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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. False. In sheer volume, you know that's not true. I'm right about this.
  2. If he's going to pull the same "raw talent, line drives, I don't care about contact rate, you are being such a Kyle" argument as he did before, I think it's fair to reference it. You can have a contact rate in the mid-60s if you have an amazing batting eye and amazing power. Neither of those apply to Jorge Soler. The underlying numbers say Soler is performing like someone headed for a .280-300 OBP. He can still be a useful player at that number, but it's worth noting.
  3. i wish you'd acknowledge at all the many many times you've looked like a [expletive] moron if you're going to call out one of the most knowledgeable and best posters here He may be one of the more level-headed, by he is wrong as often as any of us and I am not going to genuflect.
  4. lol okay, kyle on man, kyle on Same attitude you had when we discussed Lake. Soler's has better patience, better power and a better track record last year, so I don't expect a full Lake-level implosion. But be is going to be an OBP problem sooner than later.
  5. .432babip and 35ish% k rate, those are both huge signs that a lot of bad is coming, pretending otherwise is just sticking your head in the sand. If only he had a .250 BABIP and a .700 OPS, then we could be optimistic? Soler has had a rough couple days, there are no 'huge signs' of anything here. The contact rate has been scary all year. Unless his contact rate is something like 20%, I care not a single solitary bit what it is. Contact rate is the dumbest statistical bogeyman we've come up with in a long time. I love how Junior Lake made you look so dumb on this exact subject 15 months ago, and you just double down with the same misunderstandings.
  6. If the bullpen gets healthy, the fun train continues. If it doesn't, outside help is needed there ASAP.
  7. Nope, but I'm not convinced hitting the ball hard when you do hit t for three weeks means you will keep hitting it hard forever. Then no three week stat is meaningful, and you should probably just stop talking about his strikeout rate. False. Contact is meaningful quickly. Quality of contact takes forever.
  8. .432babip and 35ish% k rate, those are both huge signs that a lot of bad is coming, pretending otherwise is just sticking your head in the sand. If only he had a .250 BABIP and a .700 OPS, then we could be optimistic? Soler has had a rough couple days, there are no 'huge signs' of anything here. The contact rate has been scary all year.
  9. Nope, but I'm not convinced hitting the ball hard when you do hit t for three weeks means you will keep hitting it hard forever.
  10. I'm telling myself it's SSS combined with he appears to be affected by the cold more than other guys But velocity off the bat! Yes, velocity off the bat you [expletive] idiot It's a big number, so obviously that means something.
  11. I'm telling myself it's SSS combined with he appears to be affected by the cold more than other guys But velocity off the bat!
  12. Weather & lots of good pitchers. And we're above league-average in HRs.
  13. Only 66 pitches for Hendricks. Maybe we can avoid the Schlittering? Maddon will find a way.
  14. Just have to get through the inevitable Schlittering.
  15. Velocity is a shiny new toy, but do we have *any* data on what it means long-term? But yes, Lake was hitting line drives all over the place for a while.
  16. Just based off my unreliable memory he has hit a ton of line drives. The whiffs are scary. Russell!! 33% LD rate according to B-R, 31% according to Fangraphs. That's the scary part. LD rate is not a reliable source of long-term offense, and it's basically the only thing he's doing right. He had much better peripherals last year, which helps a lot, otherwise this would be Lake-ian.
  17. Jorge Soler 2015: 32.8% K rate, whiffing on 35.9% of his swings going into today, .432 BABIP
  18. I hadn't checked the lineup yet, but I assumed when I saw a post like this it was Castillo. And yep.
  19. Chris Coghlan doesn't come within 20 feet of that.
  20. *shrug* can't win 'em all. #wearegood
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