For this to be true (winner taking the league with a win total in the low 80's), the Brewers would have to play much worse from here on out. They are 17-9, .654 w%, on pace for 106 wins. Obviously that is not sustainable. However, in order to finish with a win total in the low 80s, let's say 83, they'd have to finish 66-70, playing .485 ball. Their hot start, whether influenced by luck or not, has provided a cushion for them to coast to an 85 win season (by going .500 the rest of the way). All they have to do is play to their current "expected" pace, of .537 ball, to get to 90 wins. That would be 73-63. I would say they have more than a good chance to finish the season with more than a win total in the low 80s. See last year. :-) Plus, while the Cards & the 'Stros are weaker than last years team, the Pirates, Cubs and Reds are stronger.