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    Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

    The Cubs head up I-94 to open the NLDS to face the Brewers. Join our game thread!
    Brock Beauchamp

    By Brock Beauchamp

    Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

    Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

    Brewers Offense
    Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

    Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
    4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
    5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
    6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    Cubs Offense
    Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

    Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
    3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
    5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
    8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
    12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 

    Brock Beauchamp is the technical and community lead for the DiamondCentric network of sites. He has been an avid baseball fan since the mid-80s and founded his first baseball site, Battle Your Tail Off, in the mid-2000s.

    Follow Brock Beauchamp on Twitter: brock_beauchamp

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    Featured Comments

    Geographyhater8888

    Geographyhater8888 422

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Stratos said:

    Yup the Cubs SP had an average xFIP in the 2nd half.  The entire staff were 23rd in xFIP for the season.  Our pitching is at best average and helped a ton by defense and Wrigley wind.  However, I think some of this is by design as Jed seems to not put much money into the rotation and pen but towards the position side.

    The opposite of the Phillies basically. It creates a nice floor for total wins.

    Gjfificifjdej

    Gjfificifjdej 48

    Posted

    Atleast we got the morning game and didn’t have to wait around all day for this atrocity 

    Caesar

    Caesar 10

    Posted

    Do not start Imanaga Monday! Start Rea and if he looks shaky then go to Shota. Another soft throwing lefty won’t work.

    • Like 1
    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    I don't blame Jed for not getting another starter at the deadline in retrospect considering what the asking prices were for the top shelf ones. Kelley and Bieber were pretty good, but not great additions. The Cubs staff has been really good in the second half. It's the hitting that went from the 3rd most runs scored before the All Star break to 13th. I'm more worried about the top and middle of the order than the pitching staff. 

    • Like 1
    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    Just now, Caesar said:

    Do not start Imanaga Monday!

    Be careful what you wish for.  Counsell might give you Taillon on 3 days rest.

    Caesar

    Caesar 10

    Posted

    Cubs were not going to win 1-0 anyway. The score is irrelevant if offense keeps this up.

    • Like 1
    Guest

    Guest

    Posted

    Tucker hasn't really done horsefeathers for us in the post season. I mean he's taking up a spot I'd like to have Mo occupying vs right handers and he can't play the field. We lost our #1 starter to a weird cracked rib like wtf how does that even happen in baseball unless you got plunked. Just some bad luck but next years going to be our year i feel it.

    s2obed

    s2obed 80

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Pinerider said:

    Tucker hasn't really done horsefeathers for us in the post season. I mean he's taking up a spot I'd like to have Mo occupying vs right handers and he can't play the field. We lost our #1 starter to a weird cracked rib like wtf how does that even happen in baseball unless you got plunked. Just some bad luck but next years going to be our year i feel it.

    Season isn’t over.. today sucks but it’s far from over 

    • Like 1
    JHBulls

    JHBulls 857

    Posted

    Can the stadium janitor pitch a few innings to save the bullpen? 

    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    I'm just sitting here sulking in this performance (although the series is far from over) and thinking, I really want Schwarber next year.  I know Jed won't do it, but give me that elite power bat in the lineup.

    • Like 2
    • Love 1
    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Pinerider said:

    Tucker hasn't really done horsefeathers for us in the post season. I mean he's taking up a spot I'd like to have Mo occupying vs right handers and he can't play the field. We lost our #1 starter to a weird cracked rib like wtf how does that even happen in baseball unless you got plunked. Just some bad luck but next years going to be our year i feel it.

    Tucker went 3-8 last series. Ballesteros went 0-1 with a K. 

    I get that Ballesteros represents a mystery box, but c'mon. 

    Soul

    Soul 595

    Posted

    Getting destroyed is one thing.  Knowing you are burning arms in the process just makes it worse 

    Stratos

    Stratos 503

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    You don't assess value after the deadline, you assess it on the deadline. Whatever happens afterwards is irrelevant for any baseball team who doesn't employ a full-time psychic on staff. There is no going back in time. You can only guess what will come next. 

    It's all opportunity cost. The opportunity cost at the deadline was incredibly steep based on all reporting and the fact none of the big arms went. The prices for even the Merril Kelly's were pretty hefty. 

    Agreed.   And same with any decision.   Including starting Boyd on 3 days rest.  It was a gamble and Counsell lost. 

    • Like 1
    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    Just now, Irrelevant Dude said:

    I'm just sitting here sulking in this performance (although the series is far from over) and thinking, I really want Schwarber next year.  I know Jed won't do it, but give me that elite power bat in the lineup.

    That feels like a contract that in two years everyone hates. He's a fun bat, but 33-year old DH with contact issues feels like a bad 5 year investment 

    • Like 3
    Guest

    Guest

    Posted

    1 minute ago, s2obed said:

    Season isn’t over.. today sucks but it’s far from over 

    This rotation isn't good enough to beat Brewers, Dodgers, Yankees IMHO. But I mean hey this is only 1 game of course

    Soul

    Soul 595

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Jason Ross said:

    That feels like a contract that in two years everyone hates. He's a fun bat, but 33-year old DH with contact issues feels like a bad 5 year investment 

    I think you’re right.

    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    Just now, Jason Ross said:

    That feels like a contract that in two years everyone hates. He's a fun bat, but 33-year old DH with contact issues feels like a bad 5 year investment 

    Exactly why Jed won't do it, and perhaps rightfully so.  But that doesn't stop me from wanting him!

    • Like 1
    Caesar

    Caesar 10

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    Be careful what you wish for.  Counsell might give you Taillon on 3 days rest.

    Crap! I didn’t think about Counsel’s might go that route. Good post!!!!

    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Tryptamine said:

    I'm not even mad at the pitching and I certainly don't want to go spend big on a FA pitcher in 2026. Offense and pen, spend it all on that.

    Yeah, it's slim picking for free agents IMO. Mahle of the Rangers is intriguing. Maybe better off trying to trade for someone like Gore instead:

    https://www.justbaseball.com/mlb/top-free-agent-starting-pitchers/

    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Soul said:

    Getting destroyed is one thing.  Knowing you are burning arms in the process just makes it worse 

    I do wonder if at the end of the game Civale, after throwing 100 pitches, will have a "forearm tightness" and get replaced with Assad.

    • Like 2
    • Haha 1
    Guest

    Guest

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    Tucker went 3-8 last series. Ballesteros went 0-1 with a K. 

    I get that Ballesteros represents a mystery box, but c'mon. 

    I'm getting Miggy 2003 vibes with this kid and I think he's capable of big things in this series at the plate. If Tucker could play RF that would obviously be ideal.

    s2obed

    s2obed 80

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Pinerider said:

    This rotation isn't good enough to beat Brewers, Dodgers, Yankees IMHO. But I mean hey this is only 1 game of course

    Pitching sucked today but if the Cubs don’t hit that’s all irrelevant. Cubs bats need to show up this series.  

    SpongeWorthy

    SpongeWorthy 377

    Posted

    brewers are spitting at everything even slightly out of the zone, pretty impressive. whatever prep work they put into this series seems to be paying off.

    Soul

    Soul 595

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    Exactly why Jed won't do it, and perhaps rightfully so.  But that doesn't stop me from wanting him!

    I miss seeing his swing when he absolutely dials in on a pitch.  For me it’s more about seeing him do it for another team but I agree with JR in this.  It’s a nice thought but not a good decision.

    • Like 1
    Guest

    Guest

    Posted

    1 minute ago, s2obed said:

    Pitching sucked today but if the Cubs don’t hit that’s all irrelevant. Cubs bats need to show up this series.  

    Fair point but if you have aces you can win 1-0, 2-1 and we have power up and down the lineup



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