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Lefty

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Everything posted by Lefty

  1. Lefty
    Yeah, but Pierre suc*s. So you know what you're getting, big deal. An expected kick in the nuts is still a kick in the nuts.
  2. Lefty
    What did we pay for the inferior Perez?
  3. Lefty
    I honestly think the Brewers might be a team to watch as well. You know, so many people are on the Brewer bandwagon, I think it might be another year before they take the next step. If I'm right, it makes 2006 even more important for us. I really think the Astros and Cards are going to come back to the pack a little bit this year.
  4. Lefty
    We can only hope.
  5. Lefty
    On Wall Street, the best time to buy is when everybody and everything is down and anybody can rationally explain to you why everything is down. Are we about to have a Cub rally?
  6. Lefty
    The Sox won with great pitching. Podsednik was in Left Field. Don't confuse correlation with causation. The Cubs can win with Pierre if Wood, Prior and Zambrano total 100 starts each. It is not nice to edit other people's posts. There....fixed, play them in right when they are not pitching! I think what really hurts the Cubs in trades is that they don't have the proverbial 3rd starter on this team. They have two #1's, a possible 1 in Wood that is hurt and 3 #5's.
  7. Lefty
    The Sox won with great pitching. Podsednik was in Left Field. Don't confuse correlation with causation. The Cubs can win with Pierre if Wood, Prior and Zambrano total 100 starts.
  8. Lefty
    Just like "we'll only trade Sosa if it makes our team better." I'd love to play poker with this guy.
  9. Lefty
    If what you are saying turns out to be true, then Hendry is probably waiting until Dec. 20 to see who gets non-tendered: maybe the Jay Gibbons/Craig Wilson platoon will be cheap. He can't afford to go cheap in RF at this point. Cheap can still be productive. But I'll grant you, Hendry doesn't appear to be the best guy to make that argument.
  10. Lefty
    It's done.
  11. Lefty
    For Hernandez, Vizcaino and a minor leaguer.
  12. Lefty
    How much say does Chuck actually have in the Cubs front office? Chuck is not into the Moneyball stats.
  13. Lefty
    Could you be more of an optimist?
  14. Lefty
    Add Jay Payton to the list of possibilities. Yippee.
  15. Lefty
    Was Walker traded? What did we get?
  16. Lefty
    You're absolutely right. The lineup proposed in this thread is significantly under Hendry's budget. But not beneath his intelligence.
  17. Lefty
    Don't try to reverse jinx us. You know it's Jones or Preston Wilson.
  18. Lefty
    how about someone who can play a full season and doesnt have a hairtrigger temper? i would not call bradley's career as "very productive"by a long shot. he had one good season and only had 377 ab's that year. other than that, his #'s have been average at best for a center fielder and below average for a right fielder (where he would be playing for the cubs). He's been playing in pitcher's parks and I am assuming that he will play. Neither of us can tell the future as far as his playing time is concerned. I have a temper too, so count me as sympathetic.
  19. Lefty
    We all have to look at the money from a different angle. We have money to spend. So we can offer teams that need to dump salary an outlet; instead of talent in some cases. If the Nats really need to lose Vidro's contract, and we don't know of course, but then you get Vidro for Patterson and that's it. So if Walker can go to LA for Bradley (please) then this could be the logical follow up.
  20. Lefty
    Milton Bradley is only 28, very productive and fairly established. I don't know of a better combination than that.
  21. Lefty
    Good news (highlighted). Let's get him. You can't go wrong stockpiling really good players on the cheap.
  22. Lefty
    But those number 4 and 5 starters are competing to be our number 4 and 5 starters. That seems OK to me.
  23. Lefty
    Am I the only one not worried about our starting pitching? We have Zambrano, Prior, Wood, Williams and Maddux. If someone can't go we have Rusch. Even last year his numbers in 19 starts were league average. If someone else goes down, we have Hill and maybe Guzman. In a pinch we'll have a couple guys at AA. If we need to go deeper we are probably out of contention anyway. Is Millwood at 4/40 really that much of a difference? Fix the offense.
  24. Lefty
    Bradley did this in Dodger Stadium, though. Over a full season, Bradley's rates would have crushed Burnitz who is a gamer, comes to play, just goes about his business and in 2004 was sixth in the NL in SLG for those who struck out more than 100 times .
  25. Lefty
    Speed is accounted for in the traditional stats quite nicely. In Pierre's case, what would his BA look like without his speed. If he was slow he wouldn't be in the majors, but he'd have trouble outhitting pitchers if he was. .16*(H+BB+HBP-CS-GIDP-((.02*(K+CS+GIDP)) + .31*(TB+(.55*((SB+SH+SF+BB-IBB+HBP-(.2*(K+CS+GIDP)))))) - X*(AB-H+SH+SF+CS+GIDP) where X is set so this formula equals runs scored by league. I know that's data fitting, so shoot me. X for the 2005 NL was .0841. Anyway this should allow you to make all comparisons you need between offensive players after you take into account the ballpark and the amount of outs used (AB-H+SH+SF+CS+GIDP). Hardball Times and Baseball Prospectus also have baserunning stats. So you can see how often guys took extra bases or were thrown out taking extra bases. But my formula is a start.
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