MSU has had all their players back since the Illinois game, just in time for what is their only "bad" loss of the year. Question is can they get it into gear by the start of the tournament. Biggest injury question going into the tourney, IMO, is Kansas' Joel Embiid. Embiid out for the first weekend of the tourney, maybe longer. There's a very real chance we might not make it past the round 32 without him. I like your tier approach, but I do think there are some problems. A road game vs a Top 75 game is valued the same as a road game vs. 25. So when you look at that chart and see a team with multiple losses in Tier one, you still aren't getting a clear picture of the types of losses they have. However, that chart represents KU much more accurately than I think general perception does. KU gets a lot of credit for playing a very difficult schedule, and they should. But they also have lost a lot of games against their top opposition. And they're an average road team, at best.