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nilodnayr

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Everything posted by nilodnayr

  1. A lot of sites are mentioning the Tigers trading Ordonez, so I'm sure they're not going to trade Granderson too. Who would take Magglio? They aren't going to get a lot of value for him, and he's due $18Mil next year w/ a 3Mil option. For Granderson, they can possibly do something about that horrible pitching staff they have. We could take Magglio and move Fukudome to centerfield if the Tigers ate some salary, couldn't we? Really depends on what we are able to do with salary this year with the sale in process. We are going to have a pretty big increase just to put the same team back on the field.
  2. By looking at the game logs for Harden since early July, I kinda agree with that. Harden has gone 7 innings in a game 4 times since July, and three of the games were against a bad offensive teams in the Reds, D-backs and Nationals. When he faces teams with good/decent teams, like Phillies(even though he had a great start against them in June), Mets, Angels,White Sox,Red Sox and Brewers he's been mostly a 5-6 inning pitcher. Harden is hard to hit against anybody, but if he doesn't have his top notch stuff good teams are going to make him work hard to shut them down. Which causes him to not be in the game very long. Now there probably isn't a huge difference with Dempster, but if you had to say who do you think will go longer in a game, I think most would take Dempster. That doesn't mean Dempster should start game 1, but I don't have a big problem with it either. The only problem I have with it is the game 5 factor. In a must win game 5, I'd rather have Harden on the mound. But I guess Dempster isn't a bad option either, with the way he has pitched this year. Although, it should be noted that Lou was most definitely babying Harden (and rightfully so). Of the 12 games Harden's pitched as a Cub, he hasn't gone 7 innings 8 times. Of those 8 times hes only eclipsed the 100 pitch count 1 time. If I were Lou in the playoffs I wouldn't ride Harden to a Dusty-esque limit, but I'd take the kid gloves a bit and release the reigns. Don't be so concerned that Harden hasn't gone terribly deep into games in the regular season. Conversely, its interesting to note that in 2008, for pitches 91-105, Harden's OPSA is 921 due to an increase walk rate and HR rate...but we're only talking about 52 PAs so we can throw it out due to sample size.
  3. I think they would agree with you.
  4. FYI guys, assuming 50/50 odds of winning each game, the series has a 60% chance of going to game 5. Pretty good odds.
  5. Wasn't he out for the season like a long time ago?
  6. get laid
  7. Dempster is not rightfully the right choice for game 1. It should be the best pitcher on the team. SNLVAR: Harden: 6.7 (CHI and OAK) Dempster: 6.5 Zambrano: 5.0 Lilly 4.5
  8. If this is the rotation, I predict that Lilly won't make an appearance in the NLDS. He can start game 2 in the NLCS, then. Unless we are playing the Brewers in the NLCS.
  9. Even the print at home option? I also wish I could trade my print at home ticket in for a real ticket for souvonier purposes. No, they were going to do that last year but they ended up not doing it...you get to keep the tickets even if they dont make it there. I had game 4 tickets and game 1 tickets for the NLCS.
  10. ditto...a friend got a single to game 1 and then I went in and got half way through for games 1 and 2 a bunch, but never all the way through and now I can't even get half way through...damnit.
  11. Its not GA, its reserved.
  12. I bought at the same time and are in the same section but 8 rows behind you...BALDERDASH!!! I kid, I kid, I'm very happy.
  13. Sweet, just got a pair in section 315. If they don't play 5, no big loss.
  14. Here is a list of Cubs w/ over 100 PAs who have more BB/pa than Theriot Fukudome Ward Edmonds ARam Fontenot Soto DeRosa Heres a list of Cubs w/ over 100 PAs who have less BB/pa than Theriot Blanco Soriano Lee Cedeno Johnson Here's a list of Cubs with over 100 PA's who have a higher OBP than Theriot... Mike Fontenot Here's a list of Cubs with over 100 PA's who have a lower OBP than Theriot... Soto Lee Ramirez Soriano Edmonds Fukudome Johnson Cedeno Ward I get your point... I was wrong about seeing a lot of pitches compared to his teammates. He does have good patience though and doesn't swing at crap. My point though is that his value is solely in OBP and his OBP is dependent not upon walks, which tend to be less volatile and are more controllable by the batter, but on the fact that his ground balls don't get hit in the range of a defender. In regards to his swinging, you are right. Theriot does have one of the lowest swing %s for balls outside of the zone. Another important stat would be his contact rate of swings at balls in the zone...in this category he leads the league at 96.7%.
  15. Here is a list of Cubs w/ over 100 PAs who have more BB/pa than Theriot Fukudome Ward Edmonds ARam Fontenot Soto DeRosa Heres a list of Cubs w/ over 100 PAs who have less BB/pa than Theriot Blanco Soriano Lee Cedeno Johnson
  16. Here is a list of Cubs w/ over 100 PAs who have more pitches/pa than Theriot Fukudome Ward Edmonds ARam Fontenot Soto Lee DeRosa Cedeno Johnson Heres a list of Cubs w/ over 100 PAs who have less pitches/pa than Theriot Blanco Soriano
  17. i think this itself is a bit of hyperbole, if i have my definition straight. never ever go with baseball people, baseball people probably know the least about the game of anyone because they think they know the most. i won't complain about theriot's season because he's been adequate at the position, for the most part. Yeah, sure, I won't go with the baseball people because they think they know baseball. I will go with the moneyball people because they show such great humility when discussing their baseball knowledge. Wow. Again, when posters get entrenched in their position, they resort to hyperbole and extremes to try and make their case. It actually weakens their case. Substitute a few words here and see how silly this statement can sound: never ever go with moneyball people, moneyball people probably know the least about the game of anyone because they think they know the most. Like that Theriot doesn't have Neifi-esque power, even when proven otherwise?
  18. this seems like a waste of time
  19. Yes, lets get back to people defending Theriot with absurdity.
  20. Its benches, but reserved (like the Cubs during the playoffs). Usually its not terribly packed so you would be able to sit together, but I assume Sunday it should be sold out. Depends on how many friends you have trying to squeeze in.
  21. Ronny's IsoP (Isolated Power, SLG-BA) is .03 higher, and his IsoD (Isolated Discipline, OBP-BA) is .017. The power difference is basically the difference between Soto and Lee this year. The major difference right now between the two is that Theriot gets quite a few more singles, basically, to prop up the OBP and SLG with batting average. The OPS difference overall is quite minimal. 30 points of OPS is hardly "quite minimal." And, of course, what better time than now to try and favorably compare Cedeno to Theriot? Up until recently, Theriot has been a 760 OPS player all year and Ronny has been around a 690-700 OPS player. Certainly makes them look more comparable right after Theriot busted out of a 1-24 slump. I (and I'm sure others) have been pointing out for a while (ie before Theriot''s slump) that if you look at his peripherals and basic skill set, he is wildly vulnerable to luck. Look beyond the OBP, SLG, and OPS and see WHY he has those numbers and you see a guy whos value pretty much wholey and completely is dependent on balls finding their way through the infield. Hes not a guy who provides much value in a single at bat, so he can't make up for unluckiness like other players can.
  22. Sorry, but we've gotten a 292/375/487 line out of CF this year. If you think Pie can put that up, more power to you. I would have like to have given Pie a real shot this year, but we can't settle for "OK" next year if we can go out and get "really good", especially if we have a new owners money.
  23. Your parents named you "My Name"? They are cruel cruel bastards.
  24. that's precisely the point. i'm seeing average SS line as .268/.323/.385 and .314 wOBA so Theriot's monthly splits, wOBA: 0.389 0.348 0.326 0.358 0.322 0.260 september's the only month where he falls below avg threshold for SS and that's just 2/3 the sample size of the rest where'd you get monthly splits of wOBA?
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