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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. Wonder if Conforto has played himself into a multi year contract, because otherwise he’d be a great addition to the hodgepodge. I generally agree though, unless you get some sort of hometown discount from Ian or seiya, there’s no one out there you really want to commit to long term. If they go that route though, I want a top end starter, or at least two guys at the Steele/horton level of production.
  2. Szymborski at Fangraphs isn't necessarily an insider but has a good sense of relative values and has the Cubs getting Alcantara for Kepley, Reid, and McGwire. I'd prefer a 2 hitter/1 pitcher package over this, but generally this would be more than fine.
  3. yeah you're probably right, Ricketts will lower prices to attend or watch the games if they don't trade for anyone
  4. There's also the DH spot. PCA/Adell/Suzuki/Kelly/Bregman/Busch/Dansby/Nico/Happ is plenty solid, and you can put Shaw or Ramirez out there over Happ to avoid Adell's (very bad) defense. The last part is probably the biggest knock against him. He's got another year of control and is somewhat of a tweener in that he's probably too good of a player to 'only' use as a short side platoon guy (37 HRs last year), but definitely doesn't seem like the kind of guy the Cubs want in the mix given their clear preference for defense and flexibility.
  5. Go get Detmers and Adell. Trade Alcantara, trade one of Shaw/Ramirez, or both I don't care, trade a couple guys from the top 10. Find another cheap starter and the 2026 version of Kittredge. Let Adell feast against lefties (like, say, the Sanchez/Luzurdo combo we might see in a wild card series), let Counsell cook with 2.5 good starters and Brown/Steele/Cabrera all going balls to the wall for extended relief appearances. This is a good horsefeathers team.
  6. With Wheeler getting knocked around while throwing his fastball almost 2 mph slower than his season average.
  7. This has to be a very annoying game for all 12 Cardinals fans that are actually paying attention
  8. Cardinals bullpen is also very bad. Worse K and BB rates, basically just benefitting from Busch being a super pitchers park this year. Maybe the Cardinals can deal with what we dealt with last night, using their top arms to chase a victory and put them in a tough spot the rest of the series.
  9. I've kinda come full circle to loving the commitment to this bit
  10. That probably speaks more to the Cubs luck, but Peterson has gotten some too. Between that and the Cards' .591 OPS over the last 14 games, it's probably premature and he should still be next to get replaced in the rotation, but will definitely appreciate his contributions.
  11. Of course he just got picked off, but.... in 2005 Derrek Lee played 158 games, hit .335 with a 1.080 OPS, good for a 170 wRC. He had 46 home runs and threw in 15 stolen bases on top of all that. PCA passed him yesterday in fWAR.
  12. Baseballreference v fangraphs might be part of my disconnect then. FG has 3.6 in 2024, 3.1 in 2025, and 2.0 thus far this year (projected for another 1.2).
  13. Got it. It's hard for me to believe Zach Neto is worth that kind of haul, but also putting my hand up and saying that I haven't really thought about the non-Trout Angels at all until recently, and even then it was just pitching.
  14. Wait, are you saying that the asking price for a 3 fWAR SS with 3 years of control, with a +30% K rate and a .307 xwOBA, is the #2 prospect in all of baseball (plus more)?
  15. Yeah it maybe comes into play if they got creative and tried to take on bad contracts (Trout, King, Javy) to lessen the cost but even then, they were under the luxury tax last year and likely will be under next year so minimal risk of repeater penalties. You don't risk getting penalized in the draft unless you go $40m over, which is basically a mathematical impossibility at this point in the year.
  16. Why are we now drawing a line in the sand on the next threshold of the luxury tax? It's like, at most, an extra $3m-$4m in tax payments? We have a ton of money coming off the books after this season and we'll almost assuredly drop down and reset the clock, so there's not really a repeater penalty situation.
  17. At the risk of being overly simplistic, baseball played in the playoffs in October has the exact same rules and regulations as baseball played in the regular season and a lot of conversations/viewpoints around here seem to think it's some totally different game and I don't understand why. It would be great if, in addition to everything else Alcantara brings to the table, he also had a double digit K rate. If that were the case we would need to pay way more for him. But getting a guy with historically very good GB rates and putting him in front of this defense is a very good way to lean into the strength of this team.
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