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David

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Everything posted by David

  1. David
    i will be bummed if the cubs don't win it, obviously, but i'd much rather see, say, the indians win one than see the marlins get another one. i totally reserve the right to pretend i never said that if we lose to them in the world series.
  2. David
    I've seen the Red Sox, White Sox and Giants droughts broken. I don't care about anyone else's freaking droughts, if anything it depresses me when other teams break their droughts. eh. honestly, i couldn't care less about our drought on a personal level. i get that it'll be very cool for all the very old people and stuff (as it would be for those other teams' older fans), but i just want to see a championship because i want my team to win one. especially since i haven't seen one. the same goes for the bears, too, though. if i had happened to start following the bulls 3 years later, i'd be in the same boat too there (thank god for that lol). but yeah, i don't see myself as "long suffering" or whatever nor do i think i deserve one anymore than any one. basically i take no ownership personally in the drought at all aside from how cool the whole spectacle will be outside of my own happiness from winning.
  3. David
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  4. David
    List of the longest WS droughts Seasons Team Last championship won Last World Series appearance 107 Chicago Cubs 1908 1945 67 Cleveland Indians 1948 1997 55 Texas Rangers never (franchise began 1961) 2011 54 Houston Astros never (franchise began 1962) 2005 47 Milwaukee Brewers never (franchise began 1969) 1982 47 San Diego Padres never (franchise began 1969) 1998 47 Washington Nationals never (franchise began 1969) never 39 Seattle Mariners never (franchise began 1977) never 36 Pittsburgh Pirates 1979 1979 32 Baltimore Orioles 1983 1983 31 Detroit Tigers 1984 2012 if I knew how to use the code tags, I would, but I don't anyway, a bunch of these are solidly in play this year. looks like a very good chance we'll see one long drought broken.
  5. David
    Eh; those were REALLY bad teams, and like David has pointed out, we're not talking about that big a difference in players. Best case scenario likely would have just them being less bad. We ARE talking about a big difference in players for the first 8 years of their careers. The only reason they sort of leveled out in the end is that Brand had a very severe drop in production due to injury, whereas Chandler just had a normal decline due to old age. Brand was averaging 25 and 10, plus getting assists, steals, and blocks. He was an elite player at his position. Chandler has never been more than a really good role player. I know that having Elton Brand on a really bad team wouldn't have made much difference by itself. I guess the assumption would be that if you have Elton Brand, maybe you become a little more aggressive about surrounding him with talent. tyson chandler was a legitimate impact defensive player and one of the best rebounders in the league. he also basically averaged a double double a few times. he was more than just a role player.
  6. David
    The original plans didn't suggest that the premier club would be open to everybody. There was always going to be a sclusy section so they could justify the price. The plans suggested they would be open to season ticket holders. I never said everybody. This is a way bigger thing. From what I can tell, they're basically taking the highest tier tickets right now, making them a new tier that includes access to these clubs, and creating a new wait list for those in which the existing holders of seats in those areas have priority.
  7. David
    they are already in the playoffs as far as the odds calculations are concerned. Right but the WS odds will change when the postseason matchups are set. not by much at all.
  8. David
    http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/ct-wrigley-field-suites-20160719-story.html I guess I shouldn't be all that surprised that these won't end up being available to regular lowly STH, as the original plans seemed to suggest.
  9. David
    well below 5% probably below 1% I agree but in a purely situational setting in one game in October he adds much more to that in a spot against a guy like Murphy or Harper. It moves their odds up 1% now but once they reach the playoff it's a little more drastic but still maybe 5%? they are already in the playoffs as far as the odds calculations are concerned.
  10. David
    I said it was too much but I don't think Vogelbach is any good outside of the AL. Now, if they can confirm that the Indians aren't including Frazier or Zimmer then that changes the game. Zimmer and Frazier vs Torres and Happ is basically a wash. Do you guys have an opinion on how much Miller tilts the WS odds for the Cubs? 5%? 10%? well below 5% probably below 1%
  11. David
    You mean Tyson put together a nice career, right? Tyrus was a total bust. Chandler ended up becoming a useful center, but he never came close to Elton Brand in his prime. And he certainly wasn't "the next KG". Brand continued to dominate every single year until he got hurt. yeah you beat my edit by like 2 seconds. i meant tyson, of course. i don't see how "the next KG" thing is at all relevant...yeah, i'd take brand's career. never said i wouldn't...but for the sake of argument, elton has had 109.6 win shares in 1058 games, and tyson has had 92.7 in 986. so while elton was the better player with the better career, i think there's probably a serious case to be made that tyson closed the gap quite a bit after all was said and done. definitely more than just a useful player in his prime.
  12. David
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  13. David
    the swimming pool bears > that bear
  14. David
    There is something worse. Imagine Dempster visiting the same inning. Dempster is awesome, you monster Did you miss Friday(I think it was)?
  15. David
    And as much as Pax has rightfully gotten grief for overvaluing his own picks, he also managed to salvage some value from failed picks he was basically dumping (Sefalosha for a pick that became Taj, and Johnson into a pick that became Jimmy Butler, and Thomas for a pick which partially turned into McDermott) good point, i had forgotten most of that.
  16. David
    but yeah, even taking into account draft position, i think paxson's 1st round draft record looks pretty damn good even with (essentially) choosing thomas over aldridge. hinrich, gordon/deng, thomas/thabo, noah, rose, johnson/taj, niko/butler, teague, snell, mcdermott, portis, valentine aside from the obvious with tyrus, the biggest misses relative to draft position (teague was like 29th or 30th) are probably snell or james johnson but overall that's a solid hit rate...obviously the jury is still out on the more recent guys. despite people having higher hopes, if mcdermott can even forge a kyle korver type of career, i'd say you call that a hit.
  17. David
    the tyrus thomas trade was like the one time that paxson's FO went with the risky (relative to draft position) high ceiling/low floor guy. i definitely raised an eyebrow at the brand for chandler trade at the time and it definitely did not look good for the first few years, but tyson wound up putting together a very nice career, much to my surprise.
  18. David
    Mike Brown is probably my fav if I had to pick one.
  19. David
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  20. David
    spiegel seriously is one of the biggest dudes i've ever seen who is actually ambulatory and isn't like trapped on his own bed or something
  21. David
    [tweet] [/tweet] [tweet] [/tweet]
  22. David
    Has Sharma ever broken any sort of story/sourced rumor that ended up being true? I remember him predicting a lot of wrong things, but he was never really reporting them as sourced rumor either...just what he thought would/wouldn't happen. I've never gotten the sense that he's very connected. Just a notch or two above a blogger type.
  23. David
    at that point, almora isn't going to provide much beyond being a defensive replacement, so it makes sense to send him back down for a little over a month.
  24. David
    So, he was 3 for 10...yeah, 30% isn't great in the long run, but he makes one more of those 7 shots and it's fine...two more and it's a "good" shooting night. This kinda illustrates why a statement like that (especially when you purposely take out two makes) is completely meaningless and silly. It's not a big deal but just a pet peeve for me so rather than bite my tongue I decided to be a dick about it.
  25. David
    Actually the way Ding Dong is saying it, it's not nearly 100 percent. It IS 100 percent. At least back off on that, Ding Dong. he said near zero percent, so it's not quite 100%
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