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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    People have been using that "4 ER over his last 11 starts" stat a lot. Here's a partial list of good pitchers who have given up 4 or more ER in a single start in that exact timeframe: (spoilered for size) If you're thinking that list looks familiar, it probably does. It's the Fangraphs leaderboard for fWAR for qualified pitchers. The entire top 50 actually, with the exception of Jake Arrieta himself and A.J. Burnett, who was injured and not pitching for most of Arrieta's dominant run. Pretty nuts to think about.
  2. Rob
    I'm really hoping the Giants pull this out. I'll be at the Cubs game tomorrow, and would love to see them clinch in person.
  3. Rob
    Castro's walking a very fine line between doing enough to rebuild his trade value, and doing so much that we don't trade him.
  4. Rob
    Amazon just spent literally a billion dollars acquiring it.
  5. Rob
    This locks in the first winning season by the Cubs since 2009's 83-78 season. (We didn't play a make up game against the Pirates)
  6. Rob
    Yeah. The first awful season is definitely on Theo and Jed. Castro was trying to make the adjustments to be the more patient hitter that they wanted him to be and it just ruined him. Thankfully he got that sorted out and came back strong last year. No idea why his mechanics were so screwed up this season, or why it took so long to get them straightened out. At least he's performing pretty well right now. He might salvage some trade value this offseason if he keeps this up.
  7. Rob
    If anybody has ever needed to know if Hunter Pence is any good at Super Smash Bros, his girlfriend streams on twitch somewhat frequently. And he usually streams with her. Plus Mike Leake tonight. http://www.twitch.tv/letsgetlexi
  8. Rob
    Decent pickup at a position of need. Assuming the PTBNL is of little to no significance, I like this quite a bit.
  9. Rob
    Reminds me of Sammy. Once he learned to lay off sliders he became an absolute monster. There were almost no holes in his swing (maybe up and in, somewhat). Soler isn't Sammy, but there's no reason he can't be a consistent .275 / .340 / .475 type guy if he learns to lay off the breaking pitch. No holes in his swing? He averaged around 155-160 K's/year from 1998-2003 He was also walking 10-15% of the time. You work deep counts, you're probably going to strike out a lot.
  10. Rob
    Wowza. Nice DP
  11. Rob
    Nice pick, but a bit of a lackadaisical throw.
  12. Rob
    Those numbers look low for us, and I'm not sure where you're seeing the Giants at 1.9% for WC. They're 1.8% for WS. ETA: It's giving us a rest of season winning percentage below .500. I'm assuming they messed something up. Are those unadjusted projections from preseason? I'm really confused. It must have updated in the time between when I posted it and you looked. Here's yesterday's projections, which is pretty close to what I was looking at. I have no freaking clue why it thinks our ROS winning percentage should drop 50 points overnight. Soler hasn't done that much.
  13. Rob
    Fangraphs really likes the Cubs chances to make the playoffs. It says the Giants have just a 1.9% chance to take a WC spot.
  14. Rob
    PA per walk for Almora: 2012: 72.5 2013: 16.7 2014: 37.8 2015: 13.8 Don't get me wrong, he's improved this year. But it looks a lot more impressive because his 2014 was so, so bad.
  15. Rob
    That's bad news for the Cubs. Hopefully they won't hire a competent person. Meh, Melvin was fine as a GM. He never had much in the way of a payroll to work with. So he took his time, put together a very competitive team for a few years, and is eating dust now that they've left their competitive window. He's not the guy I'd have heading up my list of candidates if I was an owner looking for a new GM. But he'd be a great GM for a team with a strong/involved team president.
  16. Rob
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  17. Rob
    I don't directionally disagree with you here, but the NL is not the AL in terms of wild card contenders. There are 4 teams for 2 spots, 5 for 3 if you want to call LAD/SF a tossup for the west. Hey, I'm not even saying I agree with their philosophy. I'm just trying to figure out what kept them from making a big splash. And I think the records of the Cards and Pirates were a big chunk of that (in addition to AJ Preller losing his mind).
  18. Rob
    I think if the Cubs were going for the division right now, you'd have seen the front office act a little bit more aggressive. But fighting a large group for the right to a play-in game... maybe that's not the best expenditure of high end resources. Don't get me wrong, I'd have loved to see the Cubs bring in a Ross or Carrasco. But I think Haren and Hunter should be enough of a bump to keep us competitive. We're already going to be relying on a bit of luck, so what's a bit more?
  19. Rob
    Morse was traded to the Pirates for Tabata. Moss was traded to the Cardinals.
  20. Rob
    I am legitimately sad to see Junior Lake go. He was usually pretty bad, but sometimes he was incredibly good. That's the best eulogy I have for his Cubs career.
  21. Rob
    Junior Lake is gone? My dream is dead.
  22. Rob
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  23. Rob
    Thank goodness for tweetdeck on a day like today.
  24. Rob
    Ok. I'm not high on Haren, but he's better than our other fifth starter options. Assuming the prospects are mostly non-entities, this is a fine move. Uninspiring, but still an improvement.
  25. Rob
    We don't have anybody to comp for Norris. Hes cost controlled forever and slides in the Detroit rotation right now as their best pitcher, probably.
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