chopsx9
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Everything posted by chopsx9
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Valuing one thing over another and "poo-pooing" aren't really the same thing though.
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I don't think the Cubs signed Hoerner expecting his production to drop by equivalent of 1 WAR for next year or for his production to decline to the equivalent of 2 WAR in 2 years. If they did they don't make this deal. I'd certainly expect him to be better than that and I think the Cubs do as well. There were certainly posts suggesting his contract would be in $30 million range - he did not take a 25% home town discount, he just didn't. The Union would be raging. In any case I think Hoerner is very good player, I think its a fair contract and I'm not upset at all that he is back. I might not have done it but it is in no way egregious.
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I think a fair amount of people are aware of that. Is everybody? No. Last year was his 4th full year - it's not like he's been in the league for 10 years. He does most things well - somethings very well. He could take a few more walks as well - but he's a very good player. After last year - now moving into his 5th full year I think his reputation is much more established.
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Hey, maybe it was. I just don't think so. I just don't think he and Bregman are in same the same level pay wise. In fairness Bregman got a sizable amount more than I thought he would so what do I know.
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It means the agent is bad. Nico may very well want to stay and may have said the Cubs are the only team he is willing to play for and has communicated that to his agent - who presumably would NOT communicate that to the Cubs. However if a contract of $42 million more is that much of a sure thing then he has to get closer. That's his job. There was no pressure to sign now. I just don't think a $30 million was out there.
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Then he'd have to have a pretty bad agent. I don't think an agent leaves 42 million dollars sitting on the table.
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Seems reasonable. Not to split hairs - although it's not even really doing that - but defense, running and contact skill isn't EVERYTHING.
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That's not the reason at all.
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I think the difference between PCA and Hoerner is that with PCA you are not simply buying out the arb years you are hoping to lock him in before an offensive maturation that takes him to elite status. They are expecting him to continue to improve. There is a gambling element to PCA's contract where as Hoerner is more of a known quantity and I think they would be ecstatic if he repeated his 2025 stats for the next few years. I don't think all Wins are the same. I think defensive wins are paid less. I'd be stunned if he gets 30M. It's not my money so I don't care, but I'd be stunned. As others have said I'm not sure I'd have done this. I like Hoerner - I think he is a very very good player and I'm not disappointed he's going to remain a Cub but I don't know if I would have pulled the trigger on this.
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That was a ...circuitous route.
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I think this is a good summation. The actual win totals are nonsense. You are dealing with a pretty small universe of potential outcomes. A stopped clock is right twice a day and you certainly can filter in some advanced stats but all these offseason projections really are is something to banter about while waiting for the real action to start.
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Don't know if I've ever seen Hoerner hit a HR to mostly CF before.
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Is that an intentional altering? LOL.
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Apropos of nothing, Jamieson Taillon was a 2nd overall pick. If you were gifted with the knowledge of how his career would turn out to this point (and not any of the other players) would you take him as the 2nd pick in a draft? Again not his draft specifically but would the certainty of his career vs the lottery picks the other players would be, be enough to justify his selection as a number 2 pick?
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Isn't it now also a plane rather than using the entire depth of the plate or were umpires calling that way anyway?
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Thank God for wild pitches.
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Don't ask questions you don't want the answers to.
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I'm not saying the players don't love him - I have no idea - but I don't think you take can their quotes as proof. It's not like any of them are going to come out and say "Bregman? Yeah, that guy's a big old dooshnozzle"
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Do we know how teams are managing batters invoking a challenge? I assume some batters are more trusted than others.
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Is it the player that has to call for it? It can't come from the bench?
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Historically who were the non-roster invitees (non-prospect) that had the most impact?
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I don't know...he needs a little more length on those shorts to be taken seriously. Looks like he's headed out to center court to rally with Jimmy Connors.
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It was his first full year though - I think the concern is that he was "figured" out and the league adjusted and he couldn't adjust back. So it's not so much a split but his new level. To be clear - that's the fear, it doesn't need to be the reality but many of us are pessimistic by nature. I feel he got pull happy in the second half, too focused on hitting HRs and was constantly jumping out in front. He needs to focus (I think) of LF Gap to center and lay off the high inside pitches.
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Surprisingly, it's out of my hands. Has there be any rumors of interest? I don't really care about Gallen. I also don't think Dansby's situation will factor into whether they sign Nico or not.
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Nobody is trading for Dansby without Cubs paying half of his salary.
