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    Shota Imanaga is Back: Takeaways from Cubs Ace's Triumphant Return

    Fans hate hearing this, but the odds of the Cubs acquiring a starting pitcher better than Shota Imanaga before the trade deadline are lousy. Thus, it was a huge relief to see Imanaga return to the mound in fine form Thursday.

    Matthew Trueblood
    Image courtesy of © Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

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    The Cubs certainly hope they can find and acquire a solid starting pitcher to supplement their rotation before the trade deadline arrives on July 31. For now, though, Shota Imanaga is their unquestioned ace, and they missed him dearly during his nearly two-month stint on the injured list. Happily, they welcomed him back Thursday, and he fired five shutout innings against the potent Cardinals offense, handing off a 2-0 lead to the bullpen.

    Early in the outing, Imanaga was extremely fastball-heavy, trying hard to establish that pitch and force hitters to sit on it. By the end of it, though, he'd done what he usually does: gradually increase splitter usage, sprinkle in the sweeper against lefties, and mix his stuff well enough to keep hitters off-balance and frustrated. Of his 77 pitches, Statcast read 12 as splitters, 11 as changeups, and 6 as sweepers. It can be hard to distinguish the multiple flavors of offspeed pitch Imanaga throws in real time, but he certainly did deploy both his signature splitter and the more traditional change throughout the outing.

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    This wasn't Imanaga's best day, in terms of sheer stuff, but nothing in that regard raised a red flag, and for this one start, that's all the Cubs asked. He allowed just one hit and one walk, and he struck out three. He got seven whiffs, forced lots of mishit balls with his heater, and induced weak contact across the board. His fastball only sat around 90.5 miles per hour, but he touched 92, proving his arm is back up to speed.

    It was particularly fun to watch Imanaga work opposite Cardinals starter Andre Pallante, who has exceptional fastball movement characteristics, just as Imanaga does—but in the opposite way.

    Pallante's unusually high arm angle and funky, catapult-like delivery yields a heavy heater with lots of relative cut. Imanaga's rising heater not only comes at hitters on a singularly flat vertical plane, but runs more to the arm side than almost any fastball otherwise similar to it. The contrasting styles made for an interesting early pitcher's duel.

    That the Cubs had the advantage in the bout when each fighter retired is a credit, in part, to Michael Busch, who worked a superb at-bat against Pallante and hit a 3-2 fastball out of the park to right field, putting the Cubs on the board first. 

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    A long Cubs rally in the fourth failed to produce a crooked number, but a bases-loaded walk from Ian Happ did double their cushion. The Cubs are in position to escape St. Louis with a split after dropping the first two games of the series, and with Imanaga's return in the center of the narrative there, that's cause for extra optimism.

    Join our game thread, below, to talk more about Thursday's action.

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    Pedro Ramirez

    Iowa Cubs - AAA, IF
    On Thursday, the 22-year-old went 4-for-6with his fifth home run and five RBI. He also stole his 6th and 7th bases. In 16 games, he's hitting .328 (1.026 OPS).

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    Featured Comments

    PeanutPunch33

    Posted

    Unpopular opinion maybe but I really think the Cubs need to consider keeping McGuire around when Amaya gets back.  At the very least, he's made it a conversation 

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    Just now, PeanutPunch33 said:

    Unpopular opinion maybe but I really think the Cubs need to consider keeping McGuire around when Amaya gets back.  At the very least, he's made it a conversation 

    He's hit well, but I'm not sure what purpose he serves. Amaya and Kelly have played more than well enough to be the 1a/1b situation, so they don't need a 3rd catcher. Next, none are capable of playing another position. Kelly is the only one of the three who's played any other defensive position, and it was 1 inning of 3b in 2019. It would be one thing if any of the three had extensive 1b history; but they don't. I know the Cubs barely use their 26th man right now, but at least Jon Berti offers utility if you need it. 

    We'll see. I guess he could take the Berti-vibes role for a bit, but he'd basically never play. It'd be simply out of emergency if another C went down.

    UMFan83

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, PeanutPunch33 said:

    Unpopular opinion maybe but I really think the Cubs need to consider keeping McGuire around when Amaya gets back.  At the very least, he's made it a conversation 

    For sure but weird time to say when Kelly is 6 for his last 12.

    • Haha 1
    squally1313

    Posted

    Just now, Jason Ross said:

    He's hit well, but I'm not sure what purpose he serves. Amaya and Kelly have played more than well enough to be the 1a/1b situation, so they don't need a 3rd catcher. Next, none are capable of playing another position. Kelly is the only one of the three who's played any other defensive position, and it was 1 inning of 3b in 2019. It would be one thing if any of the three had extensive 1b history; but they don't. I know the Cubs barely use their 26th man right now, but at least Jon Berti offers utility if you need it. 

    We'll see. I guess he could take the Berti-vibes role for a bit, but he'd basically never play. It'd be simply out of emergency if another C went down.

    I'm guessing the answer here is that he stays instead of Turner. Which is the wrong answer. 

    • Like 1
    Jason Ross

    Posted

    Just now, squally1313 said:

    I'm guessing the answer here is that he stays instead of Turner. Which is the wrong answer. 

    Correct. I think we all have to accept that Turner probably isn't going anywhere anytime soon. I suspect, even if he can't really ever start hitting, he's going to be kept in the 26th-man-vibes role. The team seems to enjoy his contributions in the clubhouse. 

    And my most meathead opinion (and understand I say this as a guy who's been heavy into analytics for two decades now) is that there are things like clubhouse stuff, that over the course of 162 games, can matter. We don't have a data point for it, but the year is a grind and having someone who can keep guys mentally there has value.

    • Like 1
    BKHoo

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, PeanutPunch33 said:

    Unpopular opinion maybe but I really think the Cubs need to consider keeping McGuire around when Amaya gets back.  At the very least, he's made it a conversation 

    He has made it a conversation. Good for him. But do you mean keep three catchers? 

    squally1313

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Jason Ross said:

    Correct. I think we all have to accept that Turner probably isn't going anywhere anytime soon. I suspect, even if he can't really ever start hitting, he's going to be kept in the 26th-man-vibes role. The team seems to enjoy his contributions in the clubhouse. 

    And my most meathead opinion (and understand I say this as a guy who's been heavy into analytics for two decades now) is that there are things like clubhouse stuff, that over the course of 162 games, can matter. We don't have a data point for it, but the year is a grind and having someone who can keep guys mentally there has value.

    1. Agreed on the clubhouse stuff.

    2. Sorry, but 49 PAs is not going to convince me that Reese McGuire at age 30 figured out how to be a good hitter. I mean, I guess there's a chance he cracked the code to maintaining a 27% HR/FB rate? But otherwise there's probably a reason he's always graded out well defensively and still couldn't find a consistent big league job, and I mean that in actual baseball reasons not weird parking lot reasons. 

    • Like 1
    Jason Ross

    Posted

    1 minute ago, squally1313 said:

    1. Agreed on the clubhouse stuff.

    2. Sorry, but 49 PAs is not going to convince me that Reese McGuire at age 30 figured out how to be a good hitter. I mean, I guess there's a chance he cracked the code to maintaining a 27% HR/FB rate? But otherwise there's probably a reason he's always graded out well defensively and still couldn't find a consistent big league job, and I mean that in actual baseball reasons not weird parking lot reasons. 

    Oh, fully agree on the McGuire thing. 

    49 PA's ago he was on an MiLB deal. If the Cubs rolled into the year with him and either Kelly or Amaya as the C duo, people would have thrown a fit. He's still Reese McGuire

    PeanutPunch33

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    He's hit well, but I'm not sure what purpose he serves. Amaya and Kelly have played more than well enough to be the 1a/1b situation, so they don't need a 3rd catcher. Next, none are capable of playing another position. Kelly is the only one of the three who's played any other defensive position, and it was 1 inning of 3b in 2019. It would be one thing if any of the three had extensive 1b history; but they don't. I know the Cubs barely use their 26th man right now, but at least Jon Berti offers utility if you need it. 

    We'll see. I guess he could take the Berti-vibes role for a bit, but he'd basically never play. It'd be simply out of emergency if another C went down.

    The Cubs did it in their WS year and that was without the benefit of the DH.  I was going to say instead of Turner, but you are right that one of Kelly or Amaya would need to be able to occasionally platoon 1b to make it work

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    Matt Shaw on the day:

    83mph single xBA of .740
    107mph lineout xBA of .490
    28mph popout xBA of .070
    101 lineout xBA of .490

    That's about as good of a 1-4 as you'll see. He deserved a bit more. 

    • Like 3
    PeanutPunch33

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, BKHoo said:

    He has made it a conversation. Good for him. But do you mean keep three catchers? 

    The more I think about it, it does seem ridiculous lol.  But 2016 does  come to mind.  

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, PeanutPunch33 said:

    The Cubs did it in their WS year and that was without the benefit of the DH.  I was going to say instead of Turner, but you are right that one of Kelly or Amaya would need to be able to occasionally platoon 1b to make it work

    They did. But they also worked around some weird Jon Lester stuff there with David Ross. I think the Cubs would have preferred not to have 3 C's, one of whom was only there to play when one pitcher threw. But it's the price you pay for Jon Lester.

    Reese McGuire doesn't have the same caveat and would, probably, just sit there. He's had a cool little run, but it's probably in the best interest of the Cubs to let it be that; a cool little unexpected run.

    UMFan83

    Posted

    Please don't do this Palencia

    BKHoo

    Posted

    I’ve got a bad bad feeling about this. 

    PeanutPunch33

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    They did. But they also worked around some weird Jon Lester stuff there with David Ross. I think the Cubs would have preferred not to have 3 C's, one of whom was only there to play when one pitcher threw. But it's the price you pay for Jon Lester.

    Reese McGuire doesn't have the same caveat and would, probably, just sit there. He's had a cool little run, but it's probably in the best interest of the Cubs to let it be that; a cool little unexpected run.

    That is true.  Lester was such a great but weird player lol.  I remember he could never throw to first base and then one day, he got I think Tommy Pham out by like 30 feet 🤣 good times 

    PeanutPunch33

    Posted

    That 3rd run feels gigantic now 

    chibears55

    Posted

    Not a good start here, come on Palencia finish this.

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    Wow, great sequence to Nolan there by Daniel. 

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    Just now, PeanutPunch33 said:

    That is true.  Lester was such a great but weird player lol.  I remember he could never throw to first base and then one day, he got I think Tommy Pham out by like 30 feet 🤣 good times 

    I don't remember many pickoffs, but Lester picking that prick off of 1b was such a memorable moment. 

    • Like 1
    squally1313

    Posted

    Do you think Gorman is going to hit a 96 mph/41 LA home run to the left field corner or the right field corner

    chibears55

    Posted

    1 minute ago, WhyCantWeWin said:

    Why is contreras mad lol

    He wanted to hit a 5 run homer 😅

    He always gets mad when he gets hit

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    Good double play potential here with Saggese

    JHBulls

    Posted

    Thanks for helping with the World Series, but stop acting like a douchbag Willson. You’re having a one person argument with yourself. No one wants anything to do with it.




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