Per FG, Brewers are projected for 88 wins, and the Diamondbacks are at 86 for the two wildcard spots. Nationals at 52-53 currently would have to go 34-23, or play at a .596 clip the rest of the year. And that's ignoring the Braves, Cardinals, Pirates, and Rockies. The FG projections still really like the Nationals, having them play out the year at a .579 pace, but it's an uphill climb.