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nilodnayr

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Everything posted by nilodnayr

  1. 5 year 90 M Per Bruce Levine on Mike and Mike
  2. But 3 homers and 15Ks aren't equivalent in this discussion. Unless you bat around in each inning, its going to take more than 2 innings for the batter to get 2 more chances to hit homers. The picther will definitely get 6 more chances for Ks if he is pitching 2 more innings.
  3. It'd be interesting for some sort of analysis, but just my guess is that most extra inning games go into extras with a low score, so the player would have to be hitting extraordinarily better than his teammates, which doesn't happen too often.
  4. Its fine in the loop...looking at the radar the storm appears to be just skimming the northern edge of the city. If Seth or UM or any one else who lives close is at home, they should be able to tell you exactly. I think worst case scenario it might be a bit delayed.
  5. If you are asking if he can maintain or get close to his current 156 OPS+, the answer is a resounding no. Hes 26 years old, walks a bit, strikes out a lot, yet is sporting a nifty 420 BABIP in his current stint. He was an 5th rounder, but that was back when he was to play in the IF. He has rarely put up good numbers without repeating a level. Hes a AAAA player whos had a good couple games. In fact, if you take away the game the one game he went 4/5 with 2 bombs against the white sox, his average drops 36 points, his OBP drops 32 points and his slugging drops 118 points (all quick calcs that are close). So, if that game never occured, his OPS would be 833 instead of 983. If thats not a lesson in sample size, I don't know what is.
  6. There are a ton of other ways to think about this... What is easier to do, hit 1 homer or strike out 1 batter? 5 homers is 25% more than the current record (of 4), whereas 21Ks is 5% more than the current record (of 20). 21Ks is 77.7% of outs in a 9 inning game, whereas 5 homers is 83.3% of a 6 PA game. There averages roughly 1 HR per game (the record is 5 x the average) and roughly 6.5 Ks per game (the record is roughly 3.2 x the average). Those are some pretty simplistic ways of thinking about it, but all roads lead to 21K in a game being easier.
  7. Thats the whole point of the question. 4 homers and 20Ks are the records.
  8. link Yikes on this picture: http://extras.mnginteractive.com/live/media/site96/2007/0814/20070814__bluefish_1_Gallery.jpg I like how you can see the firstbaseman's glove falling to the ground in the background of the photo, but the firstbaseman isn't anywhere in the picture. Given that he probably wouldn't be totally blocked by Offerman or the pitcher, I'm guessing there was no one on first and he was playing behind the bag so if the picture extended to the left youd see him charging in. Hard to tell, but looks like a righties first base mit so it'd be on his left hand so it makes sense that if you are looking at the picture he'd be to the left of it.
  9. Ha, I was just waiting for the Marquis reaction and it did not disappoint.
  10. Because they have absolutely no one else in their bullpen who can consistently get outs in the 7th or 8th, much less the 9th. If they used Jenks to fill some of their myriad of holes, they'd end up just blowing games in the 9th with MacDougal or Thornton or whoever else. They're an aging team with a high payroll, although some contracts are expiring (Dye after this season, Garland after next season), injury concerns (Crede, also with a contract expiring after 2008), and no significant minor-leaguers coming up. Kenny Williams has an unenviable job this offseason. Sox fans need to enjoy their 2005 Series win (I know I would), because the window is closing rapidly on them and they could be in for some serious dark times. Right, so if they have no one who can get the ball to Jenks, whats the point of having Jenks? Obviously, this season is done for them, but honestly, I don't see how the immediate future looks any brighter and it sounds like you don't either, so again, whats the point of having a good closer? Of course it all depends on what you could have gotten for him and Kenny can still trade him in the offseason. But I'm just saying that the Sox should be full on rebuilding, not half ass it. The package that Jenks can bring is probably going to be much greater than the value Jenks brings to a floundering White Sox team.
  11. I agree with the lack of correlation, but shouldn't Barrett's 30 OPS+ as a Padre make you stop grinding this ax at some point? A) its 42 (you might have been a column off, he has 30 TBs) B) its 104 ABs of split time C) the man is coming off of 3 100+ OPS+ seasons (inwhich he increased every year) D) Bowen had a -29 OPS+ for us (again in a very small sample size) E) To your point though, you have to be naive if you think the trade was completely a baseball performance decision.
  12. White Sox should have traded him at the deadline and gotten a ridiculous bounty. Whats the point of having an awesome closer if you have crappy starting pitching and an even worse bullpen?
  13. Hmm... What would the media play up more if the Cardinals moved into first place: Rick Ankiel's comeback or the Cardinal players doing it in the memory of Josh Hancock? I'll go with the latter. Winning it for Hancock and Spiezio after he relapses and ODs. Eeeek, too much.
  14. if the worst case scenario has him putting up a .786 ops during a slump, where do i sign up? Combined with being one of the worst regular OF's in the game? I guess I have higher standards for $14M. I'm not saying I wouldn't want him under any circumstances and he is a pretty good bet to get you around an .850 OPS. However there are things that make me hesitant and I would want them to eat some of that money. If not, I'd rather go with Murton (and Jones if necessary) and allocate that $10-$13M to Z and a possible shot at A-Rod. again, defense is not our problem, our problem is OPS. burrell provides that. i'd take him in a second. Indeed, but if you needed proof that the Cubs are in 'no spend' mode because of the sale, you are seeing a fairly solid piece of evidence to that effect right here. Well not necessarily, Hendry might just not like him.
  15. What is your name on your other account? I think he mentioned that he just migrated over from cubs.com
  16. Even if without ARod, I'd like Lee to hit second.
  17. Disagree I have no problem with Soriano batting leadoff, hes one of our best hitters. I'd rather have Lee leading off, but Soriano is a hell of a lot better than Theriot.
  18. No. God no! Worst case scenario, Cedeno is a cheap backup MIF for 4 more years. Best case scenario hes able to translate his AAA sucess to the majors and be an average starting SS for cheap for the next 4 years. I wouldn't give up on him just yet, hes only 24 and has another year of options.
  19. You're talking about bunks, right? :D Well it starts with bu...
  20. While I in no way support Bonds, I think the most ineresting point that is never talked about that makes absolutely no sense is why Bond's would have to take a steriod that is undetectable and much less effective than other steriods when Baseball wasn't even testing for it at the time. I absolutely believe the circumstantial evidence is damning (foot size, head size, hell whole body, increasing in size dramatically), but the above point is an interesting one.
  21. I can just see the Neifi excuse coming out..."but someone on the team told me I could use ANY steriod!!!"
  22. A guess or a report you heard somewhere? ESPN1000 In that case, I have a bad feeling Pie's going to head back down once the DL stint is over. I'm also not sure that there's any guarantee he'll be playing much. Not if he starts to hit. Meh, he'll be back up a week later when the rosters expand. No biggie.
  23. A guess or a report you heard somewhere? ESPN1000
  24. Might I add, no fat chicks!
  25. Suuure. :D We should have just killed one of his grandparents like most teams do.
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