Let's focus on what's important here. How these games affect U of I's BCS chances. To start you've got the winner of Mizzou/OU + loser of that game/KU taking 2 spots You've got winner of LSU/Tennessee + loser of that game/Florida/Georgia taking 2 spots You've got West Virginia You've got Ohio State You've got the winner of the PAC 10 (For ease and realism let's say USC beats UCLA) You've got the winner of Va Tech/BC That's 8 spots accounted for The only title game that matters for U of I's BCS chances is the ACC Title game. With a BC win, Va Tech likely takes an at large spot and leaves just one at large open. With a VA Tech win, BC likely drops out of the top 14 and leaves 2 spots open and removes itself from consideration. Hawaii right now is top 12 in the BCS thus locking itself into a BCS slot. I believe they'll keep top 12 status unless they lose to Washington. If they lose to Washington, they're out. If they beat them they're in. If Arizona beats ASU, ASU is out of BCS contention. If ASU wins, they remain in the running. If UCLA pulls off a miracle and beats USC, USC probably remains top 14 and steals an at large spot. So in summary you are to go out and buy a hat and hoodie for Va Tech, Washington, Arizona, and USC. LSU beating Tennessee guarantees U of I a top 14 spot, but I'm confident enough in one of BC, Hawaii, or ASU losing to push us in anyway. We certainly don't need all the right outcomes. Washington over Hawaii or Arizona over ASU would probably enough. We may not need any real upset help and could get the pick straight up over ASU(which is pretty much what it would come down to if all the favorites win), but it sure would be nice to get locked in and just worry about what warm weather site I'll be celebrating New Year's.