I've probably said this elsewhere, but with prospects I think you have to be careful about BABIP variation in both directions. It is less of an equal playing field than MLB, the prospects with promise should be creating a bit of their own luck, and those with horrific BABIPs are less likely to have the hitting ability to raise it significantly. In the case of Candelario we're at over 150 PA of him with a .635 OPS. Even if we can expect BABIP progression from him, the fact that he's had this stretch reflects just as poorly as the optimism does in the other direction. Because in this instance, Candelario getting neutral BABIP still isn't lighting AA on fire, and in order to be truly useful he needs to be good at that level, AAA, and then the MLB level, all escalating in difficulty(and chipping away at the expected BABIP he should have). A neutral BABIP wouldn't make his current line otherworldly, but it puts him in a great position for a good year once the power comes around. Candelario's power has routinely gotten significantly better in his minor league career as the season progressed. With that said, I completely agree with the gist of your post and I wasn't trying to say that Candelario's start has been amazing or that we should be truly happy with it. It was merely a response to TomtheBombadil's post which seemed to be overly pessimistic, IMO. You are another person I'd love to have post more often.