thawv
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Everything posted by thawv
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto to...the Dodgers? Really? Again?
thawv replied to UMFan83's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Honestly, I don't know when either the team or the player feels the need for an option. With his age and his ridiculous stuff, I'd prefer a mutual option, or no option at all. As the #1 FA not named Ohtani, I'd hate to give him the option to walk away at 28 years old. Especially if the Cubs are in a WS window. On the other hand, it that's the only way to get him to sign, I guess there's nothing else to do but hope he doesn't want to leave. Maybe back load the deal where the higher salary kicks in at his option year? It won't affect the CBT either way. -
Yoshinobu Yamamoto to...the Dodgers? Really? Again?
thawv replied to UMFan83's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I read between 160 and 200. The length is still a mystery. But I can see 7/175 -
Nice work! Stroman's salary is already in their payroll. It doesn't get added if he doesn't opt out. It gets removed if he does opt out.
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They can pick any 3 of our 45 FV guys and it would be fair for both side.
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Your last sentence could not be more accurate!
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Financial value or field value?? If a LF costs the team 10 runs a year, and cost's the team 5 runs a year at 1B, how is that a loss in value? His salary is the same. And if he DH, he would cost the team even less runs. Zero. But his salary never changes. Once he's signed, he should play where he helps the team the most. And if that's not putting on a glove, then so be it. It's about winning at that point. The contract is already signed. This value loss sounds more like an argument during contract negotiations. Not after.
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There's only a hand full of OF'er that are worse than him defensively. He literally costs his team runs by merely being out there. I'm just assuming that he can't be worse at 1B. And if he can't play 1B, he won't cost the team any runs as a DH. That's what's best for the team. So we can have a greater hitter who has a -9 OAA and a -8 runs prevented, or a great hitter who has a zero at both. That's a pretty simple decision. I'd rather have my defender not be negative.
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So here's the choices for actual on the field results. Have a LF'er with a fantastic stick but costs the team actual runs because he's so bad defensively, or that same player being at 1B causing less damage with his glove for the same amount of money Or better yet, DH'ing so he has ZERO negative value on the team. I'd put him at the position that he costs the team less runs because of his glove. Because either way, his salary is the same.
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Positional adjustment be damned for this conversation. If Soto is making 400 million a year as a corner OF'er, but is really costing the team a lot of runs defensively, and likely losses, how would moving him to 1B where he causes less damage defensively be bad for team results? Or better yet, make him a DH were he can cause no damage at all defensively.
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I'd do no more than 5 years of Alonso. I have a list of about a dozen 45 FV guys that they can use to trade for him. He would be worth any 3 of them using surplus value. If they don't extend him, we lose 3 below average prospects. They have to move some of them anyway. I'm not in love with Morel's game. He's fun and all, but he's to emotional and too much of a wildly free swinger. I prefer the temperament of a Nico. I love his game. I'd like to move Caissie to 1B as he's too slow, and the OF is packed with players. And his stick is big. Maybe Alonso can be the stop gap guy at first, and get a comp pick for him if there's no extension.
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I saw. There's a lot more than him though. But that's another topic.
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I would agree. It's a very moderate over pay, but I would do it in a split second. I would put Mervis in the deal, and something else in return from the Mets. I'm sure they would insist on Mervis to take over 1B
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I'm sure you know this, but there a lot of juicers on this list
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His money certainly is in that number. He's under contract next year and his payroll reflects that. If he opts out of his contract, the money is removed from their payroll. It's not a team option, or a mutual option. He's under contract. That money is in the salary. If we forget about trying to predict arb numbers and who's option is going to be picked up, right now they are 78.38 million under the CBT. If Stroman opts out of his money, which is 23.667 against the cap, they are then about 102 million under the threshold. If Stroman doesn't opt out, the 78.4 million is the number that the Cubs will work from.
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Stroman's money is already in the salary number for next year. If he opts out, another 23.7 million is added to the cap space. Right now, they are 78.4 million under the CBT. Which includes all player benefits, all dead money, and all 0-3 players. Using your numbers of 18 million in arb guys, they are 68.4 million. No option players are in this number. Let's give Gomes his 6 million, bringing it down to 62.8 million under. IF by chance Storman opts out, they would be 86.5 million under the CBT. If you want to throw Kyle in at 12 million, we are are 66.5 million under the cap.
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Stroman's salary is already in that 78 million number. If he opts out, it frees up his money, taking it to 100 million without arb guys.
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Without arb guys, and not picking up any options, they have about 78 million under the cap. If Stroman opts out, that frees up about 23 million more. His salary is already in next years budget as of right now.
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Cubs 21-24 Marlins 33-13 Sorry, I just saw that it was answered.
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This exactly how I see it. I wouldn't be shopping him, but if a team insists on him being in a deal that can grab us a need without hitting the FA market, then trade him.
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It depends on what the starting point is. If it's opening day, they've played above expectations. If it's from the deadline, they've played under expectations. But overall, this is the 23rd biggest collapse in MLB history
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Exactly this! But with Belli likely gone, I think they are going to need 3 impact bats.
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I don't care one way or another if Mastro is on this team or not. But he's looking like a useful player right now. The guy has enough major league at bats to still carry rookie status. There's still a long way to go to determine who he is as a hitter. At least for batting average.
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Tied on paper, but in reality, they are down one game to the Marlins due to the tie breaker.
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He said that he lost sight of the ball at the last second. And to me, that looked very obvious. Either way, I'm very confident that they would have blown that one run lead in the bottom of the 9th anyway.
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I know he had TJS in 2017, so the following year was understandable, but the Cubs never stretched him out before surgery, or after surgery. How is a pitcher expected to go deep in to games, and deep in to the season, if he's not allowed to pitch deep in to games? Starting from 2014, here's his innings pitched. 18.2 40.2, 77.1, 98.2, 46.2, 38.2, 84.1, 119, 168 He was being groomed to NOT be able to pitch deep in to the season. I'm not a fan of that type of development.
