Whereas your statement is accurate that the season is probably done for the Cubs, I'm not too interested in what is probable anymore. It is painfully clear what is probable. The team is 5 back in the loss column with 41 games to play, it doesn't take a genius to see what is probable. I'm interested in what is still possible. And the fact that there are 5 teams to climb over isn't as bad as you are making it out because 4 of those teams are in the same division and will be playing each other a lot in the last 40 games. They could cancel each other out. Having those 4 teams go .500 against each other will actually make it easier for the Cubs to pass them. So the number of teams isn't really the issue. The Cubs winning enough games to pass them is. Who is hot amongst those 5 teams? If Houston loses tonight, they will have dropped 5 of their last 6 all at home. The Phillies just split a 4-game series at home against the Nationals, which is exactly what we wanted them to do. Ditto for the Nats. The Mets just got shut out by Pittsburgh at home and are 4-5 over their last 9. The Marlins are the hottest team of the bunch having won 4 of their last 5, but in their last 11, they are just 6-5. Any one of them could get hot and if they do it will be that much tougher for the Cubs to catch them. Thats why it is not probable for the Cubs to make the playoffs. And if the Cubs fail to get hot, then it doesn't much matter what the other teams do. However, funny things happen in baseball and they happen quite often. Hey, sorry for the "raining on the parade" commentary. I'm hoping as much as the next guy that the Cubs can do this and win the Wild Card... but I'm also keeping an eye on realism, which is that, when there's 5-6 teams between you and the leader(s), that makes the climb seem twice as much as just the games-back deficit. No problem, Hawks. And the key word is that the 5 teams to climb over only seems like a big problem. Again, the fact that the 4 NL East teams play each other so much and the fact that the Cubs have so many games left against Houston makes this thing doable. The problem is being 5 back in the loss column with only 41 to play, that and the Cubs have yet to get hot over a long stretch of games which is exactly what they will have to do to have any chance of winning this thing. Its official. Houston loses at home again. Way to go, Brewers. Shades of '03. Oh, I agree, its definitely possible - although (right now!), the odds make it seem not so probable. If the Cubs can go on a 7-8-9+ win streak, they can turn this race around quick. Seeing as how they got Colorado, then ATL and FLA, a big win streak may have to wait a week or so. Hopefully they can still go 7-2 over the next 3 series though. But I guess 7 or 8 out of the next 10 would be a nice enough streak in itself. :) More than being nice, it's pretty much necessary. I mean, we pretty much need to play .750 ball to have a decent shot.