This is part of it, but not the entirety of the issue. The worry isn't that the Cubs are going to take a bunch of curveballs for strikes, but that they're going to chase them out of the zone. It's more a worry for the back half of the lineup than the front half, and it's more of a worry the better a breaking pitch that you have. Tomlin's curve sits somewhere between Bauer's and Klubers on the quality scale, with more risk of him being like Bauer than upside to be like Kluber, especially on short rest. It's also good to remember that for all the hand wringing about Tomlin, in his outing where everything went right he still only went 4.2 IP. That's probably the best shot the Cubs have considering the Indians can pretty easily get 4-5 IP from Shaw/Miller/Allen, but the other half is still an opportunity. Shaw has given up 3 hits and 2 walks for a run in 3.2 IP. Miller has given up 5 baserunners(including a HR) and multiple lineouts in 5.1 IP. In a game where the Indians very easily might struggle to score 3, the Cubs don't need to bomb Tomlin into oblivion to have the upper hand. I doubt Tomlin even goes 4 IP tonight. Unless he's inexplicably dealing again, I expect Francona to go to Miller early - like the 2nd time through the order, even - and just rely on Kluber going 6-7 IP tomorrow. Can Miller get 12 outs (Rizzo-Zo-Schwarber through the order and back to Schwarber) in 50-60 pitches? If so, the Indians can go: Tomlin (~ 3), Miller (~ 3), Shaw (~ 2), and still have Allen to close it out, even pitch 2 innings if they're leading in the 8th or save Allen for tomorrow if they're losing in the 9th tonight. Then he has Kluber for 7 and Allen for 2 tomorrow. If that's the plan, hopefully the Cubs get a couple early off Tomlin. But I'd love to see us dong a few more times against Miller too, just to take the shine off a bit.