bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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Not that there's anything wrong with that.
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If A&M played defense like Old Style, they may have made the BCS championship last season.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 8-5-13
bukie replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Don't think the teams already in the Carolina League know how bad the FSL and California League are. The Cubs couldn't make a move this past offseason for that reason. I get all this, but I've also gotta believe they're gonna try pretty hard to get into the CL. The Champions League? -
Also, prospects don't randomly flame out, most of the time. Regular failures in prospect development should point more towards organizational development failures, rather than the "luck of the draw". The more I've heard about what the new management regime has implemented, the more I realize just how backwards and embarrassing the organization's development was before.
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The Patterson-era minor league organization was not shallow, even on the position player end. The Patterson era organization was all about developing pitching prospects and trading away hitting prospects, and players like Hinske, Harris, Hill and Choi were traded before they really got established as major leaguers. Patteron, Pie and Cedeno were really the only Cub position prospects to actually make it completely through the system as prospects and play for the major league team. Soto as well, now that I think of it.
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With the great improvement in the farm system, we had better hope that quite a few of them reach their expectation level. If 2 or 3 of our top 5 prospects don't pan out, we could be in serious trouble for quite awhile. It's almost a guarantee 2 or 3 won't pan out like we hoped. That's how prospects work. Which is why it's a good thing we're watching the development of 6-7 positional prospects instead of 1-2 as in years' past (Patterson, Pie, Cedeno). It's similar to the Cubs' RISP issues, it only seems more pronounced for the organization because they have given themselves fewer chances to hit than most other organizations.
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Not sure exactly when we ended up off by a week, but it's week 19 now. Battle for first place in the West.
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2013-14 International Free Agency Thread
bukie replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Granted, it meant more when they were numbers the Cubs cared about. :) -
It's a low bar.
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They now have a worse record than the Marlins, a feat once thought only possible in myths and legends.
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Same basic team makeup as 04 (04 non-pitcher team OPS was .811), except the 08 team won the division by 7 games and were 10 game clear of the playoffs when they started coasting. 04 missed the playoffs by 4 games.
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Every time I think about that Nomar trade, I think about the September 2004 Cubs: C Michael Barrett - .287/.337/.489/.826 1B Derrek Lee - .278/.356/.504/.860 2B Todd Walker - .274/.352/.468/.820 SS Nomar Garciaparra - .297/.364/.455/.819 3B Aramis Ramirez - .318/.373/.578/.951 LF Moises Alou - .293/.361/.557/.919 CF Corey Patterson - .266/.320/.452/.771 RF Sammy Sosa - .253/.332/.517/.849 Bench OF Todd Hollandsworth - .318/.392/.547/.939 OF Ben Grieve - .250/.316/.563/.878 IF Mark Grudzielanek - .297/.364/.455/.819 IF Neifi Perez - .371/.400/.548/.948 (!) Rotation of Prior, Wood, Zambrano, Maddux, Clement, each of the 5 with a 110 or better ERA+, Bullpen with Dempster, Mercker, Hawkins, Remlinger, Rusch, Wuertz and Farnsworth, all of which were better than average (aside from maybe Farnsworth). HOW DID THIS TEAM NOT MAKE THE PLAYOFFS, DUSTY?!
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Games already started today, so lineup changes are effected as of tomorrow anyway, so I'd think it was fine.
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General Trade Deadline Thread
bukie replied to David's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Probability of a trade has risen to 90%. @BNightengale The #Cubs are done for the month with no last minute trades So Rizzo, Castro and Samardzija must be the only Cubs left. -
On a good note, the Cubs now actually have two regulars in the top 25 in MLB in walk rate.
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How many more runs do the Cubs need to score here for the perception of the offense to go from awful to mediocre?
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At least the Cubs have been getting base runners regularly. OBP is their general problem, RISP just manifests itself worse when there are fewer chances.
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Maybe it would make sense to only allow trades after keepers are set. How would that make any sense for the people that can take on points and are receiving the star players? I've also made trades for guys in specific point ranges in the past so that I could squeak under the 2000 point limit. I'll still contend that there's no quicker way for bad teams to get star players than to clear their team of points at the deadline, then trade pennies on the dollar during the offseason to take on the points of the star players. Let's look at this from the point of view of the bad teams instead of the good ones. If they're not allowed to make trades for good players after the season, they are going to head into the draft with the same lousy team they ended the year with. Sure, the draft will be a bit deeper, but they only have one of every sixteen picks. It actually makes it MORE likely that rich teams will be able to pick up the good players they had to cast off the previous year instead of having them be distributed to the teams in need. Which works as long as the owners actually do trade for pennies on the dollar instead of dollars on the dollar.
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Maybe it would make sense to only allow trades after keepers are set.
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That was basically my thought as well, but I'd say the renovations and lack of money make .500 in 2014 at least a tad harder to get there. Gun to my head though, playoffs in 2015. They've basically performed like a .500 team in 2013, though it's yet to be seen whether it continues after they lose two productive starting pitchers.
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Also, my team gets zero respect. :P
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I mentioned this in the Random Musings thread, but the NL playoffs are pretty well set right now. So much so, that the Cubs are actually 6th in the NL in 3rd order wins behind the five nearly certain playoff teams.
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Hosmer isn't on Chuck's team anymore, either.
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Tim generally does a lot of trading, though, yes. The potential trick there is that neither of the teams could possibly keep even half of that over the next year, so they'll be offloading them at the end of the year for whatever they can get. The key here is not giving up as much after the year as they give up in midseason. Also, on an unrelated note, I may be looking to upgrade 2B or 3B, and have a spare SS and some incumbent exempt players to offer in return.
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*kicks sand*
