Jump to content
Cubs vs. Nationals — Today's Game Thread is Live! Click to Join » ×
North Side Baseball

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    94,552

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    67

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. UMFan83
    https://twitter.com/johndietzdh/status/1516621160770854912?s=21&t=kJdyMHvYiD2i_pbjmLQ7xw
  2. UMFan83
    Why the horsefeathers not?
  3. UMFan83
    I thought he drew a walk and had no official AB that game. If that's not the case, I blame Brett. Correct, he was IBB'd: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=suzukse01&t=b&year=2022 Yeah he was thrown 2 balls and then intentionally walked. A waste of his PA for the game. But that's still considered a game he played that he did not get a hit, thus the hit streak ends right? That's how I always interpreted it, but I could be wrong.
  4. UMFan83
    You mean his hit streak in games he starts right? He had a game where he PH and went 0-1
  5. UMFan83
    The Schwisdom show
  6. UMFan83
    He's seeing an average fastball velocity that's slightly above the midpoint for qualified hitters: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=4&season=2022&month=0&season1=2022&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-01-01&enddate=2022-12-31&sort=4,d&page=2_50 I think I found it? This was pretty tucked away but I feel like MLB ought to make a much bigger deal that this is available: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=FF%7CFT%7CFC%7CSI%7C&hfAB=&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=&hfZ=&stadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2022%7C&hfSit=&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&opponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfInfield=&team=CHC&position=&hfOutfield=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfFlag=&hfBBT=&metric_1=api_p_release_speed&metric_1_gt=95&metric_1_lt=&hfInn=&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name&sort_col=xwoba&player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&sort_order=desc&min_pas=0&chk_stats_pa=on&chk_stats_hits=on&chk_stats_xba=on&chk_stats_xwoba=on#results Small sample, but Seiya excels here too. He might just be perfect? Also Happ is apparently crushing velo this year too, and that hasn't always been the case. Happ is also 5-11 hitting righty this year and his go ahead single last night was batting righty. Obviously an extremely small sample size, but nice to see
  7. UMFan83
    I wish it was easier to find how guys do against velo. The data exists, you see it on broadcasts, but it's not easy to see anywhere. But I think that's the one open question with Seiya. I don't believe he's really turned around a good fastball. He's wrecked some at like 92, and offspeed stuff from more flamethrower types, but I think he's mostly fought off real velo. Even if he doesn't do damage on a bigtime fastballs I don't think that precludes him from being very good, but it might preclude him from continuing to do insane Juan Soto things. The closest proxy(and it's not all that close) is probably the Power/Finesse stuff at BR: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=suzukse01&year=2022&t=b Definitely doing less damage and K'ing more(expected since the Power distinction is based on K rate), but still hitting very well and taking his walks. Yeah and this doesn't help with velocity at all but he is leading all of baseball in wFB which I believe is weighted runs above average against fastballs, and broken down into wFB/100 fastballs seen he's 4th. It's possible with the small sample size that he's faced a number of lower velocity pitchers but he's definitely crushing fastballs better than almost anyone else in baseball.
  8. UMFan83
    a simple heuristic for me is, "does this current iteration of the Oakland A's lineup still lead MLB in runs scored?" ok still too early to draw any conclusions whatsoever Ha - valid point. Somehow they are doing that despite a teamwide .647 OPS. In comparison, the Cubs are 2nd in baseball at .803. So yeah its probably too early to draw definitive conclusions 6% of the way through the season, but there are some trends that look very promising that are less luck based.
  9. UMFan83
  10. UMFan83
    Do we have enough data to start to untangle how much of this solid start is luck based and how much is legit being a decent team? I saw someone post the other day that they are 2nd in BABIP this year so obviously that points towards good luck but several other metrics look more sustainable. On the pitching side, they are 11th in xFIP and have the 7th highest BABIP which I would guess means we're a bit unfortunate there. Pitching ranks: BB/9 - 22nd K/9 - 15th HR/9 - 19th BABIP - 23rd LOB% - 8th GB% - 10th highest HR/FB% - 22nd lowest fWAR - 17th xFIP - 11th
  11. UMFan83
    It’s legit difficult getting used to the Cubs actually coming through with RISP and 2 outs. Hope they keep it up
  12. UMFan83
  13. UMFan83
    He did have a really nice AB yesterday with the bases loaded. Worked a 3-2 count and then hit a 103.5mph liner that had a .660 xBA but was caught by an OF. Given that the Cubs went out of their way to retain him from the Dodgers he’s going to get his shots I think
  14. UMFan83
    Ugh I’m not sure if I like that aggressive decision by Seiya or not
  15. UMFan83
    And while I hated trading away Bryzzo and Javy over a 24 hour period at the last possible moment, this is sort of what I was hoping for. Jed had the opportunity to build an offense exactly as he wanted it to be given the massive amount of money to spend, the lack of cornerstone players to build around, and the desire to not go into a long rebuild. For several years he and Theo were stuck with their best players having similar flaws and no room to really build around them with different types of players. Still not sure why they did not pull the plug earlier when they could have gotten a better return and possibly salvaged some of the championship core but whatever.
  16. UMFan83
    That one to Cron in the 7th inning almost cost the Cubs the game. Annoying.
  17. UMFan83
    the fact that they were 1st in the east for a while is not indicative of the quality of this team. I’m not ready to blow it up at all. There is a foundation for a good team here, it needs to be tweaked. Swap out Vuc for a different big, acquire another shooter and depth on the bench. You won’t win a title like that but I think the goal is to be competent for long enough to be a viable destination for a star. Blowing it up and relying on the lottery is probably another 2-4 years in the wilderness, away from NBA relevancy and as we just saw you might end up with absolutely nothing for all that tanking.
  18. UMFan83
    I don’t *think* the officials are going to overturn a foul call and award a foul to Giannis that fouls him out of the game, but you have to try.
  19. UMFan83
    I mean that’s been his game all season except he was making those shots
  20. UMFan83
    I didn’t expect to see them and Vuc combine to shoot 29% (21-71). That was horrendous even for playoff demar
  21. UMFan83
    Just wish he’d hit more open 3s. He’s 2-10 from 3
  22. UMFan83
    Good win, now go bulls
  23. UMFan83
    Seems like the Cubs should have more than 5 runs in this game. Didn’t concern me too much when it was 5-0 but now it does
  24. UMFan83
    Feel bad for Hermosillo. He’s had some good ABs and has hit some good balls but still hitless for the year and clearly looks frustrated
  25. UMFan83
    We just leaving this kid in to get shelled?
×
×
  • Create New...