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    Pete Crow-Armstrong Already Ranks Shockingly High in Power and Speed in Cubs History

    He's got the power, he's got the speed / to be the MVP of the National League

    Matthew Trueblood
    Image courtesy of © Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

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    What Pete Crow-Armstrong is doing this season—and, in particular, what he's been doing since about the fourth week of May—is stunning, but you know that. He's putting together one of the best individual seasons in Cubs history, pending a second half in which he must prove he can sustain this level of intensity and brilliance. But you know that, too. What you might not know is, he's already soared up the Cubs' all-time leaderboard when it comes to blending power and speed—not over a year or two, but over a whole career.

    Though he's only 24 years old, Crow-Armstrong already has 62 homers and 88 steals for his career, including 21 and 24 this season. He passed Billy Williams and Corey Patterson in steals in a Cubs uniform in the final week before the All-Star break. He also passed Jose Cardenal on the team's career home run leaderboard. That leaves just five players who have played since the start of the Live Ball Era who have both hit more homers and stolen more bases than Crow-Armstrong during their time with Chicago. Here they are, with their Cubs totals in both categories, so you can see just how good a chance he has to go down as the most prolific progenitor of excitement in Cubs history.

    Kiki Cuyler: 79 homers, 161 steals
    This one almost doesn't count, because steals were counted very differently before about World War II and some steals totals from that period are quite inflated. We'll keep Cuyler around, though, because Crow-Armstrong is benefiting in his own way from the era in which he plays. None of these guys compiled their steals against pitchers who had to get the ball off before a clock hit :00, after all, and those hurlers could throw over to first as many times as they wished.

    Cuyler is a Hall of Famer, though he only played about half his illustrious career with the Cubs. That stint did include being on two pennant-winning clubs, though, and he hit well in his two World Series with the team. Homers weren't the driver of the offensive explosion in the NL in the late 1920s and early 1930s, but Cuyler showed good power for his time. He also hit for average, controlled the zone and led the NL in steals three times in a row when he first joined the Cubs via a trade with Pittsburgh in late 1927. He played more right than center, and wasn't quite the all-around dominator Crow-Armstrong has been in spurts over the last two years, but he was one of the 10 or 15 best players in the league for a few years. Crow-Armstrong could pass him in career homers by early next season, if he stays healthy.

    Leon Durham: 138 homers, 98 steals
    Those who remember Durham only dimly, having been too young to experience his arrival and ascent, might be surprised that he stole so many times. Truthfully, he shouldn't have. Durham was much more athletic than most first basemen and always did take a base when teams paid too little attention, but over half his steals as a Cub came in his first two seasons with the club, when he was still an outfielder. He grabbed 25 bags in 1981 and 28 in 1982, which sounds nice—but he was caught a combined 25 times in those two years. If the old days inflated by steals by counting plays we would not now dub steals and we now see inflation based on the rules, the 1980s saw inflation in steal totals simply because no one told inefficient basestealers to stop making needless outs. Crow-Armstrong will probably pass Durham in steals before this year is over.

    Shawon Dunston: 107 homers, 175 steals
    A two-time All-Star shortstop for the North Siders, Dunston got to these numbers partially via skill—he was certainly a better baserunner than Durham, usually succeeding enough that even a modern manager would give him the green light—and partially via an accumulation of playing time. He never hit more than 17 home runs in a season. As torrid a pace as Crow-Armstrong is on, you can't race past a guy who spent parts of 12 seasons with the team as easily as you can sail past the likes of Cuyler and Durham. Even if he stays healthy and keeps raking, he might not pass Dunston in homers until 2028.

    Sammy Sosa: 545 homers, 181 steals
    I urged a comp between the skill sets and career arcs of Crow-Armstrong and the young, dynamic version of Sosa for a long time. In some sense, Sosa remains the power-speed standard of Cubs history; he had two 30/30 seasons and two more 20/20 ones. If not for the 1994 strike and a season-ending injury in 1996, he could well have three 30/30 campaigns and a 50/20 one, which Crow-Armstrong might never match.

    Still, Sosa was never quite as well-rounded as Crow-Armstrong is at this moment. Whether you credit a change in the ball, PED use, hitting coach Jeff Pentland or the double expansions of 1993 and 1998 watering down the league's pitching talent for it all, Sosa's emergence as a full-fledged superstar slugger in 1998 coincided with him reaching his late 20s and losing his basestealing nous. He started walking more (though still not as much as Crow-Armstrong has over the last month and a half), but ran less, in addition to playing worsening defense. 

    There's a lot of wood to chop here. By all indications, Crow-Armstrong has plenty of time left to run the bases well, and he's getting on base so much that his steal rate hasn't dropped even as his slugging has surged. Still, he probably needs the rest of this year and four more to catch Sosa in the steals department. As delightful as it is to watch him execute his gameplan and launch homers, it seems virtually unthinkable that he'll hit 500-plus homers for the team. Plan on seeing him best Sosa on the bases, and not until 2030.

    Ryne Sandberg: 282 homers, 344 steals
    Nobody stays healthy and good long enough to steal 344 bases anymore. The active leader is Starling Marte (did you know he was still active? He's a Royal!), at 362, but he's spent 15 years compiling those numbers. Only three more guys (Trea Turner, Jose Altuve and José Ramírez) have more than 250. Crow-Armstrong has a fast start at a young age working for him, but don't count on him eclipsing Sandberg, and even if he does get to that total, it might be in his mid-30s, on some other team.

    No, the better chance for him to get to the top of this mountain lies in continuing to hit for massive power. He'd need to stick around for his whole long-term contract and be a fearsome slugger the whole time, but that one is possible. Either way, it'll be fun to watch him launch his assault on this bit of Cubs history. Sandberg is the most balanced and beloved power-speed guy in Cubs history. Crow-Armstrong might get past everyone else rather easily, but he has to stay at a superstar level for a long time to catch Ryno.

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    Posted

    Nostalgia riddled work , you had me at “ prolific progenitor of excitement “   
    Some great and exhilarating performers in that group . 

    Enjoyable composition.  


     

     



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