The Schwarber/Baez projections are probably a bit optimistic, no? For Baez, yes he put up 2.7 in only 450 PAs, but it was by far his best output and he was used about as optimally as you can be...I can't see him adding a ton more value by factoring in another 100-150 PAs against RHPs at a .297 wOBA. Steamer has him at 1.9 for 540 PAs next year, though I think we all agree his defense will be worth more than they are projecting. For Schwarber, assuming this injury marked the end of his catching, we're looking at him as an outfield only guy (or for the White Sox, a DH, but obviously there are replacement value issues there too). In 2016, the following outfielders had a defensive rating less than -5 and put up at least 3 WAR: Nelson Cruz (-15.6 Def, .383 wOBA, 4.2 WAR) Cespedes (-9.2, .369, 3.2) Braun (-8.8, .378, 3.2) Blackmon (-8.4, .394, 3.9) Yelich (-5.3, .367, 4.4) I'm not sure what number you used to get to your surplus value calcs. I'm hoping Schwarber improves on his 2015, but to expect him to end up in the Cruz/Cespedes/Braun category from an offensive viewpoint is probably aiming a little too high.