I really think Chris Carpenter is going to experience a decline as well. He had one of the best pitching seasons of the past half century last year. Coming into last season, no one would have thought Carpenter was a CY Young candidate. Last season he posted a 2.83 ERA. The previous seasons, his ERA was 3.46, 5.28, 4.09, 6.26, 4.38,4.37, and 5.09. There's no way he's getting within a run of his last year's ERA. He also threw 241 IP in 2005. He's never done that before. His IP by year- 182, 73, 215, 175, 150, 175, 83. My guess is Carpenter will experience a dead arm and finish with these numbers next season: 160 IP, 5-9, 4.67 ERA I really think my predictions have a great chance to be correct and that this post would be well received at both BOTB and Cards Talk. I relied on career stats so my numbers are completely bias free as well.