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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
  2. Bertz
    Pinango up to .294/.400/.471, though still too many balls on the ground in the early going here. Oh, and he's the fifth youngest hitter in the Midwest League, so that's fun.
  3. Bertz
    Roberts can't love that Boog keeps calling him "the little right-hander"
  4. Bertz
    Finally a TOOTBLAN in our favor
  5. Bertz
    Seiya is not having his best night
  6. Bertz
    I'm trying to not get too ahead of myself, since he really only had one good start last year, but he looks like a legit starter. Not a front end guy, but a guy you're happy to run out there every five days. Command is just so much better than it was at the tail end of last year.
  7. Bertz
    Against a lefty too Wicks shoving early with 4 Ks through 2 IP
  8. Bertz
    I was wondering this as well, so I checked on a bunch of other good hitting prospects around the league. Crazy small sample size of course, but the vast majority of them came out of the gates hitting much better than the Cubs' guys. K rates look to be pretty high across the board though. That's disappointing to hear. That said just about all of the guys of consequence are well in the black for ARL. Even the Tennessee guys who I was annoyed with repeating the level are (except for Strumpf) among the 25 youngest in the Southern League. I'm not going to get beyond a little annoyed unless we get more than a month in without guys being able to pull themselves off the mat.
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    I think I've seen elsewhere pretty compelling evidence for guys swinging a lot more at the first pitch. So there's definitely some count specific nuance here. Maybe hitters should almost treat it like counting cards? Have a couple +/- criteria to throw around based on the count, the score, the pitcher's propensity to throw strikes, etc. I'm sure they have implicit stuff like this internally, but really game it out with R&D.
  11. Bertz
    It's super early, but I kind of wonder if something might be happening. For background, check out this FG article Now it's early and all that jazz, but let's look at some Cubs' hitters swing rates YoY Contreras: -8.4% Happ: -4.6% Heyward: +4.9% Ortega: -13.1% Wisdom: -0.8% Hoerner: +7.3% Schwindel: +3.5% Madrigal: -2.1% Frazier: -3.7% While Seiya's new, his 29.2% swing rate would have been the lowest in baseball by nearly 3 points. (Yasmani Grandad at 31.9%). Put it all together, and the team is currently tied for the second lowest swing rate in baseball. Might this be a way to get a collection of mediocre hitters to punch above its weight?
  12. Bertz
    I'm curious how far the story of our farm extends league wide currently. For us just about every pitcher is whooping ass and just about every hitter is getting worked over. Does that extend outside our walls? Is pitching just generally ahead of hitting right now? One pretty quiet bit of good news on the hitting front is Bryce Ball. The strikeouts are down, which is nice, but my guess is that's because the walks are also down. Given that it's happening together they'll probably both drift back to normal levels. What's not normal is his ground all rate, which is down 10 points. As a hulking left handed 1B, keeping all else equal but cutting the groundbal rate would probably be worth bumping him up a grade. Definitely something to keep an eye on to see if it's more than a 5 game thing.
  13. Bertz
    As rough as the line is so far, I think I'm more encouraged than not with Wisdom. Still hitting the hell out of the ball (prior to today), while making more contact and chasing less. If those three things hold he'll be good. Less enthused with Schwindel. I appreciate that he's walking more but contact is down and everything is on the ground. Those are huge red flags
  14. Bertz
    It's a clunker for sure, but he's getting a solid number of grounders and whiffs. So he's been bad, but not in the ways he was last year, which has me worried less than I might be otherwise.
  15. Bertz
    I just love the PAs Frazier works. More playing time please.
  16. Bertz
    Happ is so locked in. I'd guess we can count on one hand the number of times he's had a multi-hit game right handed?
  17. Bertz
    There's a lot fewer secrets at this point. Current FOs have all the Statcast, video, etc. That they'd have for any domestic player. If Suzuki isn't bullied by MLB velo (so far so good there) there's not much to worry about. There's not gonna be "one weird trick" to get him out that gets discovered in two months. Also he's five years younger, that helps a lot.
  18. Bertz
  19. Bertz
    Reinforcements! (I'll hold off on complaining about Felix Stevens hitting cleanup)
  20. Bertz
    Video
  21. Bertz
    He had a similar play the last week of ST. It's obviously not Javy's arm but I don't understand all of the negativity towards him being a viable SS on more than a backup basis. That's clearly enough arm.
  22. Bertz
    Smyly looks really good. Another guy on the staff too already nearly bumping his mid-season velocity, which is encouraging (though weather is clearly not an issue today).
  23. Bertz
    I don't normally do "Player X to hit a home run" prop bets but Quintana is a really great matchup for Wisdom.
  24. Bertz
  25. Bertz
    Brewers got shutout by the Orioles, and it wasn't John Means day. That offense is going to be a problem
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