Lefty
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Everything posted by Lefty
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Showalter fired
Lefty replied to Lefty's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Don Wakamatsu -
She did.
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Another hat in the ring?
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And his league leading total of 532 outs? Pierre was as a hitter the equivalent of an American League pitcher with an ERA of about 4 in 177 innings. Since that pitcher is doing a pretty good job, I'd have to say that Pierre did a pretty bad job as an offensive player. But he is fast and he does bat leadoff.
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Sample size alert! Maddux' hot start is in Lee's column (the first 4 I believe). Who were we playing in Lee's starts? How many of Prior's and Wood's starts was Lee privileged to attend? Perez was playing second when Walker was at first. Walker and Theriot were playing second for Lee. Is that fair? Based on this data, is Nevin a better player than Lee? Five or six wins. It doesn't really matter if the Cubs would have won 72 or 77 games with a healthy Lee. What matters is planning for next year. And penciling in more than 5 or 6 wins with a healthy Lee is a recipe for heartbreak. And there is plenty of potential for more of that anyway.
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Every time this comes up I ask this, and I've never had anyone give an answer. Don't the run expectancies include the times when managers sacrifice bunt? Therefore, in order to prove the value/lack thereof with a "runner on 2nd, 1 out" and "runner on 1st, 0 out", wouldn't the second situation have to be modified to eliminate the sacrifice bunts, considering that as it is it includes all the sacrifice bunts that may or may not be useful? Your question is logical. But I would make two points. First of all, bunt attempts are only a fraction of these situations. Secondly, since post-attempt expectancies are the same, they must conform to the "clean" averages as well. I was reading and believing Bill James when most of this board was in diapers. I am no apologist for baseball's inherited "wisdom." But the bunt can be a weapon if used properly. The problem is that bunting is a rare skill. How often do you see a position player go down 0-2 by flailing away twice? If I were manager I would insist that all my guys work on their bunting.
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But if Ramirez, for example, doesn't hit when Lee is out, why give him a pass? The stats show everybody's contributions. If someone is affected by Lee's absence, I think we should chalk that up as a debit on the affected player. Lee's absence cost the Cubs about 50 runs assuming he hit like he did this year and 2004 and 2003. Not because of VORP but because of the actual stiffs who took his ABs (Perez and Mabry the two biggest offenders). That's five wins. You want to add a win for his D, maybe. A 72 win team with Barrett missing serious time and a terrrible starting rotation. I think the statistical approach is more than fair.
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Has anybody here read The Book by Tangotiger? He found that the bunt attempt has actually matched run expectancty based on play-by-play data from 1999-2004. Basically managers are bunting with players who should bunt, i.e. pitchers, and in other cases defensive miscues or mispositioning lead to overall average results. Obviously with a position player, if the defense puts on a play or defense to counter the bunt, you've got to hit away.
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How about JD Drew?
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Per ESPN
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Theriot GIDP'd A CS would have been just too sweet I guess.
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Why isn't he on base now?
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All-Baseball.com's Cub Reporter has an interesting note on Pie. It says that Pie is being used as a designated runner in the AZ Instructional League, multiple times a game, and attempting a steal every time. He is also leading off innings and bunting. It seems the Cubs are giving him a crash course in Lead-Off Man.
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But Pierre is so much faster than Murton?
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Until the new collective bargaining agreement is in place, the compensation scheme remains. Of course when we sign Edmonds we will lose our second pick which will be much higher.
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That says it all. Was Hendry so loyal to Maddux that he just gave him away? Were there any truth to reports that the Dodgers were willing to give us Matt Kemp?
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Hey, did you get permission from USSoccer to use his line?
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How does one merge two threads?
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Tribune management may borrow a ton of money to buy back all of its stock from the public. Then it won't have to worry about the stockholders' interests. To pay off all debt they would incur, they would have to sell pieces of the company to buyers who might pay a premium for strategic assets. The L.A. Times looks to be sold to some L.A. locals. The TV stations might go to a Viacom. If the Cubs could get a high price it would be something they would have to consider. Obviously, Tribune has to figure out what kind of company they want to run.
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you forget the PC disclaimer "Not that there is anything wrong with that" but I assure you I was refering to the short italian gal with perfect breasts I saw Ms. Longoria at O'Hare last year and she didn't look as great as you might think. She was made up and everything. Of course a smile would have gone a long way. What a puss [sic]!
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Right on my Autumn timetable (if you care to search for previous posts on the subject). If this happens, discussion of a Cubs sale will be at the forefront.
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7897: What is Mills' hook? Is it mechanical?
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How long would it take to restock our minor league system?
Lefty replied to illiniguy's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
How about restocking, or rather stocking, the major league team first. -
I wonder if J. D. Drew's unique contractual situation might make a JJones-JDDrew trade possible.
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Interest in Edmonds?
Lefty replied to RynoRules's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
And this is a bad thing?