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TheDude

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Everything posted by TheDude

  1. TheDude
    So crappy he won 18 games last year while posting a sub-4.00 ERA on a .500 ballclub. I know win totals are not reflective of pure talent, but the bar is pretty high when an above average pitcher is considered crappy.
  2. TheDude
    The difference is in the last clause you noted. The overwhelming majority of posts I would point out suggest that Dusty has a pre-conceived plan to oust Cedeno/Walker/Hairston with Neifi - not an entirely performance based decision.
  3. TheDude
    I think the Cedeno situation is different than the Dubois or Hill situation. With Cedeno, Dusty has stated repeatedly throughout the offseason that Cedeno is the starter at SS. I don't have quotes offhand from previous years, but my memory of those other situations is that Dusty always said Dubois/Hill would be competing/in-the-mix for the starting job. I don't think there is a direct comparison here.
  4. TheDude
    Thanks Bruce. Not the first time posters have ignored the whole story, and only focused on the part that fits their agenda. What adgenda is that? It is about time for this stuff to stop. Only time will tell what Dusty will do. The reason stuff like this pops up is because the Neifi Chicken Little posts pop up in a ridiculous number of threads. Until people let the bloated, rotting horse rest, others will attempt to temper the conversation. So when you say it's about time for this stuff to stop, I hope you also include the ungodly number of "well it looks like Neifi is the starting X position guy again" comments as well.
  5. TheDude
    The Reds need pitching desperately, particularly pitching they can afford. Arroyo becomes their best pitcher (even if he should be a servicable 3rd), and allows them to shift Dunn back to LF, and possibly add another pitcher . Pena may seem like a lot of talent to give up, but the Reds could afford to give him up (and clearly favored Kearns more), and they still might be able to acquire another pitcher with the financial flexibility Arroyo provides. It really is a smart move for them, as well as Boston.
  6. TheDude
    Boston isn't moving Trot Nixon. Pena is there to play in a platoon with occasional spells to the other outfielders.
  7. TheDude
    My excitement over baseball starting this year has been utterly killed the past few weeks by the fact that next to none of the Cubs weekday games have broadcast. And there's still two more weeks of this.
  8. TheDude
    If you look at traditional projection tools, Clement and Arroyo project out to have very close stat-lines (assumes Arroyo on the Red Sox)...14-10 record each, Clement with a .150 ERA advantage, Arroyo with .041 WHIP advantage. Clement with 30 more Ks. The salary difference however, is huge, far more significant than the slight differences in stat-lines.
  9. TheDude
    One problem with your argument. Wily Mo just turned 24 and has about a season and a half worth of at bats. Neifi is 33 and is past his prime. What had Sammy Sosa done by the time he turned 24? 26 HR's in 336 at bats in 2004 shows tremendous power potential. There is no problem with my statement. I noted quite clearly that Wily Mo's sample size was low and those numbers aren't reflective of career expectations. The point was those numbers are projections. This isn't as lopsided a deal as people are claiming. There is more risk in Wily Mo than there is in Arroyo. And the Reds get a respectable starting pitcher whose numbers to dollars is extremely favorable.
  10. TheDude
    I think that Boston got a good deal here, but people's reactions have been too over-the-top IMO. Arroyo has put up respectable starter's numbers for his career - 23-17, 4.30 ERA, .258 BAA - and he's just 29 years old. A good age for a pitcher. He has pretty much established his stat-line and you know what to expect. In the current market, where Arroyo's peers (.500 career pitchers approaching 30) are averaging 7 Million a year deals, it's a nice pick-up for Cinncinati (a budget conscious team). On the other hand, Wily Mo has a career OBP near the Neifi-line (.303), with a BA at .248. His age and MLB sample are both low, so he's an unproven hitter worth gambling on for the Red Sox. But this deal isn't nearly as lopsided as peole are making it out to be.
  11. TheDude
    Anybody interested in updating the game instead of arguing about Hill?
  12. TheDude
    This is ignorant. Because people disagree with you about Hendry, they must have something personal against him? Please. Talk about tired, old arguments. The tired old argument is that Hendry is actually lucky and not good.
  13. TheDude
    Looks about right Vance. And thanks for steering the topic back to its intent.
  14. TheDude
    There should be more studies. In the meantime, it's asinine to completely ignore the idea there might be a correlation and go the extreme in the opposite direction, failing to practice even the slightest bit of moderation. I do hate Dusty as Cubs manager, I did before he got the job, but I don't have to BS to make something fit my argument. But it isn't asinine to completely create an opposing argument that isn't even there? You're arguing a classic strawman. Nobody said "ignore" the possibility of a correlation. Nobody went to the "extreme" opposite direction. All I did was ask if there are published studies on a pitch count correlation, or if the correlation is pure speculation based upon preconceived bias. It's a legitimate question (which went unaswered).
  15. TheDude
    Has anybody been able to show a direct correlation between pitches thrown and injury occurance in subsequent years, across all pitchers over a several year timespan? Or is this all pure speculation to fuel a predetermined bias?
  16. TheDude
    This seems to make much more sense. But what would we get for him? Considering the Marlins current state, nothing "in the now". He would traded for a prospect, and I wouldn't even hazard a guess at this point, as the Marlins probably haven't even inventoried and re-evaluated their farm completely yet.
  17. TheDude
    ESPN Insider sights interest from the Marlins. That seems more likely to me.
  18. TheDude
    If Walker gets traded, it's probably to the Marlins. They don't have a real starting 2B (or anywhere else but 3B for that matter) and Walker is cheap enough to get their attention.
  19. TheDude
    I have no issues with an analyst not placing the Cubs atop the division or in the playoffs. In my eyes, until the Cubs can prove health and durability with their star players, they have to be considered nothing more than a sleeper for someone who is getting paid to analyze baseball. But it's flat-out wrong to drop them deeper in a hole and predict worse results than last year. Even if it's only marginal, the club is still improved. And again, even if it's only marginal, the Cardinals and Astros are weakened.
  20. TheDude
    It is not within his power to significantly improve defensively. Even if he worked his butt off all offseason on defense it wouldn't have made much of a difference. Besides, defensive ratings are largely based on reputation. How good you are in reality really doesn't come close to mattering as much as how good people think you are with the glove. Reputations can change, which is why I stated he could get on the field and demonstrate an improvement, if he wanted to. There is always room to improve.
  21. TheDude
    Walker alienated himself. It doesn't matter if Hendry took a "catch the ball" mentality into his offseason. That's a team mentality. You think Aramis Ramirez was ever in danger of losing his spot over defense? Walker alienated himself with his mouth. He is not without say in his own PT. If was worried about losing his job to defensive specialist like Neifi Perez, then he should have spent the offseason working on his defense, continually improving. It's within his power to eliminate management's doubt by proving it on the field.
  22. TheDude
    I look at the Murton situation a bit differently. I believe he could have solid trade value around July or next offseason, but to what end, I'm not sure. The fact is, with Jones signed for 3 years, and Pierre possibly being re-signed if he proves to be a spark for the team, Pie may be blocked next year. So if Murton opens some eyes and increases his value to a low or mid-market club, then why not at least invesitigate a trade in July or the next offseason to open a spot for Pie in LF?
  23. TheDude
    The box score shows 6 runs on 4 hits for the Cubs. An error is involved, but that is a good sign that they aren't wasting runners today.
  24. TheDude
    Go Theriot! He is an exciting young kid to watch play. It's a shame, but both Mabry and Grissom are going to be bench guys and squeeze him out. Hopefully he's a "first option" up from the minors this year if someone gets hurt though.
  25. TheDude
    Not a good sign for our offense either. The Cubs have scored 55 runs in the first 7 games, most of those without Lee. The ST offense is doing just fine.
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