Sammy Sofa
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Everything posted by Sammy Sofa
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Now I'm completely lost again after this page. Someone tell me what to think, but real stupid-like. -
What show? Some stupid witch show Ah, I thought that was just something syndicated that they picked up a la Arsenio.
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2014 Defending SC Champion Blackhawks playoff thread
Sammy Sofa replied to UMFan83's topic in Other Sports
My daughter was the only good thing to come out of the 2007 Cubs playoff games DON'T DRIVE ANGRY. -
What show?
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I can't imagine they're going to start producing original content a la TNT or even TBS, so I guess it's just a reruns/syndication dumping ground now?
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Yes, and it already was/is.
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BABIP: http://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/babip/ That's what I get for always going to BR and never using FG; BR's little hover definition thing doesn't have this key bit: So I was thinking it was supposed to be relative to the player's BA. Similar thing with FG's handy little xFIP chart.
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After 40 games, run differential is more accurate at predicting a team's win percentage for the rest of the season than their actual record or previous year's record. Once run through the pythag formula, right?
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I finally found out what "17 Seconds" means tonight!
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So is there a point during the season when it becomes more "concrete?" Or is it, like sulley said, that really doesn't hold much weight until the end of the season? I've been taking it as more of a predictive stat.
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Hey, I have no problem copping to what I don't understand about the game. Gooney is just gooney.
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Honestly, I can't wrap my head around that concept; it seems so simplistic to be based on runs scored and runs given up totals. I don't get how it's...nuanced (if that's the right word) like that.
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It's important to remember that Kyle does not understand math and he is wrong. Oh come on, Kyle understands this clearly. Can someone explain it to me? Like if I had a 30 game season and we score 50 runs but 21 of those are scored in 1 game it would account for that? Then explain xFIP and BAbip.
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I've stated numerous times I have zero clue how most baseball statistics "work" and generally just rely on being able to figure out what is good and bad in the individual categories (and a lot I don't even bother with because I can't grasp what the hell they're even supposed to mean no matter how many times I read it). With run differential I always just assumed that there was some kind of flaw in it because of outlier games and that the pythag projectons somehow adjusted for it, but I guess not.
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Then I just have no idea how it works. Which makes sense, since I am terrible at math.
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Ha! Awesome. Please, explain what is so "aggressively stupid" about not feeling better about the Cubs' pythag variance? Mostly the thing about a Frankenstein team playing worse than expected. It made no sense, and run differential vs. record has nothing to do with "playing worse than expected". That's like saying a player is hitting worse than expected because he doesn't have as many RBI's as his OPS would suggest. Then I simply didn't explain it clearly enough; I don't take solace in something like run differential (when it was in their favor) with a team like this, especially when it was heavily skewed by obvious outlier games. It's a monster of a team made up largely of crappy platoons and retreads and busts and deeply flawed starters; that's why they're yet again playing worse than predicted. It's not a surprise.
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I mean, it's not like I'm saying it's a bull [expletive] predictive tool; all I'm saying is that it shouldn't be surprising when a shakily constructed team underperforms. Call it semantics, but I just take issue with people saying that they "should" have more wins like they've been losing a ton of close 1-run games or the bullpen has been blowing leads left and right.
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Ha! Awesome. Please, explain what is so "aggressively stupid" about not feeling better about the Cubs' pythag variance?
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Man, the playoff losing streak seems like such a distant thing to even try and shatter. I'm more depressed about them having to fight so hard just to be able to have player facilities that weren't outdated even before Capone died.
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*Sigh* I REALLY hate the "only the Cobs" stuff, but it just feels like it has been seriously piling up in the last few years.
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It is unusual. So far we're looking at 3 seasons of being consistently 4-5 games under the pythag projection. It's oddly impressive.
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Oh, get over yourself. This is a bad team largely skewed by several ridiculous single game offensive outbursts with long stretches of putrid offense. Are we really going to act like it's so unusual that they end up under their projected records yet again?
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But seriously, why do people talk about the pythag like it's practically set in stone? The way some react that the Cubs aren't at theirs it's like they want to explain it away via everything except, "well, it's just not a very good team." See also: run differential.
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Really? I thought it was obvious I'm barely functionally [expletive] when it comes to baseball.
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FWIW, I honestly think this is not only the bottoming out point, but that next year is going to be the best since 2009. What do you see the big developments being besides Bryant? If we're talking something like Bryant plus Stanton, alright, I'm on board.
