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George Hayduke

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Everything posted by George Hayduke

  1. Ted Williams' swing is a thing of beauty.
  2. Seriously though, [expletive] 'em all man.
  3. if all of these things happen, especially the pitching ones, we might win 95-100. I was going to say something similar. Even with conservative projections, the Cubs are being pegged at 84 wins. It wouldn't take mountains moving for the Cubs to reach 90 wins. In terms of overachieveing their projections...Lester/Arrieta combine for 8.5 wins, Soler puts up 3, average production from LF, 3 from Castro, 2 from Contra, 3 from Fowler, everyone else manages to be aournd their projections (not even counting Baez). That would get the Cubs pretty close to 90. Certainly not impossible to imagine such a scenario if things go well.
  4. Karma will have fully run it's course when Theo doesn't remember Javy's name in interviews anymore. "Our farm system is still stacked with quality talent like Bryant and Russell, and some other middle infielders I think, and Kyle Schwarber....."
  5. God this season is going to be great fun to watch.
  6. I'm going to need a literature major and/or the editor-in-chief of a poetry journal to weigh in on this first before I make any firm decisions.
  7. Wow, I was just looking him up on Fangraphs and it's easy to forget how valuable a player he was. He had a nine year stretch where he put up 58.1 fWAR. Helllllllllllllll no. He was so much fun to watch. He was fun to watch. I'm just saying, if someone had made me a bar bet yesterday about his average WAR over those nine years being 6.5, I probably would have taken the under. Would have pegged him at more like 5 wins/yr.
  8. Wow, I was just looking him up on Fangraphs and it's easy to forget how valuable a player he was. He had a nine year stretch where he put up 58.1 fWAR.
  9. that's exactly what baseball needs, more subjectively enforced rules trying to solve a non-existent problem. This is my thing. Why is this even being discussed? Is the argument that defensive shifts are suppressing offense too much and making the game slower or more boring or something like that?
  10. I liked how his high BABIP was clear evidence that he's gotten better at putting the ball in play all around the field, or something.
  11. That article makes very flawed use of statistics. I thought the same thing.
  12. Yeah. There's an older gentleman on campus that advises students for the honors college who found out I'm a Cubs fan like him. He now emails me randomly every couple of months whenever the Cubs make a deal to get my "take" (which isn't worth much at NSBB but is head and shoulders a higher IQ than the average NC baseball fan). He's nice enough and I don't mind the emails at all (unless I'm super busy) but it's just a little awkward. It also feels like he's trying to get my approval before he decides if he likes a move or not (most recently the Fowler trade). Outside of these sporadic emails I literally never have any contact with him. But maybe he just wants a friend and I'm being a jerk. It sounds like he really respects / highly regards your opinion on things Cubs related, or at the very least recognizes that you know more about it than he does. That's a compliment, you should be flattered. Even if it is a little awkward.
  13. Hasn't the FO all but said this would happen with their Rizzo comparisons and regular reminders on him working on his swing? They have, but I think that represents a bit of a shift for them. At season's end I think the FO fully intended for him to start in 2015 and even a large number of posters here felt like sending him down to Iowa to start the year would be foolish and counterproductive. But I think everyone also thought he'd make more adjustments this winter than he has, and with where the team is positioned now in terms of contention, you almost have no choice unless he shows you something really solid in ST.
  14. Ahhhh that makes sense. Thanks. Yeah, they did a three week round robin thing to start the playoffs, and now they're in the finals, which include the two games to which he's referring. I'm just tacking it all onto the regular season numbers. The mlb website doesn't track them, so I thought I'd post updates every now and again since I've been keeping an eye on it anyway. FWIW, his Puerto Rico OPS is down to .583 after an 0 for 5, 3K game yesterday. Of course I'm pulling for him, but unless he somehow magically finds his stroke in spring training I'm totally fine with him starting 2015 in Iowa at this point.
  15. For anyone who cares, the updated PWL line on Javy through 95 PA's is .218 / .274 / .333 with a 7.4 BB% and 34.7 K%. 0 for 4 last night with 3 K's.
  16. You should not. It is less than statistical noise, really. Like with Spring Training, the assumptions that guide what data is useful are not (as) applicable, and even if it were then it would definitely have sample size problems. Better to ignore in its entirety than to try and divine narratives from any portion of it. Yeah, I know I'm just squinting really hard trying to pick out even a hint of something positive in the static.
  17. I actually have noticed an interesting trend since he's started back after the winter break. Obvious very small sample size disclaimer, but in the second half of the season he's had the same BA and a comparable OBP to the first half. However, his K rate is noticably lower (18% vs 43%), but so is his SLG (442 vs 267). Basically he's making better contact and getting just as many hits, but almost all of his hits have been singles, combined with tons of groundouts to the left side. Again, I don't want to read too much into it, but should I be encouraged by this in any way? To the guys on here who know a lot about swing mechanics...is this a common thing to see with guys who are working on making better contact? Maybe the goal being just contact for now and the power will come back later? IDK, could all be random statistical noise. I'm just reaching for any sign of improvement.
  18. So far tonight, Javy is 0 for 3 with 2 SO. :(
  19. The mlb website has data by plate appearance, but not anything pitch-by-pitch. Basically it has a game tracker and you can kind of back-of-the-napkin calculate the stats. http://mlb.mlb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=l133&t=t_ros&cid=685 Clearly I miss baseball season.
  20. general fanbase that uses twitter. True, perhaps supporting my original "younger fan" observation.
  21. Interesting. I wouldn't have guessed that high from the general fanbase.
  22. Update on Javy. Last four games he is 3 for 18 with 3 K's. Updated line for him in the PWL through 15 games is .213 / .269 / .361. Through 67 PA's, K% is 35.8, BB% is 7.1, Contact% is 60.7.
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