i wouldn't assume that the game at iowa is an auto-win considering that we should've lost to them at home. michigan and iowa are pretty much equally bad. penn state should beat wisconsin at home; at this point that'd be a bad loss for a team hoping to make the tourney. they probably can go something like: wins: indiana, wisconsin, illinois, minnesota, either @michigan or @iowa, losses: @purdue, @illinois, @mich/@iowa, @osu 5-4 in the last 9 games wouldn't be bad; that's 22-9 going into the big ten tourney and if they win one game they're probably in the field of 64 (65).