Maddux gets better as the season goes on

[TB_11]

Since 2003, Maddux has become a noticeable second half pitcher, and that trend has continued this year:

 

 

                     ERA      WHIP      SO/9     HR/9
2003   First Half     4.63     1.24      5.41     1.21
      Second Half    3.03     1.10      4.70     0.68

2004   First Half     4.51     1.30      6.15     1.60
      Second Half    3.48     1.03      6.59     1.34

2005   First Half     4.67     1.27      5.55     1.23      
      Second Half    3.67     1.15      5.30     0.96

 

To those that want to trade Maddux because he has a 4.50 ERA in July, this seems to suggest that would be the wrong time to trade him, as his performance improves in the later months of the season.

 

To those that want to trade Maddux because he'll make $9M next season...... well.........

[kente777]

Since 2003, Maddux has become a noticeable second half pitcher, and that trend has continued this year:

 

 

                     ERA      WHIP      SO/9     HR/9
2003   First Half     4.63     1.24      5.41     1.21
      Second Half    3.03     1.10      4.70     0.68

2004   First Half     4.51     1.30      6.15     1.60
      Second Half    3.48     1.03      6.59     1.34

2005   First Half     4.67     1.27      5.55     1.23      
      Second Half    3.67     1.15      5.30     0.96

 

To those that want to trade Maddux because he has a 4.50 ERA in July, this seems to suggest that would be the wrong time to trade him, as his performance improves in the later months of the season.

 

To those that want to trade Maddux because he'll make $9M next season...... well.........

 

Here's the problem. Look at the last 3 year (2nd half ERA's) -- it has consistently gotten worse. If Maddux does come back next year, we're probably looking at a plus 4 ERA for the second half. You might say, not bad for a 5th starter. However, this means that his first half ERA will be over 5.

 

Is this what we want?

 

Ken

[cubbieinexile]

I would look at the dailies before I give that much weight. Maddux tends to have one or two or several games in the spring in which he gets rocked. Now of course you can't ignore those games but it could simply be that Maddux gets roughed up in 4 or 5 games and then plays at the same level throughout the rest of the season. Maddux might very well not get stronger as the season go on simply he doesn't get blown out in the second half.