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    Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

    The Cubs head up I-94 to open the NLDS to face the Brewers. Join our game thread!
    Brock Beauchamp

    By Brock Beauchamp

    Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

    Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

    Brewers Offense
    Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

    Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
    4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
    5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
    6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    Cubs Offense
    Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

    Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
    3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
    5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
    8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
    12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 

    Brock Beauchamp is the technical and community lead for the DiamondCentric network of sites. He has been an avid baseball fan since the mid-80s and founded his first baseball site, Battle Your Tail Off, in the mid-2000s.

    Follow Brock Beauchamp on Twitter: brock_beauchamp

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    Featured Comments

    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    It feels like this one is already over. I'm hoping that it's just that nagging voice inside my head, but feeling a bit despondent about it already. 

    1) It is

    2) we all are

    UMFan83

    UMFan83 3,016

    Posted

    Watch this be the day of the week the Cubs are allowed to surpass 4 runs scored only to lose 11-5

    JHBulls

    JHBulls 856

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    It feels like this one is already over. I'm hoping that it's just that nagging voice inside my head, but feeling a bit despondent about it already. 

    Yeah, it’s over. A 5 run deficit is hard for any team to come back from. Milwaukee will likely score more runs, so there’s that too. 😞

    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    Just now, We Got The Whole 9 said:

    The Nico error was so bad

    So out of character, and that only happens because he was trying to do too much to compensate for his pitcher getting shelled.

    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    Just now, soccer10k said:

    Good thing we started Boyd on short rest!

    If it was a 7 game series I don't think it would be time to hit the panic button. But winning 3 of the next 4? Kinda doubtful without Horton obviously

    Geographyhater8888

    Geographyhater8888 418

    Posted (edited)

    5 minutes ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    Boyd is good, but he's not "start on 3 days rest" good.  The Cubs could have started Rea and then had their rested rotation lined up for the rest of the series.  Even losing game 1, they would have been in decent shape going forward.  Now they are going to lose Game 1 and they put themselves in a less than ideal position pitching-wise.  Starting Boyd was a mistake, and an avoidable one.

    I agree with all of that. He’s been solid but his peripherals have caught up to him a bit and they don’t have a true stopper in the rotation with Horton sidelined. A bunch of 3 starters probably won’t cut it.

    Edited by Geographyhater8888
    Western Baseball Fan

    Western Baseball Fan 0

    Posted

    Welp, I guess the Brewers didn't get rusty in their time off

    Stratos

    Stratos 503

    Posted

    Soroka's body language on the mound always depresses me LOL.

    Brandon Glick

    Brandon Glick 159

    Posted

    Does anyone know when the game starts? This exhibition match is upsetting me

    Dfan25

    Dfan25 191

    Posted

    Welp , basically another elimination game coming on Monday . Starting Boyd wasn’t the greatest idea . I know there was the Hoerner error , but the Brewers very clearly see him well .

     

    There going to have to come up with another plan if the series goes long enough  to where his turn comes again .

    Gjfificifjdej

    Gjfificifjdej 48

    Posted

    Not sure I’ll ever be able to look at Boyd or Counsell the same ever again. Just criminal. Disgusting 

    Derwood

    Derwood 3,372

    Posted

    Fucking batting practice out there

    Max Power

    Max Power 43

    Posted

    Three off days in a best of five series can only be described as ridiculous after playing pretty much every day for six months, but there’s a chance it could help the Cubs.

    Western Baseball Fan

    Western Baseball Fan 0

    Posted

    Apparently Willi Castro threw a few innings for the Twins. He might be needed

    Jason Ross

    Jason Ross 2,541

    Posted

    Just now, Brandon Glick said:

    Does anyone know when the game starts? This exhibition match is upsetting me

    Cant' tell what's worse; The Cubs down 6-1 to the Brewers or my other viewing choice...Kentucky - 7 Georgia - 35

    This Is Fine House On Fire GIF by HegeCoin

    Caesar

    Caesar 10

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, cubfansince77 said:

    Some of you guys are just full of pathetic excuses. They are good and proved it this season. Just be a man and admit it. You sound like a kid with comments like that. Give credit where credit is due. Even Shildt did that after his team gagged against the Cubs. He admitted Dansby was the MVP. Manned up about it....you should try it

    The last 2 pitches were smoked! Not lucky at all

    cubfansince77

    cubfansince77 79

    Posted

    Soroka sucks too, helluva move at the deadline Jed. Really ballsy

    JHBulls

    JHBulls 856

    Posted

    Are the Brewers the new Cardinals with pixie dust coming out of their arses? 

    Derwood

    Derwood 3,372

    Posted

    Just now, JHBulls said:

    Are the Brewers the new Cardinals with pixie dust coming out of their arses? 

    Clearly

    • Like 1
    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Gjfificifjdej said:

    Not sure I’ll ever be able to look at Boyd or Counsell the same ever again. Just criminal. Disgusting 

    Pitchers have bad games.  Probably not worthy of writing him off for the rest of his career.

    Wilson A2000

    Wilson A2000 598

    Posted

    Can the Cubs forfeit this game?

    Max Power

    Max Power 43

    Posted

    Just let the big deadline acquisition finish the game.

    It’ll be the first and only contribution to the team.

    Irrelevant Dude

    Irrelevant Dude 1,546

    Posted

    How early can we deploy the position player pitcher?

    We Got The Whole 9

    We Got The Whole 9 1,144

    Posted

    They are making this look way too easy. This might be our most lopsided playoff loss ever.



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