are in relation to other MLB catchers. I think the defensive gap between an average catcher and a great catcher is one of the smallest gaps on the diamond. That point is fine. But you're assuming that Yadi is off the charts good at the stuff that can't be quantified very well.
  4. NonProfitCow
    Have you read the fangraphs articles? Not saying you're wrong and they're right, but they address each of these things in great detail, and that analysis produces a much different conclusion. Yes, the fangraphs articles come to the conclusion that his deal isn't as bad as it sounds if you assume their defensive stats are bad and Yadi is good at all the stuff they can't measure very well and he's a 4 WAR player.
  5. NonProfitCow
    What's so insane about this, is short of an even bigger season from Molina this year, can anyone see him getting this contract on the open market? No way. It's the second highest AAV ever given to a catcher. McCann and Napoli may match or exceed it, but they have the bat to transition to a corner/DH when their catching skills erode. Hell, Victor Martinez only got 4/50. Yadi very well could end up being an 80 games a year guy with a .675 OPS making 15 mil. Making this deal a year before FA wouldn't the team usually be getting some kind of deal on it? Replacing his 2012 season contract with the new one so he's being paid for 29-33 instead of 30-34, a couple mil per year cheaper etc. I had 4/48 in mind, and was iffy on that. The only way this makes any sense is if the Cards have some proprietary analysis that says his 2011 offensive season was for real (I'm not seeing it) or that his defense is immensely undervalued and they have to think that other teams also have comparable info. But, my gut tells me this is nothing more than a panic move and they don't want to lose Pujols and Molina, who is a massive fan favorite, in consecutive offseasons. I'm not a fan of this move.
  6. NonProfitCow
    I have a feeling some agents knew about this loophole and were just waiting.
  7. NonProfitCow
    Not as bad as he thought it would be is not the same as liking it. He's also basing the entire thing on the assumption that catching metrics are way off and Yadi is a 4 WAR player. And the ridiculous notion that a 1 WAR=5 million dollars and a 4 WAR player is somehow worth $20 million dollars in real life. ugh Read up on how the number is figured. It makes sense just fine.
  8. NonProfitCow
    Not as bad as he thought it would be is not the same as liking it. He's also basing the entire thing on the assumption that catching metrics are way off and Yadi is a 4 WAR player.
  9. NonProfitCow
    God [expletive] dammit
  10. NonProfitCow
    I think I'm going to be sick.
  11. NonProfitCow
    and that something is signing Salvador Perez to a 5 year deal. Odd.
  12. NonProfitCow
    The Royals are cookin a somethin up...
  13. NonProfitCow
    Luck just ran a 4.59 which is pretty damn good in the QB world. Newton ran a 4.56.
  14. NonProfitCow
    Getting to the line is the only reason Kansas is in the game.
  15. NonProfitCow
    Jesus Mizzou. What the [expletive] kind of shots are these?
  16. NonProfitCow
    Well, that was quicker than I expected.
  17. NonProfitCow
    Obviously the guy tried to ruin Braun's career, good name and future earning potential by tampering with his sample.So, Braun's pretty much got to press some sort of criminal charges against the guy and sue the hell out of him, right? For some reason I don't see that happening.
  18. NonProfitCow
    What award is Braun getting? Pretty good acceptance speech so far.
  19. NonProfitCow
    jesus christ He is the one the prophet Elijah foretold. Elijah was [expletive] bombed though... http://www.tampabay.com/news/briefs/ex-ray-elijah-dukes-tried-to-eat-marijuana-tampa-police-say/1216882
  20. NonProfitCow
    What terrible reporting? Ryan Braun failed a PED test. He was flagged for high levels of testosterone and his B sample tested positive for synthetic testosterone. That has not been disputed even once by Braun's camp.
  21. NonProfitCow
    I'm pretty dumbfounded every time I read a comment in an article by someone who remains anonymous for self-described reasons of not being authorized to speak on a given matter or because something is too sensitive to discuss. I can see the value of someone doing that if it's in an effort to provide transparency or accountability where they feel they they are part of a system which is being unfair, yet they don't have any other options for recourse. But I can't imagine the leak of this case was motivated by anything other than ZOMG RYAN BRAUN STEROIDS!!! and possibly (almost certainly) some money from whatever news outlet they leaked the story to. Seems pretty obvious that Braun's people leaked it.
  22. NonProfitCow
    MLB voted to suspend him for 50 games and "vehemently disagreed" with the ruling. I think how open MLB is about disagreeing is more than a little out of character for them. The way I would expect them to handle this would be to say something along the lines of a fair judgment by an impartial 3rd party has ensured the proper carriage of justice. "Vehemently disagreeing" is pretty much the PR equivalent of throwing a complete tantrum. I find a reaction so far out of character at least a little suspicious. tin foil hat, etc. I'd say that MLB voting against him in the first place without knowledge of the 3rd parties decision is enough to take their reaction seriously.
  23. NonProfitCow
    fair enough
  24. NonProfitCow
    MLB voted to suspend him for 50 games and "vehemently disagreed" with the ruling.
  25. NonProfitCow
    Apparently if he'd just dropped it off at FedEx, even though they weren't delivering at the time, the failed test would have stood up. This is nuts.
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