UMFan83

Every game that Jay has started and finished has been ended up either a Bears victory or within 1 score of winning, so I feel good that this will at least be a competitive game. Bears playoff odds are low after yesterday, but if they could somehow win this, they'd have a fairly favorable schedule the rest of the year, but no margin for error.

I'm operating under these assumptions. -Bama is the only 2 loss team I could see ahead of UM, and I wouldn't be shocked to see UM ahead of them. -A Big Ten Champ Michigan will be the top ranked Big Ten team. -Oklahoma is the only 1 loss Big 12 team I'm certain would finish ahead of Michigan. Really winning the Big Ten is the toughest part of the equation. Do that, and a Clemson ACC Title(or the incredibly unlikely 2 game losing streak) paired with a Stanford win over ND should do it. That's a good point. I was slightly worried about Stanford considering they were as of last week ranked higher than UM, but if both teams won out, Michigan winning at home over OSU and neutral vs. Iowa is more impressive than Stanford winning at home over ND and neutral vs. USC/UCLA. Their losses are fairly similar (UM home to MSU, at Utah against Stanford at Northwestern and home against Oregon), but their only common opponent is Northwestern, who Michigan killed and Stanford lost to (I think Utah is eliminated from P12 south championship already). Plus Stanford beating ND would open up the spot that ND has in the playoff. Anyways its a still a pipe dream unless the Big Ten results fall in UMs favor this weekend.

Trying to see if there is any case left to get Michigan into the playoff. Beyond the much more difficult road to Indy, the MSU win also sucks because beating OSU is a lesser win now. What I'm guessing they would need: UM over OSU PSU over MSU Iowa over Nebraska (they can't lose this) UM over Iowa Clemson over UNC (concede spot 1 to Clemson so that UNC isn't a threat) Ok St over Oklahoma (think 2 loss Michigan can get in over 1 loss Ok St..at least more likely than 1 loss OU) TCU over Baylor Alabama should probably beat Florida too unless Florida loses to FSU. I could easily see them taking 2 loss Bama over UM to get 2 SEC teams in there. Also I would probably say ND over Stanford. If Stanford were to win they might be the higher regarded 2 loss team This would likely put Michigan over MSU (hurt from not making BTT), Oklahoma (fresh loss to Ok St), OSU (2 straight losses and no BTT) and Florida (fresh loss and hasn't looked all that impressive). Clemson and Alabama would be playoff locks meaning UM would be competing with: 1 loss ND (very likely in) 1 loss Ok St 1 loss Iowa (who they just beat) 2 loss Baylor In this scenario they could get in based on 2 very good wins to close the season, and general committee hatred for the Big 12. Also I realize no one cares and will say Michigan has next to no shot. This is true..I just wanted to use this space to map it all out and heck I'm just excited that I can even talk about UM and playoffs this late in the season for the first time since 2006 (and by playoff I mean NC game back then)

Shark-Lackey would be ok to me. I was thinking worst case we can be active at the deadline if either of them don't pan out as we would hypothetically hold onto our position player assets. Getting Price would be amazing but it does seem to make sense to get 2 starters for the price of a Price.

That was just as idiotic and for the record I was against going for it as soon as they started lining up for the play

i wasn't going to bother the first time you said it, but since this makes twice... who is to say any of that would've played out the same had he kicked, especially since not kicking resulted in them getting the ball where they did? it probably wouldn't have. going for the TD was fine. Yes yes butterfly effect. That comment was mostly emotional reaction but I definitely don't think going for a TD was fine there. If it was a 7 point game fine, if they were 1-2 yards out fine. But it was an 8 point game and 4 yards out. If they kick a FG the following happens: -An opponent FG keeps it a 1 possession game -if you stop them you can win with a TD but if you fail to convert, you are left with needing a TD and 2 pointer and any opponent score ends the game. The Bears were in a spot on the field where it's probably too far to run it, so you are looking to score against the best secondary in the NFL. I'd like to see the probability chart or whatever it is for sure because I'm obviously not certain if I'm right, it just strongly makes logical sense to me. Because Fox gave up the 3 points he put himself in a situation where he had one shot at gaining 2 yards for a tie game and they didn't get it.

That SEC commenter dude that goes on ESPN said that Bama should be #1 over Clemson because they destroyed their cupcake FCS team when their other conference breathen struggled and/or lost to theirs

Funny that the Bears could easily be 7-3 or almost just as easily 1-9

Congrats Fox, your dumb decision cost you the win against the team that dumped your ass last year

We win. Oh wait Fox didn't kick that FG

What do you mean? 1 TO with 2:12 left (essentially 2 TOs left bc of the 2 min warning) or 2 TOs with 2:00 left

What in the hell Only sulleys teams

Now I feel bad for making fun of Osweiller

Ok Jay lets do this against your old team

Officials are just never going to call holding are they

Still need a TD and 2 point conversion and a FG probably ends it. Dammit

Wtf now is when you decide to go for it? Not a fan. Terrible play call too jesus You don't [expletive] go for it when your down by 8 with 4 yards to go

Well that sucks. Tons of 3rd and long conversions allowed today

They are just killing us on short passes with lots of YAC

Nice job other BMarsh

See this is why I never go for it on 4th! - John Fox

I guess my jinxes work both ways... Not a bad decision just a terrible throw

About what I expected against the number 1 D in the NFL without our top 2 WRs and starting RB in less than ideal offensive conditions. Cutler is actually having a pretty good game IMO

Why these coaches are all too chickenshit to go for it on 4th and less than a yard on the opponents side of the field?

Wtf is O'Donnell doing out there today?