Rob
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Everything posted by Rob
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Cameron signs with Red Sox
Rob replied to seanhopper's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Also, 2 year for 15.5 mil is an absolute steal for Cameron. -
Cameron signs with Red Sox
Rob replied to seanhopper's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
If this becomes final, there isn't much out there on the FA market besides Byrd and maaaaybe Crisp. I'd rather run Fuld out there than Ankiel or Pods, and it isn't particularly close. Trade market may have some alternatives. I'd need to look around a bit though for somebody who would come cheaply. -
Personally, I'd keep him on the team but manufacture a tangible enemy outside the team for him to focus on. The traveling secretary or somebody. It's actually a better option than benching him.
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We get it, you don't like Bradley. You don't think he has value. You have said as much in every single post you've made over the last 3 months. Stop complaining about him and engage in a conversation worth having, for heaven's sake.
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Did Bradley touch you or something?
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Oh, I know that Arredondo is out for the season. But he'd be a great guy to give a cheap one year deal with a cheap 2nd year club option so we could monitor his recovery.
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Non-tendered players I'd have interest in: Jose Arrendondo Garrett Atkins Matt Capps Ryan Church Ryan Garko Jonny Gomes Kelly Johnson Mike MacDougal Adam Miller Scott Olsen Chien Ming Wang Obviously, this list changes depending on price and whether players are willing to accept bench / platoon roles.
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That has always baffled me, too. If I were an ML GM I'd stay far away from signing any FA who's done nothing until his contract year and then has a huge season. About 8 times out of 10 he's more of the bust than the superstar. Is that what you've found in your research? He gave a number, I'm sure he didn't just make that up off the top of his head with no real evidence to back it. erik is far too rational and thoughtful of a poster to do that.
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He could be passable for 2-3 seasons.
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Obviously you aren't aware that beer is a potent diuretic, especially when you have six to ten. And that's before the game starts. Real fans know to pregame elsewhere, as the ballpark beers are expensive. Also, real fans get drunk enough before the game that they forget they don't need to keep drinking the expensive ballpark beers all during the game. +1 Although, I continue to drink during the game - and after. Oh yeah, I have a philosophy. Go hard or go home. Generally speaking when I head to a Cubs game, I crash at a friend's house the night before, wake up and hit the bars about 2-3 hours before the game starts. Then I keep the beer vendors busy until the game is over. Grab dinner, hit up the bars, and head to Carol's around 2 and stay til they kick us out. One of these days, I'll be too old to make that trip. I already find I can't do it nearly as often as I used to be able to.
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Obviously you aren't aware that beer is a potent diuretic, especially when you have six to ten. And that's before the game starts. Real fans know to pregame elsewhere, as the ballpark beers are expensive. Also, real fans get drunk enough before the game that they forget they don't need to keep drinking the expensive ballpark beers all during the game.
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Obviously you aren't aware that beer is a potent diuretic, especially when you have six to ten.
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Nothing quite like those restrooms after the game. Everybody walking slowly down the length of the trough while they piss.
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This is a pointless argument. The vast majority of the time when Bradley's healthy, he's very good. Last year's power outage was an obvious fluke... his IsoP hasn't been that low since 2001.
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Cameron is obviously the priority, and he knows he's likely maximizing his value to wait until the Cubs have dealt Bradley and can truly start bidding for his services. I wouldn't worry too much about us having to resort to the likes of Ankiel or Pods just yet. I've been saying I'd be extremely interested in Putz, provided he's not asking for too much. He's a real shutdown guy when healthy, and it's definitely worth watching him throw a few times and getting the medical reports.
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Re: Harden close to signing with Rangers
Rob replied to MSG T's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I'll say it again, you're confusing yourself. Do you factor in how many innings our starters are pitching and how effective they are when deciding how much a reliever is worth? No. They're worth what they're worth... then you just decide whether or not it's a fit for the organizational philosophy and the funds you have available. Harden is worth the contract he's getting. He may not fit what you want out of a pitcher, and you'd be well within your rights to pursue other options. But the innings he pitches at his level of effectiveness makes him worth the contract, whether or not his issues mesh with your philosophy or not. -
It'll never happen. Because the idiot who doesn't vote for what should be a unanimous guy will give his newspaper a pretty hefty boost in readership, at least for a few days.
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Re: Harden close to signing with Rangers
Rob replied to MSG T's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Yeah that math doesn't work. A guy half as good isn't worth half as much. If you wanted to take that sort of approach, you'd compute what 50% of Harden's innings plus 50% replacement level innings would give you in terms of production, then try and find a pricetag for that, then deduct the second guy's salary from that number, and then make some downward adjustment for the fact that you need to use 2 roster spots for one role. (Even that's a simplification, because the 50% of innings Harden doesn't give you is not spread to one player, but to many, some starters covering missed starts, and some relievers covering early exits.) Except that Harden isn't half as good. He's just as good in half the time. Value per IP is a pretty linear function unless we want to take leverage into account (which is silly for our purposes) You're trying to figure out what all we can get from that spot in the rotation, and it's confusing your evaluation. -
Re: Harden close to signing with Rangers
Rob replied to MSG T's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I notice that nobody is debating that when Harden is pitching, he's pretty much just as good as any other pitcher out there. (Which is good, as simply looking at xFIP the last few years would eviscerate most arguments to the contrary). The problem most seem to have is that he doesn't pitch all that many innings. In a bit of math that I'm sure everybody here can understand, let's walk through this. How much money do the best pitchers in baseball make? $20 mil or so? Harden pitches what, 50% as many innings as a conservative estimate? Well then, Harden's probably worth about half as much... or somewhere in the range of $10 mil. There are mitigating factors of course, his bat, the chance he finally has that one healthy season, the chance he throws six innings and breaks down, and all that jazz about shuffling the rotation and bullpen to account for the innings he doesn't pitch. But if anybody is coming up with a drastically different figure than that $10 mil, they're probably doing something wrong... my money would be on being unable to see past ERA and a flukey home run / fly ball rate. -
It includes their arm. Edit: dew made me feel like my answer should include a bit more, so... It breaks down how often a player has thrown out an advancing runner compared to the league average, as well as how often the runners attempt to advance. Outfielders actually get credit if their arm is so scary that people dont even try running on them anymore.
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At a position populated by big, slow sluggers who take awful routes, the fast guy who takes awful routes can still be above average pretty easily. If his leg injuries manage to recover during this offseason, he should be fine out there again.
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It's also unfortunate that Ryan Theriot can't hit like Hanley Ramirez. To be fair, there was a time when Soriano was a passable second baseman, there's never going to be a time when Theriot hits like Hanley. Not to stray too off topic, but was there ever a time when Soriano was a passable left fielder? I'm not even sure why he was moved in the first place. At least his offense was plus for a bad defensive 2B. Now he's just an about-average offensive LF that plays dreadfully amateurish outfield defense. Up until just last season, he'd been significantly above-average defensively in LF.
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It's also unfortunate that Ryan Theriot can't hit like Hanley Ramirez. To be fair, there was a time when Soriano was a passable second baseman, there's never going to be a time when Theriot hits like Hanley. On April 8th this year, they both went 2-4 with no XBH. But Theriot even managed a walk on top of everything Hanley did.
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Only if the other team requires it. Byrnes: How about Robinson Cano? Cashman: Make it Phil Coke and we have a deal. Byrnes: Sweet! Byrnes prolly thought he was getting a heir to the Coca-Cola fortune. From the looks of the trade, I'd think it more likely he thought he was getting some blow.
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His well publicized mockery of the use of advanced metrics in decision making, and strict adherence to small-ball philosophies that are more likely to cost our team runs (and wins) than gain any. His knowledge of the game makes him seem like he'd be a wonderful coach, but he shouldn't be allowed to make any decisions about strategy or personnel.
