To expand on the last few points. Three of the internal options have a combined 7 starts, and thrown less than 300 NFL passes. One has ended the last two seasons on IR. The other went from looking like a possible backup to questioning if he even belongs on a roster. The third made such a small impression, his HC apparently didnt know he had him in training camp for the past two seasons. And again, none are currently under contract, though, thats mainly formality as any could probably be brought back will little guaranteed money. That leaves us with Hoyer, external FA, and the draft. External FA or trade candidates are likely to carry a cap cost or acquisition cost you apparently agree is not worthwhile. If someone is available at a reasonable cost I have no idea why they'd willingly choose the Bears over a clear ready made situation in Denver, so the Bears could probably get the second best option at best. Of the college guys, while early in the evaluation process, none look prepared to start day 1. And the Bears could still have to settle for their second choice if they were set on drafting a QB. And you've established how important it is for you that the Bears to draft their #1 target. So back to Hoyer. If we accept Jay's 2016 as the new norm, you still have to accept Hoyer's 2016 as his new norm (where he obliterated his previous best completion rate, int rate, and sack rate), for him to be a clear better option. If you take career average Hoyer, its basically a dead heat with 2016 Cutler, again factoring in no improvement from 2016 Jay. Still theres probably a scenario where thats an "okay" outcome, but theres also literally zero reason to rush into the conculsion where Jay is gone because his contract is so flexible. Hoyer probably would take guaranteed money, possibly past 2017. He also could also try to negotiate himself into a better situation if the Bears don't close a deal before their exclusive negotiating period. Which is all not to say Jay should definitely be back, or even be greater than 50% chance at being back. But the Bears position doesn't really allow them to he firm inany one QB outcome unless its to conceed 2017 as another lost season.