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muntjack

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Everything posted by muntjack

  1. muntjack
    #6 picks from 2012-2017 Albert Almora Colin Moran Alex Jackson Tyler Jay A.J. Puk Austin Beck Literally dozens of all-stars were picked after this collection of studs. Like others have said, this isn't the NBA.
  2. muntjack
    Heyward hits the ball weakly more often than any other player in MLB (>300 PAs). Soft contact at 25.6%.
  3. muntjack
    Nevermind. Trade him.
  4. muntjack
    This has been Kyle's worst season and he has a 1.34 whip. Exit Velo is right where it's always been. Highest HR/FB rate is the issue, which is high variance obviously. He's making $13mil. If you get a disproportionate return, fine, but I'd guess he has more value here than in a trade.
  5. muntjack
    If Pinango ends anywhere near the >1.000 OPS since his promotion to South Bend, I'd love to see him start 2022 in Tennessee.
  6. muntjack
    It's been 22 PA's. Breaking update: since then he's 5-11, 2B, HR, 5 BB 1 K
  7. muntjack
    Definitely a correlation there. Anyone recall that Fangraphs article on Happ last year? I'd love to see an update on it. Went in depth on his swing% in each count. Basically saying his hot start was the result of attacking fastballs in early counts and also being more aggressive with two strikes.
  8. muntjack
    .363 wOBA over his last 100+ PAs. He's still the kind of guy I would look to extend. 27 YO, can play multiple positions, ~.800 career OPS, value at it's low point. Am I out of line with that thinking?
  9. muntjack
    This dude gave up 7 ER in 1.1 innings last time out...
  10. muntjack
    That team will set the record for fewest HRs in the live ball era.
  11. muntjack
    I agree with most of what you're saying but I firmly believe that getting two top-flight starters is the most efficient and obtainable path to quick contention for this team, regardless of what Adbert is or what he may become. A rotation of, say, Rodon Stroman Hendricks Alzolay Mills keeps the Cubs in a lot of games, and the farm is untouched. If Adbert figures out his changeup to lefties and becomes a real #2, then they're in the playoffs almost certainly. After the AS break the lineup is Madrigal 2B Hoerner SS Contreras C Davis CF Ortega RF Happ LF Wisdom 3B Schwindel 1B Hermosillo DH Now you trade for a bat or two if necessary at the deadline. Not even sure where to start with this: 1) Why would anyone think signing Rodon is a good idea? 2) If you think that rotation/lineup is "almost certainly in the playoffs" or "need a bat to get in" then the Ricketts' have you exactly where they want you. That is an utterly garbage team. Rodon is a placeholder. A true #1 and 1A/starter. I'd rather trade for at least one of them but that's unlikely. The lineup is certainly not ideal, that's kind of my point. Adding two bats to that lineup isn't going to make it a strength. Adding two TOR starters seems like greater value if we're going to spend on 2 big FAs this off-season (which seems like the best case scenario)
  12. muntjack
    If Alzolay's dong problem is a mirage, he's a #2/#3 starter. If it's not he's a #4/#5. That's a huge swing for deciding where to allocate resources on the offseason shopping list. I agree with most of what you're saying but I firmly believe that getting two top-flight starters is the most efficient and obtainable path to quick contention for this team, regardless of what Adbert is or what he may become. A rotation of, say, Rodon Stroman Hendricks Alzolay Mills keeps the Cubs in a lot of games, and the farm is untouched. If Adbert figures out his changeup to lefties and becomes a real #2, then they're in the playoffs almost certainly. After the AS break the lineup is Madrigal 2B Hoerner SS Contreras C Davis CF Ortega RF Happ LF Wisdom 3B Schwindel 1B Hermosillo DH Now you trade for a bat or two if necessary at the deadline.
  13. muntjack
    Our starter's ERAs: 4.04 4.19 5.00 5.16 6.88 ...... That wouldn't fly in the steroid era. They need to prioritize starting pitching.
  14. muntjack
    How is Hermosillo not up right now? Makes no sense to me.
  15. muntjack
    I've wanted for some time to see a mid or major market team try a lineup of AAAA players and spend 70% of their payroll on the rotation. I doubt that happens here but, Wisdom, Ortega, Schwindel, and to a lesser extent Hermosillo and Rivas fit the bill. Guys who have a history of performing when given consistent PAs but were never a top prospect are the new market inefficiency. Of course it only (theoretically) works if you go out and sign the best FA starters (or ideally trade for them when you have surplus assets).
  16. muntjack
    I look forward to seeing them trounced in the playoffs.
  17. muntjack
    I'd really prefer to see them concentrate on the rotation. If it were me, I'd go the trade route to target younger SPs but I imagine that isn't in the cards for this winter. Here's what we have in house that I would start the season with next year. If Jed didn't touch the offense and instead went hard after Rodon and say, Stroman, this team would compete in the Central. Let Amaya take over the backup C role by May, bring up Brennan and look to add at the deadline if they're in it. For the starting lineup I put their age and wOBA (Rivas and Hermosillo AAA (why tf is Hermosillo not in the lineup yesterday) ) 1B- Rivas 24/.376 2B-Madrigal 24/.336 SS-Hoerner 24/.341 3B- Wisdom 29/.378 C-Contreras 29/.329 LF-Ortega 30/.385 RF-Hermosillo 26/.456 CF-Happ 27/.273 Alcantara Heyward Deichmann Bote Rodon Stroman Hendricks Alzolay Mills Steele/Thompson Rucker Heuer Winkler Roberts Wick Brothers
  18. muntjack
    Rodon clearly spit on the ball before his curveball to strike out Happ in the 2nd. Are they looking the other way on that now?
  19. muntjack
    Strumpf just might be one of those guys who doesn't really come into his own until he's 26. Love the 1:1 K/BB over his last 95 PAs. Made I'm really optimistic about. One of just a few 18 year olds in A ball, so anything at all positive goes a long way. He's outperforming Ed Howard and he's almost a full year younger. Speaking of 18-year olds in A ball, Evan Carter (Rangers) is currently at 28:34 K/BB. That blows my mind. No greater predictor of success than that, as far as I'm concerned.
  20. muntjack
    I think there are trajectories that, while they might be sub-optimal for maximizing team control through a player's peak years, still result in a solid major league baseball player. Deichmann was the 43rd overall pick in 2017. He was in high A in 2018, AA in 2019 and AAA this year, improving at every level. I think we've become so obsessed with phenoms like Acuna and Tatis that we undervalue the potential for guys like this to keep improving if given PAs.
  21. muntjack
    Excited about the potential for some conference semifinal action. Just curious. Where would the Bulls rank in the East if you replaced Demar Derozan with Jimmy Butler?
  22. muntjack
    Yeah, watching that was gross.
  23. muntjack
    How does a guy like Johneshwy Fargas make it to the major leagues? He's a LF with no pedigree that can't hit, has no power and rarely walks. If you squint really hard, he had an okayish? showing at high A in 2018 but I really don't understand why he's taking PAs from literally anyone right now.
  24. muntjack
    Very nice. I was wondering if he might go tonight.
  25. muntjack
    I'm in the minority here but Caleb Kilian is probably the one I'm most excited about. As a pro - 100.2IP 67H 11BB 113K Back end starter is the dream? Nah.
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