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    Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

    The Cubs head up I-94 to open the NLDS to face the Brewers. Join our game thread!
    Brock Beauchamp

    By Brock Beauchamp

    Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

    Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

    Brewers Offense
    Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

    Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
    4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
    5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
    6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    Cubs Offense
    Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

    Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
    3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
    5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
    8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
    12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 

    Brock Beauchamp is the technical and community lead for the DiamondCentric network of sites. He has been an avid baseball fan since the mid-80s and founded his first baseball site, Battle Your Tail Off, in the mid-2000s.

    Follow Brock Beauchamp on Twitter: brock_beauchamp

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    Featured Comments

    Cuzi

    Cuzi 336

    Posted (edited)

    3 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

    Because he can’t catch and our DH is a better hitter. 

    I dont care if he can't catch. You dont send that bat back down to AAA in favor of a Reese McGuire.

    Edited by Cuzi
    • Like 1
    squally1313

    squally1313 2,225

    Posted

    Just now, Cuzi said:

    I dont care if he can't catch. You dont send that bat back down to AAA if favor of a Reese McGuire.

    But that’s not the decision because you need a backup catcher regardless. He comes up to be a…platoon DH? pinch hitter? and we’re essentially punting on the chances of him ever being a serviceable major league catcher. A 135 wRC DH only guy is marginally value in like, a lesser version of Seiya Suzuki way. A 135 wRC bat who can also play a mediocre catcher is one of the most valuable players in the league. 

    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, minnesotacubsfan said:

    a ton of assests who cant crack the starting lineup

     

     

    That's more of a function of how good the Cubs starters are

    • Disagree 1
    Soul

    Soul 595

    Posted

    It’s a horrible game.  We are getting destroyed.  Let’s see what happens after an off day that we obviously really needed.

    Stratos

    Stratos 503

    Posted

    LOL Tucker.

     

    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    He's not going to get starts next year over Amaya and Kelly no matter how much he improves in the offseason.

    We're getting ahead of ourselves here, but maybe the Cubs look to trade Kelly.  Having two very good hitching catchers is a luxury that few, if any, teams have and maybe the Cubs can capitalize on Kelly's outstanding season and team friendly contract to fill another hole.

    minnesotacubsfan

    minnesotacubsfan 874

    Posted

    Just now, Wilson A2000 said:

    That's more of a function of how good the Cubs starters are

    true, but the Cubs, more than anything, need quality starting pitching

     

     

    Rcal10

    Rcal10 1,541

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Tangled Up in Plaid said:

    Guess Civale should have started. 

    Wonder if there is a game 4 do the Cubs consider Civali? 

    minnesotacubsfan

    minnesotacubsfan 874

    Posted

    I feel like its been awhile since Tucker has been good this season

    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    We're getting ahead of ourselves here, but maybe the Cubs look to trade Kelly.  Having two very good hitching catchers is a luxury that few, if any, teams have and maybe the Cubs can capitalize on Kelly's outstanding season and team friendly contract to fill another hole.

    I wouldn't be opposed to that on the face of it, but Amaya cannot stay healthy and then you risk having Ballesteros and McGuire (or trading for another middling veteran catcher) as your catching tandem 

    Illiterate Scholar

    Illiterate Scholar 98

    Posted

    I do think Ballesteros will be overrated a bit by Cubs fans this winter. He's certainly been impressive but both Caisse and Shaw were clearly better than him in AAA this year for example 

    • Like 1
    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    Just now, Rcal10 said:

    Wonder if there is a game 4 do the Cubs consider Civali? 

    No. Shota, Taillon, and Boyd and if not Boyd then Rea. 

    Illiterate Scholar

    Illiterate Scholar 98

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Stratos said:

    LOL Tucker.

     

    Contreras brothers are famously anti bat flip

    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Tangled Up in Plaid 409

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    No. Shota, Taillon, and Boyd and if not Boyd then Rea. 

    I don't know if I ever wanna see Boyd against the Brewers again

    • Like 1
    Cuzi

    Cuzi 336

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Illiterate Scholar said:

    I do think Ballesteros will be overrated a bit by Cubs fans this winter. He's certainly been impressive but both Caisse and Shaw were clearly better than him in AAA this year for example 

    I'll take Ballesteros' bat over Caissie if you asked me to pick right now. Caissie has too much swing and miss in his swing.

    Max Power

    Max Power 43

    Posted

    Kinda surprised Peralta still out there.

    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Tangled Up in Plaid 409

    Posted

    Ian Happ's homer there will eventually be used against him by his haters

    Connor McConnor

    Connor McConnor 58

    Posted

    Blowouts happen, but 2 hits through 5?  

    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Tangled Up in Plaid 409

    Posted

    Just now, Max Power said:

    Kinda surprised Peralta still out there.

    Yeah, just wasting bullets for no reason. Should have been out after the arbitrary 5 innings to get a win

    DrCub

    DrCub 71

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Jason Ross said:

    Yeah, he's been really bad. Have to wonder if he rushed back from injury and his mechanics are off some. He was really good in Washigon and hurt by a bad defense! And the stuff is there. I don't know. 

    I barely have anything optimistic to say today and ya'll know how rare that is. 

    It's game 1, though. And it doesn't matter if you lose by 1 or 50, it only counts once. 

    You’re absolutely correct, but I think the poor decision making and lack of acquiring any talent at the deadline has made people irrationally upset at this loss.  

    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, minnesotacubsfan said:

    true, but the Cubs, more than anything, need quality starting pitching

     

     

    Horton, Steele, Boyd, Imanaga, Taillon, With Rea/Assad/Brown/Soroka/trades. It's already a good staff headed into next year. 

    Rcal10

    Rcal10 1,541

    Posted (edited)

    7 minutes ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    No. Shota, Taillon, and Boyd and if not Boyd then Rea. 

     It sure about that. If Civali goes 5 shut out innings today and his stuff rates out good, why not start him. I believe one of the more stat savvy posters pointed out Civali’s underlying numbers were really good and what he was doing wasn’t smoke and mirrors, like Flexen.

    Edited by Rcal10
    • Like 1
    UMFan83

    UMFan83 3,016

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, Stratos said:

    LOL Tucker.

     

    Those Contreras brothers are trouble

    • Like 1
    Guest

    Guest

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    He's not going to get starts next year over Amaya and Kelly no matter how much he improves in the offseason. I just don't think you become a good catcher in an offseason he's probably already older than you'd like to develop into a MLB caliber one. The Cubs value how a catcher handles the staff too much (see letting Contreras walk as evidence). Mo is a DH. 

    Captain negative, so you're saying don't even try to fix his catching? 



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