Keep in mind both of those games, I believe, have been in San Diego. This game would be in Indianapolis. In what's been pretty competitive games, that could slide the advantage toward the Colts. San Diego has gotten the best of Indianapolis recently, there is no doubt. However, all have been competitive games that went right down to the wire: 2008 at San Diego: Colts 23, Chargers 20. at San Diego (playoffs): Chargers 23, Colts 17 overtime. 2007 at San Diego: Chargers 23, Colts 21. at Indianapolis (playoffs): Chargers 28, Colts 24. The Colts lost last year's playoff game without seeing the ball in overtime. They were ahead 17-14 late in regulation but couldn't convert a 3rd and 2 which cost them the game (though the Chargers had two turnovers in/around the endzone and likely outplayed the Colts). It should also be noted that Punter Mike Scifres played the game of his life -- he was likely more responsible for the Chargers win than even Darren Sproles, who always goes nuts on the Colts. The 2007 regular season game Manning threw six interceptions, yet if Vinatieri hits a 23-yard field goal, they win. In the 2007 playoff game, the Colts had a late 24-21 lead but rather pathetically couldn't keep San Diego's backups out of the endzone late (caveat: Dwight Freeney got hurt for the year in the 2007 regular season game against San Diego and obviously didn't play this game. The Colts had no pass rush without him, which was key in the loss -- despite the Colts having two (three?) red zone turnovers). The Chargers have won three of the last four, but they're about as close as games could be played. The Colts actually match-up a little better with San Diego this year than they have in the past. The Chargers don't run the ball very well anymore, the Colts special teams coverage units are much improved, and with San Diego missing Jamal Williams (and I think his two backups) they don't stuff the run quite as well. They still have the taller receivers to trouble the Colts, though (Indy was missing Gary Bracket in last year's playoff game, who is key to slowing Antonio Gates). If the two teams meet -- I expect they will -- it's likely to be another close game that goes right down to the wire. Hopefully the Colts will get the breaks they haven't in years past.