WrigleyField 22

POTY

You know what else is a near gimme in the NFL? Not fumbling the football on a run. Not losing yardage on a run has to be pretty good too, especially in comparison to a 80% success rate of a kick.

Sorry, so also not pretty damn close to a gimme.

A 41 yard FG is in no way shape or form a gimme. in the nfl its pretty damn close to a gimme. if you're less then 80% from that distance you're on the bottom 1/2 of the league. Pineiro Dinero is at 50%, the bottom 1/3 of the league fwiw So it's not a gimme.

a 41 yard fg kick should be placed left, center or right in the NFL and be pretty close to a gimme, so Pineiro can kiss my ass. That doesn't excuse Nagy, he's an idiot for not trying for more with that much time left, but it sounds like Pineiro is just saying horsefeathers to provide cover for himself. A 41 yard FG is in no way shape or form a gimme. And hey, if they had 15 seconds and no timeouts, he gets what he gets, but that Nagy wasted all that time and didn't consult his kicker... Yeesh

You trying to salvage this year? It's an uphill climb with a top 10 QB at this point, let alone a journeyman.

They have 2 2nds in 2020, theirs and Oakland. Using the traditional trade value chart, the combined values of those is something like a 20th overall pick right now, fwiw. So they definitely could make a trade like Hou and KC did for Watson and Mahomes. Frankly I don't know how you ensure that things "flush out" if you stick with Pace. I think he'll be continue to be aggressive with trading picks. If you're McCaskey are you gonna overrule his draft trades? Give him some sort of ultimatum on his job future? Neither sounds like a good option. I think you have to ride with him or move on. If you want to ensure things flush out, you may have to hand the next GM the depleted draft capital of Pace in 2020 and not wait it out. If that GM really feels a mini blow up is warranted they could at least probably stock up on some mid round picks with the talent base, flush out the cap with dead hits in 2020 and set up for a high pick value in 2021. This is a good point. The Bears are just so screwed. There's no good way to salvage it. You've got a bust QB, the coach who couldn't develop the bust QB, the GM who thought it was a good idea to pay a heavy price to trade up one spot to get the bust QB, and a bunch of empty holes in your draft pick continuum because you bet everything on your bust QB's cheap years. If you fire Pace, what good GM candidate is gonna want to come to a team in this situation? You've got no QB, three out of four recent and future draft cycles were gutted by trades, and the cap hits on the defense are starting to pile up. If you don't fire Pace, you're just leaving the guy who created that situation in charge. My doom boner is absolutely majestic right now. The best part is, I don't think the idea was even wrong. Obviously the execution was. But trying to get your franchise QB at no. 2 overall and then betting everything to build an elite defense for the two-year window where he is on his rookie contract? It was a great idea. High-risk, high-reward. Eh, I think good GM candidates being scared away is an overrated concern. Guys only stay when they know they have the reigns immenently waiting for them like the Ravens guy. Plus GMs are rarely "hot" candidates. It's not like Head Coaches where you just follow the top coordinators get promotions.

They have 2 2nds in 2020, theirs and Oakland. Using the traditional trade value chart, the combined values of those is something like a 20th overall pick right now, fwiw. So they definitely could make a trade like Hou and KC did for Watson and Mahomes. Frankly I don't know how you ensure that things "flush out" if you stick with Pace. I think he'll be continue to be aggressive with trading picks. If you're McCaskey are you gonna overrule his draft trades? Give him some sort of ultimatum on his job future? Neither sounds like a good option. I think you have to ride with him or move on. If you want to ensure things flush out, you may have to hand the next GM the depleted draft capital of Pace in 2020 and not wait it out. If that GM really feels a mini blow up is warranted they could at least probably stock up on some mid round picks with the talent base, flush out the cap with dead hits in 2020 and set up for a high pick value in 2021.

what's that now? Fixed.

As long as they do not pick up the option year, or god forbid, extend him, I do not care what they do with him next season. I don't want them spending $100m on some journeyman nobody who happens to be a hot free agent. Go ahead and make him play for all I care. Believe I've read he's guaranteed money for 2020 and the Bears hold the option for 2021, might as well make him earn it in 2020, somehow. 2021? He's gone. I believe they need to pick up the 2021 option this offseason, but it's guaranteed only for injury. So there's some risk there, but I'd say there's a pretty good chance they pick it up. And yea 2020 is guaranteed and all sunk cost at this point.

Re: wild card, being that 2 of their losses are to AFC opponents could be a good thing for the wild card tiebreaker as I think conference record is pretty high up on the tie breaker list. If they still manage to somehow fall ass backwards into a 9-7 record, they could get the WC tiebreaker since they'll likely beat all NFC teams in those 6 wins (just chalking up the loss to KC)

Probably. We are so screwed on draft picks right now. In 2020, the Raiders' 2nd is the only pick the Bears have in the first four rounds. They bet everything on a two-year window of last year and this year. I'm not even sorry they made that bet, to be honest, but it crapped out and it's gonna take years to unwind. They gave their own 2nd too.

If you're throwing away mid round picks for meh QBs mineaswell throw a future first and some mid round picks and hope it gets you the next Mahomes, or at least Watson. Based on Pace's 1st round track record so far... I'm not sure what you're advocating here. Trading firsts to a team with an elite young QB? Trading up in the next draft? Trading up yea. Verse something like trading a mod rounder for a probably broken Cam Newton.

Also if they cut Davis early enough in the season (week 10 maybe?) the comp pick for Amos is back in play.... If they dont do that I would put the non-move on par with Angelo's Warrick Holdman blunder. It's just pure inexcusable idiocy not to cut Davis at this point.A couple weeks ago I was slightly concerned such a move would be an obvious slight to him and be perceived badly for the Bears in future FA moves but at this point Davis would probably be happy to be out. Call up Nall in his place to ride the bench

ROY/6MOY Jump on the bandwagon. Don’t forget BHOY. (Best hair of the year) The Joakim Noah Memorial Award.

Will Nagy have Trubisky on a short leash Sunday? If so, does he go with Daniels or Bray? I have to think if he doesn't show some success in the first or second offensive series the boos are going to cascade down. They would have to make a roster change to get Bray on the active roster. It would be easy to do by dropping Mike Davis. When you only run 7 times a game, you don't really need a 3rd RB. Also if they cut Davis early enough in the season (week 10 maybe?) the comp pick for Amos is back in play....

ROY/6MOY Jump on the bandwagon.

If we know one thing about this front office, it's that they know how to make good #7 draft picks They've made many solid picks at 7. Let's hope this is finally the franchise altering one.

If you're throwing away mid round picks for meh QBs mineaswell throw a future first and some mid round picks and hope it gets you the next Mahomes, or at least Watson. Based on Pace's 1st round track record so far...

I doubt anyone available is worth what it would cost to get them.

It's officially a trend What a weird, unflattering picture choice. That was actually the most flattering.

Well this shot data is going to ruin my day. The Bulls actually had pretty strong shot selection last year in context of the rest of the league. From wide open to very tight. 55% / 35% / 9% /0% ( again there are some lost shots in there which is why it doesn't equal 100). They only took 3 very tight 3's last year. But they were God awful at open 3's, with only the Mavs, Jazz, and Raptors coming close in terms of variance betweem open 3 % verse total 3%. The Jazz and Raptors were very good at therefor taking less open 3s and more wide open 3's. The Bulls were also near the bottom third in total 3s taken, so perhaps they also just sucked at generating those wide open 3's (only 4 teams shot less of them).

Well apparently its right based on NBA's official data; https://stats.nba.com/teams/shots-closest-defender/?Season=2018-19&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&sort=TEAM_NAME&dir=1&PerMode=Totals&CloseDefDistRange=4-6%20Feet%20-%20Open It turns out that NBA players are a lot better at shot selection that I gave them credit for. Wide Open 3's on average were only converted at 38% of the time, but made up 52% of all 3 pointers. Open, Tight or Very Tight together were converted at 32%, and each had about a 4pt spread. But Tight and Very tight 3's only accounted for 11% of 3's taken. *Note* - The NBA stats from last year seem to be missing 346 3's or about 0.44% of all 3's. ETA for Context; On a individual player basis, Klay Thompson hit 43.2% of open 3's. https://stats.nba.com/players/shots-closest-defender/?Season=2018-19&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&PerMode=Totals&sort=FG3_PCT&dir=1&CF=FG3A*G*200&CloseDefDistRange=4-6%20Feet%20-%20Open Steph Curry hit 52% of Wide Open 3's https://stats.nba.com/players/shots-closest-defender/?Season=2018-19&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&PerMode=Totals&sort=FG3_PCT&dir=1&CF=FG3A*G*200&CloseDefDistRange=6%2B%20Feet%20-%20Wide%20Open

Can't speak to the accuracy of this (seems a bit low to me) Um yea there's no way that's right, league average on ALL 3 pointers was 0.355 last year. .362 the year prior.

To the extent that coaches matter, it's mostly their ability to manage star players/egos. Anything gimmicky you worry about wearing thin over time. That said, the Bulls don't have that star player yet unless LaVine wants to turn into one. So whatever, a scrappy young team that runs a modern offense and can make the playoffs would still provide some entertainment. Maybe I'd watch them a little this year!