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champaignchris

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Everything posted by champaignchris

  1. champaignchris
    The Brewers aren’t even particularly young. According to BR their average age last year was 27.4. The Cubs was 26.9.
  2. champaignchris
    Also the guy that was better than Addison Russell.
  3. champaignchris
    We’re only three week until pitchers and catchers report. At what point do teams say, “Eff it!” and start signing Jason Vargas, Andrew Cashner, and etc. for cheap, short term contracts? How bad would it be if the Cubs were to just sign Vargas or Tillman (or insert the low rent stop gap of your choise) for pennies, sign an outfielder, and then say, “Nah, we good?” If any of Arrieta, Darvish or Cobb is still unsigned five weeks from now, reapproach then with a real low ball offer. If they still won’t bite, revisit the trade market in late June if necessary. The signing of Duensing right after the Rangers announced they were out certainly appears to be the Cubs positioning themselves to go into the season with Montgomery in the starting rotation. Maybe thst’s Just a negotiating posture, but with three pitchers who look like they’re competing to sign in two spots and one of those two spots being the Twins, there really isn’t any reason for the Cubs to back off their position.
  4. champaignchris
    The Giants’ long term obligations are insane. In 2021 they’ll owe 34 year old Belt $17.2M, 35 year old Posey and Crawford $21.4M and $15.2M, and 36 year old Longoria and Cueto $18.5M and $21.8M. That’s $94.1M owed to five players where it will be a minor miracle if they get any positive performance from them at all considering their ages. I understand why they’re going “win now” now because they are so much more screwed a few years down the road.
  5. champaignchris
    He’s way out ahead. Any pitcher with a decent change up will own him. Hard pass.
  6. champaignchris
    Starlin would be a good fit with the Brewers. Fortunately (for the Cubs) I think the Brewers are still operating under the delusion that Villar is actually good.
  7. champaignchris
    The Brewers have already signed Gallardo and Chacin. I would have thought that took them out of the race for any of the higher tier pitchers.
  8. champaignchris
    One thing that might make the Cubs less inclined to sign Arrieta is that I believe his 5 and 10 rights would kick in the second year of any deal they sign with him. Signing an aging pitcher is scary enough without signing one you might not be able to move as his skills diminish.
  9. champaignchris
    If we can’t get a very good pitcher for cheap, I guess I’d rather have a very good pitcher for expensive than a not very good pitcher for cheap.
  10. champaignchris
    Since all that money was coming off the books next year anyway, that Dodgers deal has to be for Yu Darvish money, right?
  11. champaignchris
    Of course that's assuming Harper accepts our offer over the 4 or 5 other $400 million offers on the table. But then nothing would preclude the Cubs from signing Machado instead and trading Russell then. Or just keep Russel and Machado and move KB to left.
  12. champaignchris
    I'd take Davis back for fewer years and less money than Melancon's 4 for $60M-ish. Is he a risk? Yeah. But the Cubs have better depth around him this year if Wilson is even a fraction of his former self.
  13. champaignchris
    J.A. Happ might be another guy if the Jays decide to punt. The Cubs probably wouldn't have to give up an actual asset to get Edinson Volquez from the Marlins and maybe he'd be good enough until the Cubs could get someone better (Stroman or Archer) at the deadline. Ditto Matt Harvery. But yeah, Corbin would be the best option that I can see.
  14. champaignchris
    I'm a little slow, but I'm not following. How does trading away a middle infielder make more sense if followed up by a trade for a starter pitcher (whom you'd likely need to use a bat to trade for). It seems it would make it less likely. The Padres really only have a relief pitcher and prospects to trade back for one of the Cubs’ middle infielders. While they might like the reliever, that’s nowhere near enough return for the middle infielder. The Cubs are in “win now” mode. So the best reason to trade a current MLB asset for non-MLB ready prospects is if you’re going to turn those prospects into something the Cubs need now at the MLB level. Mainly a starting pitcher. So the idea would be Baez to the Padres for Hand, Margot plus prospect followed by Margot or Happ plus Padres prospect plus Cubs prospects to Rays/Jays for Archer/Stroman.
  15. champaignchris
    Baez or Russell to the Padres only seems to make sense to me if there’s a second move following that up, such as a trade with the Rays or Jays for Archer or Stroman.
  16. champaignchris
    Yeah, if the Yankees are going to lap the luxury tax next year, they won’t make a move that forces Judge or Stanton to the DH to do it. They’ll fill one of their chronic holes with Kershaw or Machado.
  17. champaignchris
    I was listening to WSCR when it was announced and their reaction was, “Huh,” and then they immediately went back to whatever it was they were talking about.
  18. champaignchris
    Oh well.
  19. champaignchris
    He hasn't had 5.7 fWAR in his career let alone the last 2 years. BR has his WAR at 3.6 in 2016 and 2.2 in 2017. Don't like BR? That's fine. But that's what BR says.
  20. champaignchris
    5.7 WAR and a 115 ERA+ over the last two years for a contract that's at the mid-point between what Rich Hill and Ivan Nova got last year. Or basically Edinson Volquez's contract plus one year to a player 6 years younger than Volquez. Seems pretty reasonable to me.
  21. champaignchris
    It's the old "bird in hand," right. At the very least, the Cubs, Nats, and Yankees will be pushing all their chips in to try to get Harper. Probably other teams as well. The Dodgers might have a 1 in 4 shot to get Harper for who knows how much money, probably something pretty similar to, if not more expensive than, Stanton's contract. They know Stanton wants to play for them. They know what his contract costs. If they can convince the Marlins to take one or both of their bad contracts (Kazmir and Gonzalez) which would defer the Marlin's salary relief for a year, but would enable the Dodgers to take the entire Stanton contract. Send Gonzalez and/or Kazmir, Puig, $10-15M, and some b-list prospects and call it a deal.
  22. champaignchris
    Which makes wanting Giancarlo strange because in about 4 years that contract is going to look just as bad as Pujols' contract.
  23. champaignchris
    Signing Otahni means the Cubs maybe don’t go get a Jon Jay replacement. It doesn’t mean that they suddenly MUST trade someone from their young core.
  24. champaignchris
    My plan: Sign Harper on the same day they announce the new $87 gadzooktillian television contract, tell the rest of baseball to go eff themselves.
  25. champaignchris
    Chicago is on the West Coast of Lake Michigan. Just tell him the Cubs are in fact on the West Coast and don’t let him look at a map.
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