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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Intentional choice from the Cubs in how they develop and care for arms is the biggest reason, with a sprinkle of inefficiency on his part. This is part of why I wasn't gung ho on calling him up to begin with, you can see a clear difference in the workload capacity demonstrated by Wesneski(who despite his struggles went 6+ IP and/or 85+ pitches 3 different times in April/May) or Kilian(6 starts of 16+ outs in AAA).
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah, I mean I think you can have some level of comfort in what you're getting from Steele/Taillon/Hendricks (though that level is not quite what you might hope for, especially for Taillon), but Assad is walking a FIP tightrope, and while I'm encouraged by Wicks' start I'm hesitant to apply that to any future trips through the rotation where he's not facing a bottom offense on twice as much rest as he would get normally.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    PCA has a .566 OPS in his last 40 PA, there's definitely some adjusting still happening and he's not ripping everything in sight at the moment. Wicks has gone more than 5 innings/15 outs exactly once as a professional, and thrown more than 85 pitches exactly once as a professional(these were 2 different starts, funnily enough). He's only started on 4 days rest once this year, and his start last night was on 8 days rest. We should consider 4-5 IP a maximum from him if he's staying in the rotation.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    For me it's less about 'aggressiveness' or if it changes Shaw's timeline, but a matter of putting him at a level that's going to do the most for his development. He's at 20 games and 89 PA of a 197 wRC+ and hitting nearly .400, we're quickly reaching the point where additional A+ games are not going to be enough challenge to help with the things he needs to improve on to be MLB ready. So even if it's only a couple weeks and doesn't change how long he stays at AA in 2024, AA can still be the right spot for him.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    Reds down heading into the 9th. If they lose the Cubs will be 2 games clear of a playoff spot, if they come back then the Cubs leapfrog Arizona back into WC2
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    please call the strikes Palencia throws mister umpire
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    please throw strikes Palencia
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't have other examples, but the Reynolds double was an 84 EV with a .010 xBA
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    I haven't re-watched every replay angle to know the exact geometry, but I have zero problem with it. Not fielding the ball because you're assuming it's going to be out of play is exactly the type of attempt that is not only counter to every defensive instinct, but is a big gamble given the circumstances that they're desperate to stop the bleeding of a 4+ run inning.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    I've only been half-heartedly paying attention while watching the soccer game, why would we be upset at Seiya, it's not his job to wait on the umpire or change his behavior based on the call
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    looking forward to seeing a hopefully fixed Keegan in a low pressure environment
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    That's what the broadcast said, but Cashner did get one start before he was traded.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Best inning yet for Wicks, hitters that all reached base getting a 2nd look at him and it's 2 Ks and weak contact
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    they took advantage of a bad pitcher, you say
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    base on ball don't lie
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    We aren't considering Shaw and Rojas to be locked on MLB SS despite playing the bulk of their time there, so feels pretty consistent to me. McGeary I've already told you I think is a similar prospect to Murray, and Caissie I've said multiple times I think is a 1B/DH at the MLB level despite him mostly playing RF. Not really sure what you're expecting to see here.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yes that’s why i said also and mirrored your wording. Him playing games at 3B is not synonymous with making improvements though.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    The MLB.com report also literally states that Murray 'needs to improve to play there in the big leagues', I don't think I'm being uncharitable when I assume that a good team is not going to want to play Murray at 3B at the MLB level with frequency. As with most things with prospects that could change good or bad with more info/dev time, but to answer your original question, that's the basis for thinking of him as a positionless bat. Otherwise, that's a real wide range of prospects, ranging from a 1st round pick shredding A+ with positional value to guys hitting as well as Murray a level above, to unrefined projection plays, to guys who I think of as similar(McGeary) or worse(Perlaza) prospects than Murray. I had Murray in my most recent Top 20, and if you're convinced he's a functional 3B then I would get the instinct to rank him even higher, though I don't really see the case for Top 10 if we're including pitchers.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Given the scouting reports on his defense are not glowing I don't think it's all that likely he's playing 3B on more than an emergency/handful of games a year basis at the major league level. They have different shortcomings, but by way of comparison the team gave plenty of innings on the infield to Morel(at both the minor and major league levels) when the stakes didn't matter, but on a team that was trying to win that got snuffed out pretty quick.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    For me the big question with Murray, assuming that he's a positionless bat, 1B/DH type at the MLB level, is about the power. He can clearly put bat to ball and has an excellent walk rate, but prior to this year he wasn't doing the XBH damage you need with that positional profile(and age). This year has been a nice jump up in that regard, though I'm slightly concerned how much of it has been at home(.989 OPS at home, .790 road) given how HR happy that stadium has been. By contrast, Caissie has a .900+ OPS both home and away, and McGeary has been weirdly inverted with an OPS 85 points higher on the road(though that includes his first month in South Bend).
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    PCA slumping a bit, OPS down to .839 after an 0 for 3, BB, 2 K. Even had a fielding error. Real good outing for Kilian though: 6 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 7/0 K/BB, 0 HR
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Again
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Shaw HR
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    They do not.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    For me it boils down to there not being much reason to think that Wicks is a better option to give you 4 IP and 0-2 runs other than not having tried him before. Wesneski went to Iowa to get some starts and immediately dominated(1.35 ERA, 3.3 FIP, 35% K%). Kilian's top line at Iowa is a bit similar to Wicks, but he's going deeper in games and has refound his control so at a minimum he's gonna force teams to beat him in a way we can't be certain of with Wicks today.
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