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Tim

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  1. Tim
    Good thread and interesting list. I've got a few major differences in my thinking, but I haven't really put together a list yet. One depressing note from the Athletic article on ODLC's suspension: It sure sounds like the explosiveness in his stuff hasn't been there this year. I will probably knock him down pretty far.
  2. Tim
    I'd be interested to read/listen if you can find a link. However, if it is even somewhat directionally correct, then there is a big regression coming.
  3. Tim
    The key point in my semi-sarcastic post at the start of this is that Almora is likely to be over-valued right now and is due for significant regression. That's not nearly as true of Russell. Are you ignoring that on purpose to make your point or just being obtuse? I'm not trying to argue with you, but I don't think Almora has "over-valued" himself enough to get the TOR pitcher that I'm hoping for. As I said above, that kind of deal is going to take one of our young ML core players and most teams will ask for Baez, Schwarber, Russell, or Contreras rather than a deal centered on Almora or Happ. A Happ or Almora deal might get you a good pitcher with another year of control, but not a good pitcher that has 2-3 years (or more) of control. The point wasn't that I think the Mets will trade Degrom for Albert straight up. What I'm saying is that his value will likely never be higher and we'd be maximizing that asset by turning him into something else right now. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/expected_statistics?type=batter&year=2018&position=&team=CHC&min=100 Check out his performance versus his "expected" performance based on his contact types, velocity, etc. He is due for some massive regression and it won't be pretty watching it happen.
  4. Tim
    He's gotten screwed. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/expected_statistics?type=batter&year=2018&position=&team=CHC&min=100
  5. Tim
    clearly, by Cards fan logic, he is a hall of famer.
  6. Tim
    Albertos through 2ip with 4k and 0bb
  7. Tim
    :flythew: :flythew:
  8. Tim
    Heyward and his sun issues made me nervous there.
  9. Tim
    Or not. Good job, Justin
  10. Tim
    Wilson vs Votto is just begging for a walk.
  11. Tim
    Why on earth would automated balls/strikes not work? Think of the catcher and stealing bases.. If the catcher doesn't need to be in a crouch the run game is gone Catchers would still have to crouch. They still need to be able to give a low target to the pitcher.
  12. Tim
    Why on earth would automated balls/strikes not work?
  13. Tim
    Jhonny Pereda hits one, too.
  14. Tim
    Literally just one.
  15. Tim
    Holy crap, Little: Player IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA* Brendon Little 6.0 3 0 0 1 9 0 5.03
  16. Tim
    I'm not sure if I've ever said this before, but I'd really like to see balls and strikes automated. Like, immediately.
  17. Tim
    Nope
  18. Tim
    Whoa. Did not know he had that kind of gas.
  19. Tim
    Huh...were there only 39 on the 40 man? Or...who got knocked off? Gimenez. We were speculating they’d add Mekkes with the vacant 40-man spot but I guess Norwood gets the first crack. Ahhhh, that's right.
  20. Tim
    Where to begin... Russell's production is much more sustainable than Albert's. Russell's defensive value is much more certain. That should be enough. Which means we could get a better TOR starter for Russell. Obviously, we would all love to get that TOR starter without disrupting the core of the ML roster, but unfortunately we don't have the prospects in the minors to make that kind of deal. I'm sure other teams value Baez, Schwarber, and Russell more than Happ and Almora, even though they look to be solid and productive players. The key point in my semi-sarcastic post at the start of this is that Almora is likely to be over-valued right now and is due for significant regression. That's not nearly as true of Russell. Are you ignoring that on purpose to make your point or just being obtuse?
  21. Tim
    Huh...were there only 39 on the 40 man? Or...who got knocked off?
  22. Tim
    You're a Cubs fan. That's a Durham, not a Buckner.
  23. Tim
    Because the small sample size of Happ at third was kind of a disaster I thought Happ looked pretty good at 3B from the eye test the few games he’s played Nevermind him, he's just Derwooding. In a minimal sample size, Happ has graded out fantastically at 3B this year with a UZR/150 rating of 25.1. fwiw - the Cubs have only played him at 2B for a single inning this year, with no chances during that time. He was slightly below average there last year.
  24. Tim
    I think he's due for regression and if they can get a top end starter for him while he's overvalued, they should do it. The same could be said about Russell. Baez slides over to SS and Happ/Zobrist take over 2B without missing a beat and we could add a TOR starter. Where to begin... Russell's production is much more sustainable than Albert's. Russell's defensive value is much more certain. That should be enough.
  25. Tim
    Javy Baez, 3.1 fWAR player. On July 7th.
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