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KaiserCesar

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Everything posted by KaiserCesar

  1. KaiserCesar
    The only team with a spread anywhere close to the Cubs between actual win % and the 3rd order win % per BP adjusted standings is surprisingly the Tigers (.595 vs .701). Before tonight's game, the Cubs 3rd order .522. Taking 2 out of 3 has felt good these last two series, but a sweep of the Mets this weekend would get me on board with this team.
  2. KaiserCesar
    So back to the current year's rotation. With the two off-days coming up and Garza making 1 or 2 more rehab starts, you can slide him back into the rotation and replace anyone pretty easily. My guess would be Villanueva to the pen for the already hashed out reasons. So, could Garza potentially come back next Tuesday or Wednesday? You could also have Garza make another rehab start on Tuesday and make his return on Sunday, effectively going through a 6-man rotation once.
  3. KaiserCesar
    Tied for not last place! edit: looks like the Cubs are percentage points ahead of the Brewers, woo 4th place.
  4. KaiserCesar
    After some early fretting about the K rate, Rizzo's is now down below 20% through 172 PA's.
  5. KaiserCesar
    Carlos is not locating that FB well at all.
  6. KaiserCesar
    Let's get Kyuji in a groove in these laughers.
  7. KaiserCesar
    Don't argue with the umpire if you have acne.
  8. KaiserCesar
    Just have to look at the BP adjusted standings and playoff odds report and belieeeeeeve. The playoff odds report has a simulated .490 wp% right now, so you have to figure a a run-in with .500 is pretty likely in that projection system. However, the chance of a sell-off and the lack of ready players in the upper minors has me a little pessimistic on those chances as well.
  9. KaiserCesar
    The cost certainty with Castro/Rizzo should allow for a strong push in free agency as rumored this week. The payroll won't have to bloat too far out until the revenue is there to support it.
  10. KaiserCesar
    Oddly enough, the only pitchers on this team with negative WAR per Fangraphs are Rondon and Marmol. There's room to improve, but the pen actually isn't too bad so far this season. What this team needs more than anything is offense, particularly in the OF. How much of that can be addressed by Soriano finding some power and Hairston's luck turning around? If some of the still-cold bats heat up while the pitching stays strong, this team is going to be able to push over .500 at some point.
  11. KaiserCesar
    Nicasio not looking good at all. Hope they put this one away in the next few innings.
  12. KaiserCesar
    These last few innings are better than watching Nat Gio.
  13. KaiserCesar
    Valbuena and Schierholtz on the bench still. Could be of use if some runners get on.
  14. KaiserCesar
    his babip is actually normal now Not today.
  15. KaiserCesar
    Fitting day for the BABIP focus.
  16. KaiserCesar
    The Catcher position is such an organizational chasm for the Cubs, there's really no reason to trade Castillo unless you can get incredible surplus value.
  17. KaiserCesar
    Len and JD talking BABIP on stats Sunday, good times.
  18. KaiserCesar
    Westbrook has way overperformed his peripherals. I hope for many runs.
  19. KaiserCesar
    With all of the wild statistical variance in season numbers due to small sample size, its interesting to note that Samardzija's ERA, FIP and xFIP are now 3.14, 3.10 and 3.00, respectively.
  20. KaiserCesar
    GG, Shark. Got a quality start without the best command.
  21. KaiserCesar
    A team that was halfway to the grave took them to game 7 last year.
  22. KaiserCesar
    Reminds of that game the Bulls almost pullled out in Brooklyn when Boozer and Noah were out and Gibson played 48 minutes at center.
  23. KaiserCesar
    I'm so happy we're at that point of the year where people assume that putting any player in a position to succeed is done solely to build trade value.
  24. KaiserCesar
    Well, that's cool. Cubs' hitters K:BB is 3:5 while Feldman's is 12:1
  25. KaiserCesar
    A sunk cost is a sunk cost. If it made sense financially to move, it wouldn't matter what happens with those real estate investments. Except the 'cost' is an asset that will lose value if the team moves, so its not really a sunk cost in the traditional sense. Again, if the move were to hypthetically make sense financially, they may move. If it doesn't, they won't. Determining this obviously would include accounting for any lost value to those properties. If his point really is, "Ricketts isn't going to move the team if it doesn't make them more money," then, yes, I agree. I think his pointing out the existing assets and revenue streams tied to the current location puts the recent comments made by ownership in better context. It would take a lot for a move to make financial sense which indicates this is just posturing.
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