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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    Yeah that all makes sense. This is probably an obvious statement, but I think if you were to play out the careers of Alcantara, Rojas, and Shaw, there's probably one above average corner OF bat in there, and there's temptation to let Shaw do his Zobrist thing in the majors, Alcantara to keep destroying AAA, and Rojas stay on his progression and keep all the cards in your hand. But like, the current team is going to need (slash already needs) help, and those are the guys with the biggest gap between 'trade value' and 'value to the current team'. They've started turning the corner and building the roadmap for the rest of the decade, but think tough decisions need to be made on this group soon.
  2. squally1313
    This is probably a General Cubs question more than a Minor League discussion, but I struggle with the concept of taking anywhere from a reasonably ready to developing infield player (that Shaw to Triantos group), and thinking it's the best use of resources/plan of attack to be like 'alright, now go learn outfield'. Especially when none of these guys are like, super bat first, maybe they can fake it in the infield for a few years type pedigrees. The average wRC at 2B last year was 90, at 3B was 96, LF was 102, RF was 105. Feels like you're handcuffing one of their most valuable talents (infield defense) while also asking them to move up the spectrum offensively. Or said another way, maybe: if we put Shaw's offensive profile at a 96 wRC hitter, ie a league average hitter for what was his position, isn't his value somewhat equal to a league average RF (assuming team control, etc)? And then if your goal is to have above average production offensively, why not just go get the (yes, hypothetical) 105 guy instead of telling Shaw he now has to improve by 20 points instead of 10.
  3. squally1313
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-last-place-cubs-are-injured-but-all-is-nowhere-near-lost-yet/ This is good for talking Cubs fans off the ledge while still pointing out some of the flaws. Cubs were projected to have the 19th best rotation in baseball going into the year. With Horton on the shelf for presumably 2026 but Boyd likely expected back, they fall all the way to....21st. It wasn't a good situation before, it's a slightly worse situation now, but this team, for better or for worse, was always going to live and die by the offense and the defense. That said, the first ten games count, and we've got to make up 4 games. Positive regression here, negative regression up there, hopefully both. But probably puts us on pretty even playing ground going forward.
  4. squally1313
    Eh. Walk and K rates are still elite, xwOBA is over 100 points higher. Wasn't specifically trying to call out someone with a long injury history. Just the insanity of looking at a 10 game sample.
  5. squally1313
    Well, we all knew this day was coming eventually. But Ronald Acuna looks like he's becoming one of the worst outfielders in the game and a total deadweight on the Braves roster.
  6. squally1313
    Unfortunately there's not a lot of data that shows he's capable of doing that. Setting aside that we rode Cade Horton and his low K rate and unsustainable BABIP way past any thought out plan last year and hey, look how that went, maybe we should try it again with a guy who hasn't been as good.
  7. squally1313
    'Cubs fully expect this to be a minimum IL stint for Boyd. The issue has been in his recovery and they feel a little break will allow him to regain full health.' - Taylor McGregor per Twitter Reassuring, I guess, but probably raises more questions than it answers.
  8. squally1313
    FG has Assad as the corresponding move and he hasn't pitched since 4/2, so would be ready to go tomorrow and then...Rea on Wednesday? Going to need the bats to arrive, and quickly.
  9. squally1313
    This is almost certainly a dumb question but these are 9 inning games right? The 7.5 over under for the night game feels real low with shota on the mound
  10. squally1313
    Something that happens very frequently happens people with multiple thousands of message board posts a year try to score internet points by saying that they, at some point, tangentially predicted this Is very tiring
  11. squally1313
    Man, last year he at least waited until August before writing off a 92 win team. These are just facts guys.
  12. squally1313
    Ian Happ still sucks
  13. squally1313
    The other way to cope with this is to just lean into his pretty pedestrian projections and decide the drop off isn’t all that steep.
  14. squally1313
    Wow, congrats man
  15. squally1313
    Horton pulled in the middle of his 5th hitter after motioning for the trainer to come out. Colin Rea in.
  16. squally1313
    Well. That’s not good.
  17. squally1313
    Yeah I mean, splitting hairs. Arguments against that are that I just want Bregman getting more opportunities than Hoerner, and then in that specific arrangement you’re a little easier to pitch to because you can put in a RHP for 2-3-4 and not worry about the three batter minimum.
  18. squally1313
    If miles mikolas didn’t already hate all his teammates for, you know, reasons, he definitely does now.
  19. squally1313
    They aren’t Ohtani and Tucker, but they’re better hitters than PCA and Hoerner. If some hitters are going to get 5 PAs and some hitters are going to get 4 PAs, I want Busch and Bregman in that first group every time.
  20. squally1313
    I’ll just chime in here and say that I do, in fact, love my Hoerner Boner
  21. squally1313
    Yeah just to clarify, Tucker got $57m AAV (after discounting for deferrals). The number on the high end that's been thrown out here is $30.
  22. squally1313
    But the 'dangerous bat' had 32 less hits and 10 less walks than the glove first second baseman. In almost identical plate appearances (649 for Nico, 647 for PCA), PCA got on base 42 less times. Home runs are definitely nice. So is not making outs.
  23. squally1313
    The downside of trying to unlock more power out of Hoerner seems so much worse than the upside.
  24. squally1313
    Shaw for Skubal, please and thank you
  25. squally1313
    My bad, was going to soften that a little bit but thought it was coming through. No ill will intended.
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