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Jazz

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Everything posted by Jazz

  1. Jazz
    we do have that and it's at 57 percent. Ahh yes, that stat. What exactly is the formula for it?
  2. Jazz
    they'd probably value him alot more if he could get some playing time. which in turn would raise his value up with us, thus defeating set train of thought :P
  3. Jazz
    That's the problem. They may just be "marginal" upgrades but when you're around 89-90 runs each win brings your chances of making the playoffs up so much. All wins aren't created equally. Wins between 88 and 92 are the most valuable in baseball, economically and on the field wise. are you saying a win in april isn't as important as a win in september? No. I'm saying this: http://www.hardballtimes.com/images/uploads/Pennants_Added_2.gif we're we are at it looks like each win makes the probability we play in october go up 10%. Yes I'll definately agree with that. But ehh, marginal upgrades quickly into marginal downgrades sometimes. I like impact better =\. But you're probably right. I wish there was a chart though that could give us a prediction based on the recent swing of winning we're having. Not based on our rate since June or so, but some kind of probability based on the schedule and predicted success.
  4. Jazz
    That's the problem. They may just be "marginal" upgrades but when you're around 89-90 runs each win brings your chances of making the playoffs up so much. All wins aren't created equally. Wins between 88 and 92 are the most valuable in baseball, economically and on the field wise. are you saying a win in april isn't as important as a win in september?
  5. Jazz
    I think if the cubs REALLY wanted Griffey, they could get him. Package Marshall, Epatt, and Murton together, and take a bad reds contract along the way. Too bad that probably would not be in our best interest.
  6. Jazz
    Yeah I'm of the opinion that any addition we have been talking about making is not worth the players we would trade, and I'd be content with standing pact with the offense. On the otherhand, I could go for another SP......
  7. Jazz
    In general, this makes sense, but the argument you're giving is fairly abstract. It is possible, for instance, that Jon Daniels is an emotional man who would want to make sure that Sammy stays happy no matter where he is, or that Daniels made a verbal agreement with Sosa and is unwilling to break it without Sosa's consent. Although it is true that NTC-less players have no negotiating leverage built into their contracts, other factors sometimes apply. But there you go, you said it yourself. Sosa isn't the reason, it's the GM's. It's Ultimately them that decide what he wants to do with a player without an NTC.
  8. Jazz
    Ok my 2 cents. FIRST and foremost. While sammy has been good against lefties this year, and historically has mauled them, I think I'd be content with just platooning murton with floyd/jones. Either way though, I'd welcome Sammy in open arms, I love the guy. 2nd. The idea that a player can sway trade talks WITHOUT an NTC is just ridiculous, I think the examples of Soriano and Vazquez have already been brought up. Plain and simple, Sosa is just as likely to get traded if the GM wants it so as say, Ryan Theriot. THERE IS NO BASIS TO SAY OTHERWISE. The only reason that it wouldn't happen is if the GM's didn't want it to work out that way. Without an NTC, Sosa is as much a pawn as the next guy, 600 Home Runs or not. PERIOD. 3rdly, we won't get Sosa. Hendry isn't smart enough to see him as an upgrade, and wouldn't want him anyway, so this whole discussion is all for naught.
  9. Jazz
    I'm just imagine how unbelievably cool it would be for you to sing the stretch. Wow can you imagine. Here's hoping :)!
  10. Jazz
    Pretty much, but he's got the defensive ability/reputation to actually get playing time in RF. Fun fact about Ethier: His OBP and SLG are identical this year v. RHP and LHP. Only a 4 point difference in OPS last year too, so he's not a guy that needs a platoon partner. I mentioned trading for Vazquez and then using Marshall in a deal, but the Dodgers want starting pitching, what about a 3-way deal with Ethier/Murton/Vazquez as main components? yeah thats a good idea, since vazquez is the only guy performing this year who can be had (other than oswalt). how does Cubs get: Ethier, Vazquez Dodgers get: Marshall, and Petrick White Sox get: Murton, and Meloan sound?
  11. Jazz
    Yup. I'd love to him either way though.
  12. Jazz
    If jones is producing again, then you don't need to get an OF bat as much. Go after a SS, or maybe a decent hitting C :P.
  13. Jazz
    No one ever really complains about Lee, do they? well no, but he did say our best player, which is Ramirez.
  14. Jazz
    haha saorsa 29-14 if i counted right. Good for about a .687 Winning PCT.
  15. Jazz
    Well that leads me to ask you this, is ryan dempster someone you want in the rotation?
  16. Jazz
    damn what a meatball
  17. Jazz
    way to take one jason, since you cant get on with the bat :P
  18. Jazz
    YEAH!!!!! HAHAHA
  19. Jazz
    woah, dejavu 1-0 cubs.
  20. Jazz
    Hahahaha...something tells me this guy is just jerking everyone around. He is apparently not the only guy with this rumor. Remember, Milwaukee radio reported it. FYI, this was posted by Lance on his blog LAST night. http://www.1530homer.com/pages/lancesBlog.html?page=1 i assume that he means escobar the SS. Bad deal for the reds.
  21. Jazz
    Good to see that expressionless mug on my screen today. GO THEO!
  22. Jazz
    Rumor I heard is that Toronto is trying to acquire Jack Wilson. Guess they have been missing there idiot IF quota for the last year or so :P, gotta fix that!
  23. Jazz
    THANK YOU PIRATES!!!!!!
  24. Jazz
    it couldn't be that these guys are all "better" than their major league counterparts because they've not been given enough of a chance to fail at the big league level, could it? i suppose, but the fact of the matter is, for the combined estimated 18 mil that your getting out of the vets, you could get slightly less to better production out of your cheap in house options. While i'm not going to go and say that there is a 0% chance that ALL of these young guys will fail, is it a stretch to say that we'd be better off? You have murton who's already produced at the ML level, Cedeno whos tearing up AAA who could definately do better than Izturis, Soto who has also had sucess at AAA that couldn't be any more of an anomaly that Kendall and Hill have been in 07', Pie who is our young stud that needs to go through the growing pains that could show some flashes, but will inevitably pay off more in the long run in his development than having pagan as your 4th of with mediocre offense. Petrick who had done good in limited time on the ML squad, and has been great in 07' in the minors, should definately outpitch Eyre if given extended time. The rulingn is out on Piggy though, but I think you will agree with me that you'd like to see him pitch on the ML team more than Ohman.
  25. Jazz
    Here's hoping that theodore will deliver us a victory.
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