Warren Brusstar
-
Posts
868 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Warren Brusstar
-
I don't. I'd trade Jones for Payton. Why, exactly? We play 70% of our games v. RHP. Career OPS v. RHP: Jones .824 Payton .747 That move makes us significantly worse v. RHP. Because our team has no issues hitting RHP. We suck against LHP. Payton is just an example. I don't care who we get, but we need to improve our offense against left handers. So you're advocating a substantial downgrade v. RHP to get a minor upgrade v. LHP? That's dumb.
-
Jon Heyman in SI said Pie for Laird. I'm fine with trading Pie, but you better be damn sure you're getting a difference maker and not some replacement level player who does nothing special. Could you live with Pie for Church straight up? No.
-
I don't. I'd trade Jones for Payton. Why, exactly? We play 70% of our games v. RHP. Career OPS v. RHP: Jones .824 Payton .747 That move makes us significantly worse v. RHP.
-
I thought Murton was going to get a start
-
Wigginton?
Warren Brusstar replied to soapy's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
He hits right-handed. Moore hits left-handed. -
Dunn rumor on BCB...
Warren Brusstar replied to rickrolled's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Zambrano's ERA in April, by year: 2003 2.61 2004 3.55 2005 4.31 2006 5.35 2007 5.77 He's gotten progressively worse each year in the month of April. And 2003 is the only year his April ERA was lower than his ERA for the entire season. -
That's possible and if that happens, it will solidify their OF. Milwaukee needs starting pitching, not outfield help. Hart is better than Dye at this point, the Mench/Jenkins platoon is terrific (they're each OPSing .850+ on their side of the platoon), and Hall returns to the lineup tonight. Where would they play Dye?
-
Konerko on the move?
Warren Brusstar replied to inari's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
They're currently ranked in the upper half of per game attendance in the major leagues. Just thought I'd note that. If you were aware of that before your post, we define the word "pathetic" differently. Look at their stadiums during games, they are never filled. Since Chicago is a big market i'd wager there's a bunch of scalper type of people who just buy a crapload of tickets hoping to sell them and are left with alot of extras, like they do for the Cubs, except Cubs fans actually buy most of the scalpers tickets. Let me see if I understand this. You believe that scalpers -- who have a significant financial disincentive to buy tickets they can't sell -- are buying "craploads" of tickets they can't sell? :shock: -
Konerko on the move?
Warren Brusstar replied to inari's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
They're currently ranked in the upper half of per game attendance in the major leagues. Just thought I'd note that. If you were aware of that before your post, we define the word "pathetic" differently. -
one word -- VETERAN. Hendry thinks we need another vet for the playoff push -- even if that veteran is on the downside of his career. But that is the difference between us and Hendry....Hendry doesn't see him on the downside...and that ladies and gentlemen, is very sad AND the main reason the Cubs haven't won a World Series since 1908. Ken Hendry's inability to see Kendall's downside is the main reason the Cubs haven't won a World Series in almost 100 years? :shock: Geez...don't people know how to read?? I didn't say Hendry's inability...I said HIS PHILOSOPHY.....adhered to by Cubs management since the dawn of time. Hendry simply grabbed the baton handed to him. If you're going to use silly hyperbole, you should expect to be called on it.
-
The fact that he's 33 and hasn't had a good season since 2004 features prominently in my assessment of the trade.
-
The decision making process by Cubs' personel people is the main reason the Cubs have won. It's highlighted in this instance by a GM who ignores issues like age and how it can negatively affect a player, especially a catcher who is already showing signs of nearing the end. I agree that poor management explains the Cubs' failure to win the World Series over the last 60 years. But that's hardly a remarkable statement. Attributing the failure to win a World Series from 1907-1945 to poor management is about as accurate as attributing the Oakland A's failure to win a World Series the last ten years to poor management. More than anything else, it was just bad luck.
-
What I want to know is why the Cubs have absolutely no faith that Soto can be a serviceable major league catcher. Because it's pretty clear that's the case. There's no other way to explain his lack of playing time after Barrett went down last year. Nor their apparent urgency to acquire Kendall immediately after deciding that Bowen wasn't the answer. They won't even give him a chance. That's just nuts. At this point, what could possibly be lost by playing Soto every day for the next two months?
-
one word -- VETERAN. Hendry thinks we need another vet for the playoff push -- even if that veteran is on the downside of his career. But that is the difference between us and Hendry....Hendry doesn't see him on the downside...and that ladies and gentlemen, is very sad AND the main reason the Cubs haven't won a World Series since 1908. Ken Hendry's inability to see Kendall's downside is the main reason the Cubs haven't won a World Series in almost 100 years? :shock:
-
Thinking like Hendry
Warren Brusstar replied to Lefty's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Murton for a dozen donuts. Mmmmmmmmmmmmmm, donuts. -
Am I Allowed To Say Anything Positive about Jacque?
Warren Brusstar replied to HoopsCubs's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Neifi's September '04 and April '05 as an example of random, vast fluctuations in player performance is better used as an example of why Jacque's poor first half was a fluke. Indeed, Jacque's career OPS v. RHP is much closer to his performance in July than it is to his performance in the first half. -
Regression to the mean. He's far, far more likely to produce in the second half at the level he's produced at over his previous 4000 at bats than he is to produce at his level of production over his last 200. if only baseball were hard and fast as statistics would like you to believe Yet, most people had no problem believing Michael Barrett was going to have a 2nd half regression to the mean when they were storming the castle with torches and pitchforks after Hendry traded him (and rightfully so). I guess statistics only apply to annoited messageboard favorites and not messageboard villains. regression to the mean only means that we could assume that J.J. will perform in the second half as his career numbers suggest. So it is incorrect to think that he will hit better than his career averages in the second half just because he hit so much worse in the first half. That is not how regression to the mean works. And I know almost nothing about statistics. Yes. That's what I said. That means he have at or about an .825 OPS v. RHP. From your CF, that's a substantial asset. (See my list on Page 2 of Players whose career OPS v. RHP aren't as good)
-
The blame never was put squarely on Jones shoulders but let's not forget how bad he was until recently. I'm glad to see him doing good though for a couple of reasons. Not the least of which is that he's the only CF in the organization that is likely in the second half to post an OPS v. RHP of > .800.
-
Wait, a guy with a lifetime .825 OPS v. RHP can hit? Gee, who woulda thunkit?
-
Regression to the mean. He's far, far more likely to produce in the second half at the level he's produced at over his previous 4000 at bats than he is to produce at his level of production over his last 200.
-
a post that captures why casinos make tons and tons of money Casinos make lots and lots of money because their patrons don't understand regression to the mean. Apparently, other folks don't either. For a board that has so many posters preaching objective analysis, they sure are terribly subjective and biased when it comes to their anointed villains and persona non gratas. Jacque Jones (with his career OPS of .825 v. RHP) is at the top of the list. By way of comparison, Lifetime OPS v. RHP Jacque Jones - .825 Carlos Beltran - .840 Mike Cameron .757 Johnny Damon .797 Andruw Jones .831 Vernon Wells .779 Torii Hunter .778 Nick Swisher .778 I've not seen a single poster make the case that Jacque should EVER play against a LHP. But the notion that Jones is "crappy alternative" in CF against RHP is just wrong.
-
no, they'll likely have to "enjoy" something around the 780 range 1. I think he's likely to post an OPS v. RHP pretty close to his career OPS v. RHP of .825. I see no reason why regression to the mean isn't likely here. 2. That's likely better than what Pie would do.
-
longer than he hit .210 in Chicago Random sample fluctations don't alone explain this difference. Obviously, they have something to do with it. But Pie now has a demonstrated trend of struggling at new level before mastering it. and i'd have more patience for letting him struggle through his major league at-bats if we weren't in a division race with an automatic out at catcher and pitcher already Felix isn't an auto-out, especially if he gets platooned with Pagan. Use Jones' hot streak to ship him out(every little bit counts next year when we're signing A-Rod and Z) and let Pie claim what's his. He was 7 for his last 56 with only 2 extra base hits before being sent down. In other words, before he was sent down, he was more of an auto-out than Jason Kendall.
-
longer than he hit .210 in Chicago Random sample fluctations don't alone explain this difference. Obviously, they have something to do with it. But Pie now has a demonstrated trend of struggling at new level before mastering it. You're telling me that all top-prospects don't move to the majors and immediately hit .300? Where did I say that they did? In any event, thanks for making my point. Once you concede that it's quite likely that Pie (like most other young players) will struggle at the big league level for a while, then it's an entirely defensible move to stick with the veteran whose OPS is nearly .900 this month. At least for now.
-
longer than he hit .210 in Chicago Random sample fluctations don't alone explain this difference. Obviously, they have something to do with it. But Pie now has a demonstrated trend of struggling at new level before mastering it.